PlainHazard

If you are in immediate danger, call 911.

The data below is historical (NOAA Storm Events / FEMA), not a live alert. For current warnings and evacuation orders, check the National Weather Service, Ready.gov, or FEMA.gov.

New York · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Madison County, NY

24 FEMA disaster declarations (1972-2020), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

24
FEMA declarations
17
Major disasters
59
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Madison County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 24 declarations, more than 66% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 2% below the New York county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county in the riskiest 41%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Riskiest 41%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
24
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
313
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

View my watchlist

How does Madison County compare?

Madison County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

24 Top 34% higher than 66% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

Madison County's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the New York county average

0/100100/100New York avg69/10059.4/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the New York county average

What does Madison County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 313 paid claims, totaling $4.7M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $14.9K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

Start with the state benchmark: a New York county averages 24.5 federal declaration records, while Madison County has 24. The gap is 2% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county carries a high composite score on FEMA's National Risk Index, 59.4/100, rated Relatively Low. Its Expected Annual Loss rating is Relatively Low (roughly $23.0M in annualized losses), and a Relatively Low social-vulnerability profile combined with Very High community resilience shapes how much of that raw exposure becomes realized harm. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Riverine Flooding carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 1 years here, based on 27 historical events on record.

Declaration frequency

Nationally, Madison County's 24 FEMA records form a high-volume history; within New York, however, the count is 2% below the county mean. 17 entries carry the Major Disaster classification. The largest incident group is Severe Storm, appearing 8 times. The full 48-year record averages 0.5 declarations annually. A DR label alone does not say whether Individual Assistance, Public Assistance, or both followed.

67 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Madison County, NY · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
17/30

24 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.2x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
12/25

24 declarations (1.0x state county average of 25)

Major Disaster Share High
18/25

17 of 24 declarations are major disasters (71%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

8 different disaster types declared in Madison County

Historical Declaration Activity

Activity Band

High

vs. New York Avg

-2%

State avg: 24.5

vs. National Avg

+16%

National avg: 20.7

Avg Per Year

0.5

Over 48 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Madison County

Madison County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 48, Hurricane 25, Tornado 25, Wildfire 8, Drought 0, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 21 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 21 8-hazard mean
Madison County NRI risk profile FIPS 36053 · displayed-hazard mean 21/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

24

Above median

Major Disaster share

71%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

59

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Madison County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate roughly once every 1 years
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate an average of 28 times per year
Lightning Relatively Moderate an average of 29 times per year
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate roughly once every 1 years
Landslide Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Hurricane Relatively Low roughly once every 61 years
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 952 years
Strong Wind Relatively Low an average of 1.4 times per year
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 7 years
Heat Wave Very Low 2.9 modeled event-days per year
Cold Wave Relatively Low an average of 4.5 times per year
Hail Very Low an average of 2.4 times per year
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 53,612 years
Avalanche Very Low roughly once every 100 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 8
Flood 5
Snowstorm 3
Biological 2
Hurricane 2
Other 2
Severe Ice Storm 1
Fire 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Madison County's record, 33% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 17 70.8%

of all 24 declarations

Emergency - 7 29.2%

of all 24 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2020 3
2017 1
2013 2
2011 1
2006 1
2005 3
2004 1
2003 4
2001 2
2000 1
1998 1
1996 1
1993 1
1976 1
1972 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 24 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 24 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4480 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-20
3434 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4472 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2019-12-19
4322 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND SNOWSTORM DR Snowstorm 2017-07-12
4129 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 2013-07-12
3351 HURRICANE SANDY EM Hurricane 2012-10-28
1993 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, TORNADOES, AND STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS DR Flood 2011-06-10
1650 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2006-07-01
3262 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-30
1589 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2005-04-19
1564 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2004-10-01
1534 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2004-08-03
1486 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2003-08-29
3186 POWER OUTAGE EM Other 2003-08-23
1467 ICE STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 2003-05-12
3173 SNOWSTORMS EM Snowstorm 2003-02-25
1391 FIRES AND EXPLOSIONS DR Fire 2001-09-11
3155 WEST NILE VIRUS EM Other 2000-10-11
1335 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2000-07-21
1244 NY - SEVERE WX, SEPT 7, 1998 DR Severe Storm 1998-09-11
Show 4 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
1095 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 1996-01-24
3107 SEVERE BLIZZARD EM Snowstorm 1993-03-17
487 STORMS, RAINS, LANDSLIDES & FLOODING DR Flood 1975-10-02
338 TROPICAL STORM AGNES DR Flood 1972-06-23

Storm Events in New York

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Madison County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 8,295 6 45 $45.0M
Winter Weather 2,261 7 17 $705.5K
Flash Flood 1,775 23 3 $674.3M
Strong Wind 1,399 2 12 $9.2M
Winter Storm 1,228 13 2 $4.9M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

313

Total Paid

$4.7M

Avg Per Claim

$14.9K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 59.4/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$23.0M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Low

Community Resilience

Very High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate
Lightning Relatively Moderate
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate
Landslide Relatively Low
Hurricane Relatively Low
Earthquake Very Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Hail Very Low
Wildfire Very Low
Avalanche Very Low
Drought No Rating

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Riverine Flooding

Riverine Flooding is the model's measure of a watershed draining more water than its channel can carry. Unlike flash flooding it usually builds over days and is forecast in advance, which makes it the hazard where warning time most reliably converts into reduced harm.

Worth noting for Madison County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Riverine Flooding carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Madison County's closest FEMA peer: Botetourt County, VA

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Madison County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Madison County - capture-dated entries only.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Madison County's NFIP claims file (313 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Madison County?
The most common disaster type in Madison County is Severe Storm, with 8 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (5), Snowstorm (3), Biological (2).
How does Madison County's FEMA declaration record compare with the New York average?
The typical New York county has 24.5 FEMA declaration records; Madison County has 24, or 2% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 16% higher. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Madison County received?
Madison County has received 17 major disaster declarations, representing 71% of all 24 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Madison County filed?
Madison County has 313 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $4.7M in payments, with an average of $14.9K per claim.
What was the worst year for disasters in Madison County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Madison County was 2003, with 4 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1972 to 2020.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Madison County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Madison County, New York has an overall risk score of 59.4 out of 100 (Relatively Low). Social vulnerability here rates Relatively Low, while community resilience comes in at Very High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $23.0M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Madison County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in Madison County is Riverine Flooding (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Winter Weather (Relatively Moderate) and Lightning (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts riverine flooding here at roughly once every 1 years, drawn from 27 historical events on record. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Madison County

Against a New York county mean of 25 declarations, Madison County, NY records 24, or 2% fewer. PlainHazard classifies that historical total as high activity.

  • Major Disaster is the largest group (17 of 24) in a declaration history that remains below its state benchmark; frequency here is not a forecast. New York overview
  • Nationally the county exceeds 66% of recorded county totals, but its own New York benchmark is higher. The ranking keeps those two contexts separate. Most-disaster rankings
  • Use the data guide to separate this mid-volume insurance-claims file from declaration counts and modeled NRI risk. Disaster-data guide

A below-average federal record is not a safety guarantee. Use National Weather Service alerts and local emergency-management notices for present conditions, not this historical comparison.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.