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Oregon · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Tillamook County, OR

25 FEMA disaster declarations (1965-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

25
FEMA declarations
21
Major disasters
81
NRI risk · Relatively Moderate
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Tillamook County. Its 25 FEMA declarations are 50% above the Oregon county mean and exceed the count for 71% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 19%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 19%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Moderate
FEMA National Risk Index rating
25
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
754
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

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How does Tillamook County compare?

Tillamook County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

25 Top 29% higher than 71% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

Tillamook County's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Oregon county average

0/100100/100Oregon avg63/10081.3/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Oregon county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Tillamook County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $14.8M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Moderate), while Earthquake carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Tillamook County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

FEMA's NFIP table contains a substantial paid-claim history for this county: 754 claims and $15.2M in payments. PlainHazard labels 500 or more claims a heavy registry record; that is a reporting bucket, not an official FEMA risk grade. The average paid claim was $20.2K. NFIP totals exclude uninsured flood losses and do not measure how many properties currently carry a policy.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Tillamook County's 25 federal records stand 50% above the Oregon county mean of 16.6. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 81.3/100 (Relatively Moderate). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively Low (roughly $39.3M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Relatively Moderate and community resilience Relatively High, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Earthquake carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 58 years here.

Declaration frequency

The FEMA register is busy by both local and national comparisons. It contains 25 entries for Tillamook County, including 21 Major Disaster records, 50% above the Oregon county mean. Across the 61-year span, that works out to 0.4 declarations a year. Severe Storm leads the file with 11 entries. Declaration type records the federal action taken, not every assistance program approved.

73 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Tillamook County, OR · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
18/30

25 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.2x national county average)

County Disaster Density Very High
19/25

25 declarations (1.5x state county average of 17)

Major Disaster Share Very High
21/25

21 of 25 declarations are major disasters (84%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
15/20

6 different disaster types declared in Tillamook County

Historical Declaration Activity

Activity Band

High

vs. Oregon Avg

+50%

State avg: 16.6

vs. National Avg

+21%

National avg: 20.7

Avg Per Year

0.4

Over 61 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Tillamook County

Tillamook County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 48, Flood 48, Hurricane 0, Tornado 8, Wildfire 8, Drought 8, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 25. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 19 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 19 8-hazard mean
Tillamook County NRI risk profile FIPS 41057 · displayed-hazard mean 19/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

25

High volume

Major Disaster share

84%

Mostly major

NRI risk score

81

Relatively Moderate

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Tillamook County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Earthquake Relatively Moderate roughly once every 58 years
Landslide Relatively Moderate an average of 6.9 times per year
Volcanic Activity Very Low roughly once every 99 years
Tsunami Relatively Moderate roughly once every 7 years
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate an average of 1.3 times per year
Coastal Flooding Relatively Moderate an average of 3.8 times per year
Ice Storm Relatively Low roughly once every 3 years
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 18,187 years
Avalanche Very Low roughly once every 100 years
Heat Wave Very Low 3.5 modeled event-days per year
Strong Wind Relatively Low roughly once every 21 years
Winter Weather Very Low an average of 12 times per year
Cold Wave Very Low roughly once every 8 years
Drought Very Low 1 modeled event-day per year
Lightning Very Low an average of 5.8 times per year
Tornado Very Low roughly once every 9 years
Hail Very Low roughly once every 28 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 11
Flood 7
Fire 3
Biological 2
Coastal Storm 1
Fishing Losses 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Tillamook County's record, 44% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 21 84.0%

