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Montana · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Jefferson County, MT

1 FEMA disaster declarations (2012–2012), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Fire.

1
FEMA declarations
0
Major disasters
22
NRI risk · Very Low
Fire
Top hazard

The verdict

Jefferson County ranks safer than 22% of U.S. counties for FEMA-modeled hazard risk, with more federally declared disasters than 0% of the 2,791 counties FEMA tracks. FEMA rates the county's overall risk as Very Low, based on 1 federal disaster declarations recorded since 2012, most often fire, 74% below the national county average of 4.

Safer than 22%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
1
FEMA declarations vs 4 national county avg
1
fire declarations, the most common hazard here

FEMA's National Risk Index score reflects expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience; the declaration count above reflects only Presidentially declared disasters, not every hazard event.

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How does Jefferson County compare?

Jefferson County vs. every U.S. county

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

1 0th percentile higher than 0% of 2,791 counties

This county 0 30 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-07-25

Jefferson County's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Montana county average

0/100100/100Montana avg36/10021.6/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Montana county average

How disaster-prone is Jefferson County?

Declaration frequency

Jefferson County, Montana has recorded 1 FEMA disaster declarations between 2012 and 2012, of which 0 were classified as Major Disaster declarations (DR) requiring federal individual and public assistance. That puts the county's average at - declarations per year, or roughly 60% below the Montana county average of 2.5 and 74% below the national county average of 3.8. The dominant disaster type on record is Fire, with 1 of 1 declarations falling under this category.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county's FEMA National Risk Index composite lands at 21.6/100 (Very Low), a modest reading against the rest of the country. Expected Annual Loss is rated Very Low (roughly $8.6M in annualized losses), tempered or compounded by a Relatively Low social-vulnerability score and Relatively Low community-resilience score. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Landslide carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate.

Flood exposure & the bottom line

Taken together, Jefferson County's federal disaster history is about as quiet as U.S. counties get, a very low relative risk level on this measure.

Risk Assessment

Risk Level

Very Low

vs. Montana Avg

-60%

State avg: 2.5

vs. National Avg

-74%

National avg: 3.8

Avg Per Year

-

-

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Jefferson County

Jefferson County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard composite scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 0, Hurricane 0, Tornado 8, Wildfire 48, Drought 8, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 48. Overall composite 18 of 100, classified Low. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 18 composite
Jefferson County NRI risk profile FIPS 30043 · composite 18/100 (Low)
How to read this radar

The radar plots Jefferson County's relative exposure to the eight headline natural hazards used by the FEMA National Risk Index. Each axis is the qualitative NRI risk rating (Very Low through Very High) re-expressed on a 0-100 scale so that the polygon shape lets you compare a county against another at a glance. A rounder polygon means broad multi-hazard exposure; a spiky polygon means one or two dominant hazards drive most of the modeled risk.

FEMA Records

1

Total declarations

NRI Source

FEMA 2023

Latest NRI release

County FIPS

30043

MT state code

Source: FEMA National Risk Index FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, 2023 release

Disaster Types

Fire 1

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Fire Management - 1 100.0%

of all 1 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2012 1

Disaster Declarations

DR# Title Type Incident Date
5008 NINETEEN MILE FIRE FM Fire 2012-08-29

Storm Events in Montana

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
High Wind 4,597 2 3 $7.8M
Thunderstorm Wind 3,005 6 38 $15.4M
Hail 2,438 0 0 $5.7M
Winter Storm 1,763 21 29 $11.2M
Heavy Snow 1,055 6 3 $253.0K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015–2025

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 21.6/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$8.6M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Low

Community Resilience

Relatively Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Landslide Relatively Moderate
Wildfire Relatively Moderate
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate
Earthquake Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Moderate
Drought Very Low
Hail Very Low
Avalanche Very Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Strong Wind Very Low
Ice Storm Very Low
Tornado Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

Counties with Similar Risk in Montana

Frequently Asked Questions

How many natural disasters has Jefferson County, Montana had?
Jefferson County, Montana has received 1 FEMA disaster declarations from 2012 to 2012.
What is the most common disaster type in Jefferson County?
The most common disaster type in Jefferson County is Fire, with 1 declaration.
How does Jefferson County's disaster risk compare to the Montana average?
Jefferson County has 1 disaster declarations, which is 60% lower than the Montana county average of 2.5 declarations. Compared to the national county average of 3.8, it is 74% lower.
What types of storms are most common in Montana?
The most common storm types in Montana include High Wind (4,597 events), Thunderstorm Wind (3,005 events), Hail (2,438 events). NOAA storm event data covers severe weather from 2015 to 2025.
What is the overall disaster risk level for Jefferson County?
Jefferson County has just 1 FEMA disaster declaration on record, placing it in the very-low-risk band, among the quieter counties in FEMA's declaration history.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Jefferson County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Jefferson County, Montana has an overall risk score of 21.6 out of 100 (Very Low). The county's social vulnerability rating is Relatively Low and community resilience is Relatively Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $8.6M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Jefferson County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in Jefferson County is Landslide (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Wildfire (Relatively Moderate) and Winter Weather (Relatively Moderate). These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015–2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Jefferson County

Jefferson County, MT runs 60% below the Montana county average for federal disaster declarations (1 vs 2), a very low historical load overall.

  • Its most common federal declaration type is fire management (1 of 1) - know the hazards most likely here before they happen. Montana overview
  • See how this county ranks against the rest of the country for disaster frequency. Most-disaster rankings
  • Read how to read FEMA declarations, NRI risk scores, and what they do and don't tell you. Disaster-data guide

Historical declaration counts describe past federal response, not a forecast. For current threats, follow the National Weather Service and local officials; in an emergency call 911.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. This page draws directly on FEMA federal disaster data, no figure is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, or report a data error.