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Iowa · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Johnson County, IA

24 FEMA disaster declarations (1965-2020), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate. Most common hazard: Flood.

24
FEMA declarations
22
Major disasters
87
NRI risk · Relatively Moderate
Flood
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Johnson County. Its 24 FEMA declarations are 24% above the Iowa county mean and exceed the count for 66% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 13%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 13%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Moderate
FEMA National Risk Index rating
24
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
446
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 19103 · Johnson County 24 declarations · rank 976/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-HEAVY · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-MID · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-ABOVE

  • DECL-HEAVY 24
  • MAJOR-HEAVY 92%
  • RANK-LOWER #976
  • PHOTO-FINISH Eddy
  • NRI-MID 87
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Flood
  • VS-ST-ABOVE +24%

Nearest declaration peer: Eddy, ND (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Iowa state profile

Johnson County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among Johnson County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Johnson County carries 24 FEMA declaration records, ranked 976 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How Johnson County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

Johnson County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Johnson County

24 Top 34% higher than 66% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Johnson County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Iowa avg40/10087.4/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Iowa county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Johnson County is led by Tornado (about $36.2M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Very High), while Strong Wind carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Very High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Johnson County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 446 paid claims, totaling $31.9M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $71.6K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Johnson County's 24 federal records stand 24% above the Iowa county mean of 19.3. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 87.4/100 (Relatively Moderate). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively Moderate (roughly $96.3M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Very Low and community resilience Very High, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Strong Wind stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Very High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 6.4 times per year here, based on 244 historical events on record.

71 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Johnson County, IA · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
17/30

24 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.2x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
16/25

24 declarations (1.2x state county average of 19)

Major Disaster Share Very High
23/25

22 of 24 declarations are major disasters (92%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
15/20

6 different disaster types declared in Johnson County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Johnson County

Johnson County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 48, Hurricane 8, Tornado 70, Wildfire 25, Drought 48, Heat Wave 48, Winter Storm 70. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 41 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 41 8-hazard mean
Johnson County NRI risk profile FIPS 19103 · displayed-hazard mean 41/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

24

Above median

Major Disaster share

92%

Mostly major

NRI risk score

87

Relatively Moderate

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Johnson County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Strong Wind Very High an average of 6.4 times per year
Tornado Relatively High roughly once every 2 years
Hail Relatively High an average of 4.4 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively High an average of 7.2 times per year
Winter Weather Relatively High an average of 16 times per year
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate 7 modeled event-days per year
Drought Relatively Moderate 13 modeled event-days per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate an average of 2 times per year
Landslide Relatively Low roughly once every 5 years
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate roughly once every 2 years
Lightning Relatively Moderate an average of 44 times per year
Wildfire Relatively Low roughly once every 1,271 years
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 1,009 years
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 174 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Flood 12
Severe Storm 7
Biological 2
Severe Ice Storm 1
Hurricane 1
Tornado 1

What Flood declarations mean here

Flood is the most frequent declaration type on Johnson County's record, 50% of its declarations. Federal flood declarations cover two mechanisms that behave very differently: riverine flooding, which builds over days as a watershed drains and is usually forecast well in advance, and flash flooding, which can arrive in under an hour from rainfall that fell somewhere upstream.

Flood is also the one hazard class where a second federal dataset exists for the same events. The National Flood Insurance Program records what was actually paid on insured losses, so it measures a narrower thing than the declaration count: uninsured damage, and flooding outside mapped special flood hazard areas, never enters it. Reading the two together is more informative than either alone.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 22 91.7%

of all 24 declarations

Emergency - 2 8.3%

of all 24 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2020 3
2014 1
2013 2
2008 2
2007 1
2005 1
2004 1
2002 1
1998 1
1996 1
1993 1
1991 1
1990 2
1974 1
1973 1
Show 4 earlier declaration years
1972 1
1969 1
1968 1
1965 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 24 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 24 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4557 SEVERE STORMS DR Severe Storm 2020-08-17
4483 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-23
3480 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4187 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2014-08-05
4126 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2013-07-02
4119 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2013-05-31
1763 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2008-05-27
1737 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 2008-01-04
1688 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Storm 2007-03-14
3239 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-10
1518 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2004-05-25
1420 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 2002-06-19
1230 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES AND FLOODING DR Flood 1998-07-02
1121 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1996-06-24
996 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1993-07-09
911 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1991-07-12
879 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1990-09-06
868 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1990-05-26
443 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1974-06-24
386 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1973-05-23
Show 4 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
348 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1972-08-18
269 HEAVY RAINS & FLOODING DR Flood 1969-08-14
240 TORNADOES & SEVERE STORMS DR Tornado 1968-05-29
193 FLOODING DR Flood 1965-04-22

Storm Events in Iowa

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Johnson County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 4,928 6 227 $40.5M
Hail 3,736 0 0 $4.3M
Heavy Rain 2,394 0 0 $292.0K
Drought 1,556 0 0 $0
Winter Storm 1,543 3 4 $2.8M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

446

Total Paid

$31.9M

Avg Per Claim

$71.6K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Moderate

Score: 87.4/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Moderate

$96.3M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very Low

Community Resilience

Very High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Strong Wind Very High
Tornado Relatively High
Hail Relatively High
Cold Wave Relatively High
Winter Weather Relatively High
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate
Drought Relatively Moderate
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate
Landslide Relatively Low
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate
Lightning Relatively Moderate
Wildfire Relatively Low
Earthquake Very Low
Hurricane Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Strong Wind

Strong Wind covers damaging non-thunderstorm, non-tornadic wind, the kind produced by steep pressure gradients and downslope events. It is a broad, frequent, low-drama hazard: roofs, signage, power lines and high-profile vehicles, spread across a wide area rather than concentrated on a path.

Worth noting for Johnson County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Strong Wind carries the highest modeled rating (Very High), while the county's declaration history is led by Flood. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Johnson County's closest FEMA peer: Jefferson County, NE

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Johnson County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Johnson County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Johnson County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Johnson County's NFIP claims file (446 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Johnson County?
The most common disaster type in Johnson County is Flood, with 12 declarations. Other disaster types include Severe Storm (7), Biological (2), Severe Ice Storm (1).
How does Johnson County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Iowa average?
FEMA lists 24 declaration records for Johnson County. That is 24% above the Iowa county mean of 19.3. Its count is also 16% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Johnson County received?
Johnson County has received 22 major disaster declarations, representing 92% of all 24 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Johnson County filed?
Johnson County has 446 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $31.9M in payments, with an average of $71.6K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Johnson County?
No. In Johnson County, Strong Wind has the highest National Risk Index rating (Very High), while Tornado leads Expected Annual Loss at about $36.2M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Johnson County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Johnson County was 2020, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1965 to 2020.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Johnson County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Johnson County, Iowa has an overall risk score of 87.4 out of 100 (Relatively Moderate). On social vulnerability the county rates Very Low; on community resilience, Very High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Moderate, representing $96.3M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Johnson County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Johnson County is Strong Wind (risk rating: Very High). Other significant hazards include Tornado (Relatively High) and Hail (Relatively High). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts strong wind here at an average of 6.4 times per year, drawn from 244 historical events on record. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Johnson County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Iowa profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events