of all 25 declarations

Emergency - 3 12.0%

of all 25 declarations

Fire Management - 1 4.0%

of all 25 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2024 1
2020 5
2016 1
2012 1
2011 1
2009 1
2008 1
2007 2
2006 1
2005 1
2004 1
1996 2
1994 1
1990 1
Show 4 earlier declaration years
1974 1
1972 1
1971 1
1965 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 25 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 25 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4907 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2026-04-07
4768 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2024-04-13
4562 WILDFIRES AND STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS DR Fire 2020-09-15
5368 PIKE ROAD FIRE FM Fire 2020-09-10
3542 WILDFIRES EM Fire 2020-09-10
4499 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-28
3429 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4258 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2016-02-17
4055 SEVERE WINTER STORM, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Flood 2012-03-02
1956 SEVERE WINTER STORM, FLOODING, MUDSLIDES, LANDSLIDES, AND DEBRIS FLOWS DR Severe Storm 2011-02-17
1824 SEVERE WINTER STORM, RECORD AND NEAR RECORD SNOW DR Severe Storm 2009-03-02
1733 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2007-12-08
1683 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2007-02-22
1672 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2006-12-29
1632 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2006-03-20
3228 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Coastal Storm 2005-09-07
1510 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Storm 2004-02-19
1107 SEVERE STORMS AND HIGH WINDS DR Severe Storm 1996-03-19
1099 HIGH WINDS, SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 1996-02-09
1036 THE EL NINO (THE SALMON INDUSTRY) DR Fishing Losses 1994-08-02
Show 5 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
853 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1990-01-24
413 SEVERE STORMS, SNOWMELT & FLOODING DR Flood 1974-01-25
319 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1972-01-21
301 STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1971-02-13
184 HEAVY RAINS & FLOODING DR Flood 1964-12-24

Storm Events in Oregon

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Tillamook County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
High Wind 859 13 10 $3.2B
Heavy Snow 654 2 0 $139.2M
Frost/Freeze 391 0 0 $0
Wildfire 311 15 38 $15.1M
Flood 244 3 1 $68.4M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

754

Total Paid

$15.2M

Avg Per Claim

$20.2K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Moderate

Score: 81.3/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$39.3M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Moderate

Community Resilience

Relatively High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Earthquake Relatively Moderate
Landslide Relatively Moderate
Volcanic Activity Very Low
Tsunami Relatively Moderate
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate
Coastal Flooding Relatively Moderate
Ice Storm Relatively Low
Wildfire Very Low
Avalanche Very Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Winter Weather Very Low
Cold Wave Very Low
Drought Very Low
Lightning Very Low
Tornado Very Low
Hail Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Earthquake

Earthquake is the model's clearest example of a hazard with no season and no warning. Its expected loss is driven less by how often shaking occurs than by how much of the building stock predates modern seismic codes, so exposure can be high in places where nothing has happened for a long time.

Worth noting for Tillamook County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Earthquake carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Tillamook County's closest FEMA peer: Traverse County, MN

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Tillamook County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Tillamook County - capture-dated entries only.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Tillamook County's NFIP claims file (754 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Tillamook County?
The most common disaster type in Tillamook County is Severe Storm, with 11 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (7), Fire (3), Biological (2).
How does Tillamook County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Oregon average?
FEMA lists 25 declaration records for Tillamook County. That is 50% above the Oregon county mean of 16.6. Its count is also 21% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Tillamook County received?
Tillamook County has received 21 major disaster declarations, representing 84% of all 25 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Tillamook County filed?
Tillamook County has 754 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $15.2M in payments, with an average of $20.2K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Tillamook County?
No. In Tillamook County, Earthquake has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $14.8M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Tillamook County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Tillamook County was 2020, with 5 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1965 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Tillamook County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Tillamook County, Oregon has an overall risk score of 81.3 out of 100 (Relatively Moderate). Social vulnerability here rates Relatively Moderate, while community resilience comes in at Relatively High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $39.3M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Tillamook County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Tillamook County as of the latest release is Earthquake (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Landslide (Relatively Moderate) and Volcanic Activity (Very Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts earthquake here at roughly once every 58 years. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Tillamook County

Tillamook County, OR has 25 federal declaration records, 50% more than the Oregon county mean of 17; its history sits in PlainHazard's high activity band.

  • Within this above-state-average declaration file, major disaster leads with 21 of 25 records; the category describes past federal action, not the next likely hazard. Oregon overview
  • The state benchmark and national rank point the same way: this count tops the Oregon mean and the totals for 71% of 3,266 U.S. counties. Most-disaster rankings
  • The large NFIP claims file and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records; the guide explains where they overlap and where they do not. Disaster-data guide

An above-average declaration count records past federal responses; it does not predict the next event. Current warnings come from the National Weather Service and local emergency officials.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.