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Texas · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Howard County, TX

20 FEMA disaster declarations (1989-2021), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Fire.

20
FEMA declarations
9
Major disasters
55
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Fire
Top hazard

The verdict

Howard County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 20 declarations, more than 46% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 4% below the Texas county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county in the riskiest 45%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Riskiest 45%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
20
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
31
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 48227 · Howard County 20 declarations · rank 1708/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-LIGHT · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-HEAVY 20
  • MAJOR-LIGHT 45%
  • RANK-LOWER #1,708
  • PHOTO-FINISH Monona
  • NRI-LOW 55
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Fire
  • VS-ST-BELOW -4%

Nearest declaration peer: Monona, IA (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Texas state profile

Howard County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among Howard County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Howard County carries 20 FEMA declaration records, ranked 1708 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How Howard County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

Howard County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Howard County

20 46th percentile higher than 46% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Howard County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Texas avg49/10054.8/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Texas county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Howard County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $4.4M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Moderate), while Hail carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Howard County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

This county carries a high composite score on FEMA's National Risk Index, 54.8/100, rated Relatively Low. Its Expected Annual Loss rating is Very Low (roughly $13.8M in annualized losses), and a Relatively High social-vulnerability profile combined with Relatively Low community resilience shapes how much of that raw exposure becomes realized harm. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Hail stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 4.6 times per year here, based on 176 historical events on record.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 31 claims and $479.8K paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

Start with the state benchmark: a Texas county averages 20.9 federal declaration records, while Howard County has 20. The gap is 4% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

52 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Howard County, TX · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
14/30

20 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.0x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
12/25

20 declarations (1.0x state county average of 21)

Major Disaster Share Moderate
11/25

9 of 20 declarations are major disasters (45%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
15/20

6 different disaster types declared in Howard County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Howard County

Howard County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 25, Hurricane 8, Tornado 48, Wildfire 48, Drought 70, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 35 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 35 8-hazard mean
Howard County NRI risk profile FIPS 48227 · displayed-hazard mean 35/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

20

Above median

Major Disaster share

45%

Mixed major share

NRI risk score

55

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Howard County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Hail Relatively High an average of 4.6 times per year
Drought Relatively High 65 modeled event-days per year
Wildfire Relatively Moderate roughly once every 259 years
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate an average of 6.2 times per year
Tornado Relatively Moderate roughly once every 2 years
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate an average of 1.9 times per year
Heat Wave Relatively Low 6 modeled event-days per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low an average of 2.3 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 48 times per year
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 112 years
Ice Storm Very Low roughly once every 7 years
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 4,695 years
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 9 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Fire 9
Hurricane 3
Severe Storm 3
Severe Ice Storm 2
Biological 2
Drought 1

What Fire declarations mean here

Fire is the most frequent declaration type on Howard County's record, 45% of its declarations. Wildfire is the one hazard here with its own dedicated federal instrument: the Fire Management Assistance Grant, which appears in this data as an FM record. An FMAG can be authorised while a fire is still burning, on a timescale of hours, because its purpose is to reimburse the cost of fighting a fire that threatens to become a major disaster.

That distinction matters when comparing counties. An FM declaration is not a presidential major disaster declaration and does not carry the same assistance programmes, so a fire-heavy county's total is not directly comparable with a hurricane-heavy county's total unless the declaration types are separated, which is why they are listed separately on this page.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 9 45.0%

of all 20 declarations

Emergency - 7 35.0%

of all 20 declarations

Fire Management - 4 20.0%

of all 20 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2021 2
2020 2
2011 4
2008 3
2006 1
2005 3
1999 1
1998 1
1993 1
1992 1
1989 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 20 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 20 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4586 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-19
3554 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-14
4485 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-25
3458 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4029 WILDFIRES DR Fire 2011-09-09
1999 WILDFIRES DR Fire 2011-07-01
2930 BOYKEN ROAD FIRE FM Fire 2011-06-21
2908 MATT LOOP FIRE FM Fire 2011-05-09
2758 KENTWOOD FIRE FM Fire 2008-03-31
2757 SILVER HEELS FIRE FM Fire 2008-03-27
3284 WILDFIRES EM Fire 2008-03-14
1624 EXTREME WILDFIRE THREAT DR Fire 2006-01-11
1606 HURRICANE RITA DR Hurricane 2005-09-24
3261 HURRICANE RITA EM Hurricane 2005-09-21
3216 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-02
3142 EXTREME FIRE HAZARDS EM Fire 1999-09-01
1239 TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY DR Severe Storm 1998-08-26
3113 EXTREME FIRE HAZARD EM Drought 1993-09-10
960 EXCESSIVE RAIN & HAIL DR Severe Storm 1992-09-09
828 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1989-05-19

Storm Events in Texas

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Howard County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Hail 14,072 0 15 $7.4B
Thunderstorm Wind 10,293 41 141 $369.9M
Drought 7,032 0 0 $86.0K
Flash Flood 4,728 338 24 $47.6B
Heat 4,079 119 405 $0

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

31

Total Paid

$479.8K

Avg Per Claim

$15.5K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 54.8/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$13.8M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively High

Community Resilience

Relatively Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Hail Relatively High
Drought Relatively High
Wildfire Relatively Moderate
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate
Tornado Relatively Moderate
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Hurricane Very Low
Ice Storm Very Low
Earthquake Very Low
Landslide Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Hail

Hail is among the most expensive hazards in the model relative to how little it threatens life. It concentrates on roofs, vehicles and crops, and a single severe storm can generate an insurance loss across a metropolitan area without a single injury.

Worth noting for Howard County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Hail carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively High), while the county's declaration history is led by Fire. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Howard County's closest FEMA peer: Gaston County, NC

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Howard County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Howard County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Howard County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 20 FEMA declarations, Howard County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Howard County?
The most common disaster type in Howard County is Fire, with 9 declarations. Other disaster types include Hurricane (3), Severe Storm (3), Severe Ice Storm (2).
How does Howard County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Texas average?
The typical Texas county has 20.9 FEMA declaration records; Howard County has 20, or 4% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 3% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Howard County received?
Howard County has received 9 major disaster declarations, representing 45% of all 20 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Howard County filed?
Howard County has 31 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $479.8K in payments, with an average of $15.5K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Howard County?
No. In Howard County, Hail has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $4.4M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Howard County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Howard County was 2011, with 4 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1989 to 2021.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Howard County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Howard County, Texas has an overall risk score of 54.8 out of 100 (Relatively Low). On social vulnerability the county rates Relatively High; on community resilience, Relatively Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $13.8M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Howard County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Howard County as of the latest release is Hail (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Drought (Relatively High) and Wildfire (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts hail here at an average of 4.6 times per year, drawn from 176 historical events on record. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Howard County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Texas profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events