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The data below is historical (NOAA Storm Events / FEMA), not a live alert. For current warnings and evacuation orders, check the National Weather Service, Ready.gov, or FEMA.gov.

Oregon · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Lincoln County, OR

24 FEMA disaster declarations (1965-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

24
FEMA declarations
20
Major disasters
90
NRI risk · Relatively Moderate
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Lincoln County. Its 24 FEMA declarations are 44% above the Oregon county mean and exceed the count for 66% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 10%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 10%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Moderate
FEMA National Risk Index rating
24
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
462
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 41041 · Lincoln County 24 declarations · rank 996/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-HEAVY · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-MID · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-ABOVE

  • DECL-HEAVY 24
  • MAJOR-HEAVY 83%
  • RANK-LOWER #996
  • PHOTO-FINISH Eddy
  • NRI-MID 90
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-ABOVE +44%

Nearest declaration peer: Eddy, ND (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Oregon state profile

Lincoln County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among Lincoln County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Lincoln County carries 24 FEMA declaration records, ranked 996 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How Lincoln County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

Lincoln County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Lincoln County

24 Top 34% higher than 66% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Lincoln County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Oregon avg63/10089.9/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Oregon county average

What does Lincoln County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 462 paid claims, totaling $6.3M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $13.7K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Lincoln County's 24 federal records stand 44% above the Oregon county mean of 16.6. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 89.9/100 (Relatively Moderate). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively Moderate (roughly $59.3M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Very High and community resilience Relatively Moderate, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Earthquake carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 55 years here.

74 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Lincoln County, OR · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
17/30

24 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.2x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
18/25

24 declarations (1.4x state county average of 17)

Major Disaster Share Very High
21/25

20 of 24 declarations are major disasters (83%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
18/20

7 different disaster types declared in Lincoln County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Lincoln County

Lincoln County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 48, Flood 48, Hurricane 0, Tornado 8, Wildfire 8, Drought 8, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 70. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 25 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 25 8-hazard mean
Lincoln County NRI risk profile FIPS 41041 · displayed-hazard mean 25/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

24

Above median

Major Disaster share

83%

Mostly major

NRI risk score

90

Relatively Moderate

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Lincoln County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Earthquake Relatively Moderate roughly once every 55 years
Landslide Relatively Moderate an average of 9 times per year
Ice Storm Relatively High roughly once every 4 years
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate roughly once every 2 years
Volcanic Activity Very Low roughly once every 99 years
Tsunami Relatively Moderate roughly once every 7 years
Coastal Flooding Relatively Moderate an average of 3.8 times per year
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 8,978 years
Heat Wave Very Low 3.5 modeled event-days per year
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 6.3 times per year
Avalanche Very Low roughly once every 100 years
Strong Wind Very Low roughly once every 40 years
Cold Wave Very Low roughly once every 19 years
Drought Very Low 5.1 modeled event-days per year
Tornado Very Low roughly once every 18 years
Winter Weather Very Low an average of 8.4 times per year
Hail Very Low roughly once every 59 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 11
Flood 5
Fire 3
Biological 2
Tsunami 1
Coastal Storm 1
Fishing Losses 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Lincoln County's record, 46% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 20 83.3%

of all 24 declarations

Emergency - 3 12.5%

of all 24 declarations

Fire Management - 1 4.2%

of all 24 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2024 1
2020 5
2016 1
2014 1
2012 1
2011 2
2008 1
2007 2
2006 1
2005 1
2004 1
1996 2
1994 1
1974 1
Show 2 earlier declaration years
1972 1
1965 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 24 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 24 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4907 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2026-04-07
4768 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2024-04-13
4562 WILDFIRES AND STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS DR Fire 2020-09-15
3542 WILDFIRES EM Fire 2020-09-10
5362 ECHO MOUNTAIN FIRE COMPLEX FM Fire 2020-09-09
4499 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-28
3429 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4258 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2016-02-17
4169 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 2014-04-04
4055 SEVERE WINTER STORM, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Flood 2012-03-02
1964 TSUNAMI WAVE SURGE DR Tsunami 2011-03-25
1956 SEVERE WINTER STORM, FLOODING, MUDSLIDES, LANDSLIDES, AND DEBRIS FLOWS DR Severe Storm 2011-02-17
1733 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2007-12-08
1683 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2007-02-22
1672 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2006-12-29
1632 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2006-03-20
3228 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Coastal Storm 2005-09-07
1510 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Storm 2004-02-19
1107 SEVERE STORMS AND HIGH WINDS DR Severe Storm 1996-03-19
1099 HIGH WINDS, SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 1996-02-09
Show 4 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
1036 THE EL NINO (THE SALMON INDUSTRY) DR Fishing Losses 1994-08-02
413 SEVERE STORMS, SNOWMELT & FLOODING DR Flood 1974-01-25
319 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1972-01-21
184 HEAVY RAINS & FLOODING DR Flood 1964-12-24

Storm Events in Oregon

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Lincoln County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
High Wind 859 13 10 $3.2B
Heavy Snow 654 2 0 $139.2M
Frost/Freeze 391 0 0 $0
Wildfire 311 15 38 $15.1M
Flood 244 3 1 $68.4M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

462

Total Paid

$6.3M

Avg Per Claim

$13.7K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Moderate

Score: 89.9/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Moderate

$59.3M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very High

Community Resilience

Relatively Moderate

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Earthquake Relatively Moderate
Landslide Relatively Moderate
Ice Storm Relatively High
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate
Volcanic Activity Very Low
Tsunami Relatively Moderate
Coastal Flooding Relatively Moderate
Wildfire Very Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Avalanche Very Low
Strong Wind Very Low
Cold Wave Very Low
Drought Very Low
Tornado Very Low
Winter Weather Very Low
Hail Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Earthquake

Earthquake is the model's clearest example of a hazard with no season and no warning. Its expected loss is driven less by how often shaking occurs than by how much of the building stock predates modern seismic codes, so exposure can be high in places where nothing has happened for a long time.

Worth noting for Lincoln County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Earthquake carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Lincoln County's closest FEMA peer: Blue Earth County, MN

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Lincoln County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Lincoln County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Lincoln County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Lincoln County's NFIP claims file (462 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Lincoln County?
The most common disaster type in Lincoln County is Severe Storm, with 11 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (5), Fire (3), Biological (2).
How does Lincoln County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Oregon average?
FEMA lists 24 declaration records for Lincoln County. That is 44% above the Oregon county mean of 16.6. Its count is also 16% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Lincoln County received?
Lincoln County has received 20 major disaster declarations, representing 83% of all 24 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Lincoln County filed?
Lincoln County has 462 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $6.3M in payments, with an average of $13.7K per claim.
What was the worst year for disasters in Lincoln County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Lincoln County was 2020, with 5 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1965 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Lincoln County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Lincoln County, Oregon has an overall risk score of 89.9 out of 100 (Relatively Moderate). The county's social vulnerability rating is Very High and community resilience is Relatively Moderate. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Moderate, representing $59.3M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Lincoln County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Lincoln County is Earthquake (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Landslide (Relatively Moderate) and Ice Storm (Relatively High). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts earthquake here at roughly once every 55 years. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Lincoln County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Oregon profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events