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Oregon · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Lane County, OR

24 FEMA disaster declarations (1965-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively High. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

24
FEMA declarations
19
Major disasters
96
NRI risk · Relatively High
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Lane County. Its 24 FEMA declarations are 44% above the Oregon county mean and exceed the count for 66% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 4%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 4%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively High
FEMA National Risk Index rating
24
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
454
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 41039 · Lane County 24 declarations · rank 1072/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-HIGH · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-ABOVE

  • DECL-HEAVY 24
  • MAJOR-MID 79%
  • RANK-LOWER #1,072
  • PHOTO-FINISH Eddy
  • NRI-HIGH 96
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-ABOVE +44%

Nearest declaration peer: Eddy, ND (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Oregon state profile

Lane County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among Lane County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Lane County carries 24 FEMA declaration records, ranked 1072 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How Lane County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

Lane County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Lane County

24 Top 34% higher than 66% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Lane County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Oregon avg63/10096.4/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Oregon county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Lane County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $117.0M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Moderate), while Earthquake carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Lane County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 454 paid claims, totaling $4.2M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $9.2K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Lane County's 24 federal records stand 44% above the Oregon county mean of 16.6. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 96.4/100 (Relatively High). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively High (roughly $221.3M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Relatively Moderate and community resilience Relatively High, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Earthquake stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 61 years here.

70 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Lane County, OR · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
17/30

24 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.2x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
18/25

24 declarations (1.4x state county average of 17)

Major Disaster Share Very High
20/25

19 of 24 declarations are major disasters (79%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
15/20

6 different disaster types declared in Lane County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Lane County

Lane County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 70, Flood 70, Hurricane 0, Tornado 8, Wildfire 25, Drought 8, Heat Wave 48, Winter Storm 70. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 37 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 37 8-hazard mean
Lane County NRI risk profile FIPS 41039 · displayed-hazard mean 37/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

24

Above median

Major Disaster share

79%

Mostly major

NRI risk score

96

Relatively High

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Lane County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Earthquake Relatively High roughly once every 61 years
Riverine Flooding Relatively High roughly once every 1 years
Volcanic Activity Relatively Moderate roughly once every 86 years
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate 4.5 modeled event-days per year
Landslide Relatively Moderate an average of 5.5 times per year
Lightning Relatively High an average of 7.5 times per year
Winter Weather Relatively High an average of 20 times per year
Ice Storm Relatively High roughly once every 3 years
Wildfire Relatively Low roughly once every 4,312 years
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate roughly once every 29 years
Coastal Flooding Relatively Low an average of 3.6 times per year
Avalanche Very Low roughly once every 100 years
Cold Wave Relatively Low roughly once every 7 years
Hail Very Low roughly once every 6 years
Tsunami Very Low roughly once every 7 years
Tornado Very Low roughly once every 8 years
Drought Very Low 18 modeled event-days per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 10
Flood 6
Fire 4
Biological 2
Coastal Storm 1
Fishing Losses 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Lane County's record, 42% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 19 79.2%

of all 24 declarations

Emergency - 3 12.5%

of all 24 declarations

Fire Management - 2 8.3%

of all 24 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2024 1
2023 1
2020 5
2019 1
2017 1
2016 1
2014 1
2012 1
2005 1
2004 1
2002 1
1997 2
1996 2
1994 1
Show 3 earlier declaration years
1974 1
1972 1
1965 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 24 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 24 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4907 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2026-04-07
4768 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2024-04-13
5457 CEDAR CREEK FIRE FM Fire 2023-01-27
4562 WILDFIRES AND STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS DR Fire 2020-09-15
3542 WILDFIRES EM Fire 2020-09-10
5357 HOLIDAY FARM FIRE FM Fire 2020-09-08
4499 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-28
3429 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4432 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2019-05-02
4296 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2017-01-25
4258 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2016-02-17
4169 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 2014-04-04
4055 SEVERE WINTER STORM, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Flood 2012-03-02
3228 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Coastal Storm 2005-09-07
1510 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Storm 2004-02-19
1405 SEVERE WINTER STORM WITH HIGH WINDS DR Severe Storm 2002-03-12
1160 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, LAND AND MUDSLIDES, FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1997-01-23
1149 FLOODING, LAND, MUD SLIDES, HIGH WINDS,SEVERE STORMS DR Flood 1996-12-23
1107 SEVERE STORMS AND HIGH WINDS DR Severe Storm 1996-03-19
1099 HIGH WINDS, SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 1996-02-09
Show 4 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
1036 THE EL NINO (THE SALMON INDUSTRY) DR Fishing Losses 1994-08-02
413 SEVERE STORMS, SNOWMELT & FLOODING DR Flood 1974-01-25
319 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1972-01-21
184 HEAVY RAINS & FLOODING DR Flood 1964-12-24

Storm Events in Oregon

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Lane County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
High Wind 859 13 10 $3.2B
Heavy Snow 654 2 0 $139.2M
Frost/Freeze 391 0 0 $0
Wildfire 311 15 38 $15.1M
Flood 244 3 1 $68.4M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

454

Total Paid

$4.2M

Avg Per Claim

$9.2K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively High

Score: 96.4/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively High

$221.3M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Moderate

Community Resilience

Relatively High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Earthquake Relatively High
Riverine Flooding Relatively High
Volcanic Activity Relatively Moderate
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate
Landslide Relatively Moderate
Lightning Relatively High
Winter Weather Relatively High
Ice Storm Relatively High
Wildfire Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Coastal Flooding Relatively Low
Avalanche Very Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Hail Very Low
Tsunami Very Low
Tornado Very Low
Drought Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Earthquake

Earthquake is the model's clearest example of a hazard with no season and no warning. Its expected loss is driven less by how often shaking occurs than by how much of the building stock predates modern seismic codes, so exposure can be high in places where nothing has happened for a long time.

Worth noting for Lane County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Earthquake carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively High), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Lane County's closest FEMA peer: McLean County, ND

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Lane County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Lane County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Lane County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Lane County's NFIP claims file (454 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Lane County?
The most common disaster type in Lane County is Severe Storm, with 10 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (6), Fire (4), Biological (2).
How does Lane County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Oregon average?
FEMA lists 24 declaration records for Lane County. That is 44% above the Oregon county mean of 16.6. Its count is also 16% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Lane County received?
Lane County has received 19 major disaster declarations, representing 79% of all 24 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Lane County filed?
Lane County has 454 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $4.2M in payments, with an average of $9.2K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Lane County?
No. In Lane County, Earthquake has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $117.0M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Lane County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Lane County was 2020, with 5 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1965 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Lane County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Lane County, Oregon has an overall risk score of 96.4 out of 100 (Relatively High). The county's social vulnerability rating is Relatively Moderate and community resilience is Relatively High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively High, representing $221.3M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Lane County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Lane County is Earthquake (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Riverine Flooding (Relatively High) and Volcanic Activity (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts earthquake here at roughly once every 61 years. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Lane County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Oregon profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events