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Ohio · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Lake County, OH

15 FEMA disaster declarations (1969-2020), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Flood.

15
FEMA declarations
9
Major disasters
77
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Flood
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Lake County. Its 15 FEMA declarations are 2% above the Ohio county mean and exceed the count for 23% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 23%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 23%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
15
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
882
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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How does Lake County compare?

Lake County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

15 23rd percentile higher than 23% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

Lake County's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Ohio county average

0/100100/100Ohio avg55/10077.4/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Ohio county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Lake County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $30.9M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Moderate), while Winter Weather carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Lake County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

FEMA's NFIP table contains a substantial paid-claim history for this county: 882 claims and $12.7M in payments. PlainHazard labels 500 or more claims a heavy registry record; that is a reporting bucket, not an official FEMA risk grade. The average paid claim was $14.4K. NFIP totals exclude uninsured flood losses and do not measure how many properties currently carry a policy.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Lake County's 15 federal records stand 2% above the Ohio county mean of 14.6. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 77.4/100 (Relatively Low). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively Low (roughly $41.9M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Relatively Low and community resilience Very High, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Winter Weather stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 24 times per year here, based on 452 historical events on record.

Declaration frequency

The FEMA register is busy by both local and national comparisons. It contains 15 entries for Lake County, including 9 Major Disaster records, 2% above the Ohio county mean. Across the 51-year span, that works out to 0.3 declarations a year. Flood leads the file with 5 entries. Declaration type records the federal action taken, not every assistance program approved.

57 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Lake County, OH · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
11/30

15 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.7x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
13/25

15 declarations (1.0x state county average of 15)

Major Disaster Share High
15/25

9 of 15 declarations are major disasters (60%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
18/20

7 different disaster types declared in Lake County

Historical Declaration Activity

Activity Band

High

vs. Ohio Avg

+2%

State avg: 14.6

vs. National Avg

-28%

National avg: 20.7

Avg Per Year

0.3

Over 51 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Lake County

Lake County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 48, Hurricane 8, Tornado 48, Wildfire 8, Drought 0, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 70. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 29 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 29 8-hazard mean
Lake County NRI risk profile FIPS 39085 · displayed-hazard mean 29/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

15

Below median

Major Disaster share

60%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

77

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Lake County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Winter Weather Relatively High an average of 24 times per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate an average of 1.4 times per year
Strong Wind Relatively High an average of 1.5 times per year
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate roughly once every 1 years
Hail Relatively Moderate an average of 2.7 times per year
Tornado Relatively Moderate roughly once every 4 years
Heat Wave Relatively Low 1.3 modeled event-days per year
Lightning Relatively Moderate an average of 38 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively Low an average of 3 times per year
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 1,107 years
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 52 years
Coastal Flooding Very Low roughly once every 61 years
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 26,656 years
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 15 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Flood 5
Severe Storm 3
Biological 2
Snowstorm 2
Hurricane 1
Other 1
Tornado 1

What Flood declarations mean here

Flood is the most frequent declaration type on Lake County's record, 33% of its declarations. Federal flood declarations cover two mechanisms that behave very differently: riverine flooding, which builds over days as a watershed drains and is usually forecast well in advance, and flash flooding, which can arrive in under an hour from rainfall that fell somewhere upstream.

Flood is also the one hazard class where a second federal dataset exists for the same events. The National Flood Insurance Program records what was actually paid on insured losses, so it measures a narrower thing than the declaration count: uninsured damage, and flooding outside mapped special flood hazard areas, never enters it. Reading the two together is more informative than either alone.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 9 60.0%

of all 15 declarations

Emergency - 6 40.0%

of all 15 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2020 2
2012 1
2008 1
2006 1
2005 1
2004 1
2003 1
1989 1
1978 1
1975 1
1973 2
1972 1
1969 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 15 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 15 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4507 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-31
3457 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
3346 SEVERE STORMS EM Severe Storm 2012-06-30
3286 RECORD SNOW AND NEAR RECORD SNOW EM Snowstorm 2008-04-24
1656 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2006-08-01
3250 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-13
1556 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2004-09-19
3187 POWER OUTAGE EM Other 2003-09-23
831 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1989-06-10
3055 BLIZZARDS & SNOWSTORMS EM Snowstorm 1978-01-26
480 WINDS, TORNADOES, HEAVY RAINS & FLOODING DR Flood 1975-09-11
377 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1973-04-27
362 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1972-11-24
345 TROPICAL STORM AGNES DR Flood 1972-07-19
266 TORNADOES, SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Tornado 1969-07-15

Storm Events in Ohio

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Lake County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 6,938 6 39 $60.4M
Winter Weather 2,101 7 42 $3.3M
Hail 1,749 0 0 $673.5K
Flood 1,607 9 0 $84.5M
Flash Flood 1,089 9 7 $112.2M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

882

Total Paid

$12.7M

Avg Per Claim

$14.4K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 77.4/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$41.9M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Low

Community Resilience

Very High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Winter Weather Relatively High
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate
Strong Wind Relatively High
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate
Hail Relatively Moderate
Tornado Relatively Moderate
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Moderate
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Earthquake Relatively Low
Hurricane Very Low
Coastal Flooding Very Low
Wildfire Very Low
Landslide Very Low
Drought No Rating

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Winter Weather

Winter Weather in the model means the accumulation of snow and cold that disrupts rather than destroys: road closures, roof loads, burst pipes and lost heating. Its costs land heavily on transport and on households least able to absorb an interruption.

Worth noting for Lake County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Winter Weather carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively High), while the county's declaration history is led by Flood. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Lake County's closest FEMA peer: Tom Green County, TX

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Lake County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Lake County - capture-dated entries only.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Lake County's NFIP claims file (882 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Lake County?
The most common disaster type in Lake County is Flood, with 5 declarations. Other disaster types include Severe Storm (3), Biological (2), Snowstorm (2).
How does Lake County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Ohio average?
FEMA lists 15 declaration records for Lake County. That is 2% above the Ohio county mean of 14.6. Its count is also 28% below the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Lake County received?
Lake County has received 9 major disaster declarations, representing 60% of all 15 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Lake County filed?
Lake County has 882 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $12.7M in payments, with an average of $14.4K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Lake County?
No. In Lake County, Winter Weather has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $30.9M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Lake County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Lake County was 1973, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1969 to 2020.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Lake County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Lake County, Ohio has an overall risk score of 77.4 out of 100 (Relatively Low). The county's social vulnerability rating is Relatively Low and community resilience is Very High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $41.9M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Lake County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Lake County is Winter Weather (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Riverine Flooding (Relatively Moderate) and Strong Wind (Relatively High). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts winter weather here at an average of 24 times per year, drawn from 452 historical events on record. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Lake County

Lake County, OH has 15 federal declaration records, 2% more than the Ohio county mean of 15; its history sits in PlainHazard's high activity band.

  • Within this above-state-average declaration file, major disaster leads with 9 of 15 records; the category describes past federal action, not the next likely hazard. Ohio overview
  • The state benchmark and national rank point the same way: this count tops the Ohio mean and the totals for 23% of 3,266 U.S. counties. Most-disaster rankings
  • The large NFIP claims file and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records; the guide explains where they overlap and where they do not. Disaster-data guide

An above-average declaration count records past federal responses; it does not predict the next event. Current warnings come from the National Weather Service and local emergency officials.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.