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New York · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Oswego County, NY

21 FEMA disaster declarations (1972-2025), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Flood.

21
FEMA declarations
12
Major disasters
68
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Flood
Top hazard

The verdict

Oswego County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 21 declarations, more than 52% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 14% below the New York county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county in the riskiest 32%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Riskiest 32%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
21
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
221
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 36075 · Oswego County 21 declarations · rank 1521/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-HEAVY 21
  • MAJOR-MID 57%
  • RANK-LOWER #1,521
  • PHOTO-FINISH Montgomery
  • NRI-LOW 68
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Flood
  • VS-ST-BELOW -14%

Nearest declaration peer: Montgomery, IN (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · New York state profile

Oswego County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among Oswego County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Oswego County carries 21 FEMA declaration records, ranked 1521 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How Oswego County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

Oswego County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Oswego County

21 Top 48% higher than 52% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Oswego County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100New York avg69/10067.6/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the New York county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Oswego County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $21.7M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Moderate), while Winter Weather carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Oswego County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 221 paid claims, totaling $2.5M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $11.3K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

Start with the state benchmark: a New York county averages 24.5 federal declaration records, while Oswego County has 21. The gap is 14% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county carries a high composite score on FEMA's National Risk Index, 67.6/100, rated Relatively Low. Its Expected Annual Loss rating is Relatively Low (roughly $26.6M in annualized losses), and a Relatively Moderate social-vulnerability profile combined with Very High community resilience shapes how much of that raw exposure becomes realized harm. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Winter Weather stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 47 times per year here, based on 888 historical events on record.

60 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Oswego County, NY · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
15/30

21 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.0x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
11/25

21 declarations (0.9x state county average of 25)

Major Disaster Share High
14/25

12 of 21 declarations are major disasters (57%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

9 different disaster types declared in Oswego County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Oswego County

Oswego County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 48, Hurricane 25, Tornado 25, Wildfire 8, Drought 0, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 70. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 28 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 28 8-hazard mean
Oswego County NRI risk profile FIPS 36075 · displayed-hazard mean 28/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

21

Above median

Major Disaster share

57%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

68

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Oswego County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Winter Weather Relatively High an average of 47 times per year
Ice Storm Relatively High an average of 1.4 times per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate roughly once every 1 years
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate an average of 1.2 times per year
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 889 years
Lightning Relatively Moderate an average of 29 times per year
Hurricane Relatively Low roughly once every 70 years
Heat Wave Relatively Low 2.9 modeled event-days per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 3 years
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 6 years
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 15,865 years
Coastal Flooding Very Low roughly once every 71 years
Hail Very Low an average of 1.5 times per year
Cold Wave Very Low an average of 4.3 times per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Flood 6
Severe Storm 3
Snowstorm 3
Biological 2
Hurricane 2
Other 2
Winter Storm 1
Severe Ice Storm 1
Fire 1

What Flood declarations mean here

Flood is the most frequent declaration type on Oswego County's record, 29% of its declarations. Federal flood declarations cover two mechanisms that behave very differently: riverine flooding, which builds over days as a watershed drains and is usually forecast well in advance, and flash flooding, which can arrive in under an hour from rainfall that fell somewhere upstream.

Flood is also the one hazard class where a second federal dataset exists for the same events. The National Flood Insurance Program records what was actually paid on insured losses, so it measures a narrower thing than the declaration count: uninsured damage, and flooding outside mapped special flood hazard areas, never enters it. Reading the two together is more informative than either alone.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 12 57.1%

of all 21 declarations

Emergency - 9 42.9%

of all 21 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2025 1
2023 1
2020 3
2018 1
2013 1
2007 1
2005 1
2004 2
2003 2
2001 2
1993 1
1985 1
1976 1
1974 1
1973 1
Show 1 earlier declaration years
1972 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 21 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 21 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4839 SEVERE STORM AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2024-10-21
3589 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND SNOWSTORM EM Winter Storm 2022-11-20
4480 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-20
3434 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4472 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2019-12-19
4348 FLOODING DR Flood 2017-11-14
3351 HURRICANE SANDY EM Hurricane 2012-10-28
3273 RECORD SNOW AND NEAR RECORD SNOW EM Snowstorm 2007-02-23
3262 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-30
1534 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2004-08-03
3195 SNOW EM Snowstorm 2004-03-03
3186 POWER OUTAGE EM Other 2003-08-23
1467 ICE STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 2003-05-12
1391 FIRES AND EXPLOSIONS DR Fire 2001-09-11
3155 WEST NILE VIRUS EM Other 2000-10-11
3107 SEVERE BLIZZARD EM Snowstorm 1993-03-17
733 FLOODING DR Flood 1985-03-20
487 STORMS, RAINS, LANDSLIDES & FLOODING DR Flood 1975-10-02
447 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1974-07-23
367 HIGH WINDS, WAVE ACTION & FLOODING DR Flood 1973-03-21
Show 1 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
338 TROPICAL STORM AGNES DR Flood 1972-06-23

Storm Events in New York

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Oswego County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 8,295 6 45 $45.0M
Winter Weather 2,261 7 17 $705.5K
Flash Flood 1,775 23 3 $674.3M
Strong Wind 1,399 2 12 $9.2M
Winter Storm 1,228 13 2 $4.9M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

221

Total Paid

$2.5M

Avg Per Claim

$11.3K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 67.6/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$26.6M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Moderate

Community Resilience

Very High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Winter Weather Relatively High
Ice Storm Relatively High
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Earthquake Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Moderate
Hurricane Relatively Low
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Landslide Very Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Wildfire Very Low
Coastal Flooding Very Low
Hail Very Low
Cold Wave Very Low
Drought No Rating

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Winter Weather

Winter Weather in the model means the accumulation of snow and cold that disrupts rather than destroys: road closures, roof loads, burst pipes and lost heating. Its costs land heavily on transport and on households least able to absorb an interruption.

Worth noting for Oswego County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Winter Weather carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively High), while the county's declaration history is led by Flood. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Oswego County's closest FEMA peer: Grayson County, VA

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Oswego County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Oswego County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Oswego County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Oswego County's NFIP claims file (221 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Oswego County?
The most common disaster type in Oswego County is Flood, with 6 declarations. Other disaster types include Severe Storm (3), Snowstorm (3), Biological (2).
How does Oswego County's FEMA declaration record compare with the New York average?
The typical New York county has 24.5 FEMA declaration records; Oswego County has 21, or 14% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 1% higher. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Oswego County received?
Oswego County has received 12 major disaster declarations, representing 57% of all 21 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Oswego County filed?
Oswego County has 221 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $2.5M in payments, with an average of $11.3K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Oswego County?
No. In Oswego County, Winter Weather has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $21.7M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Oswego County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Oswego County was 2020, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1972 to 2025.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Oswego County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Oswego County, New York has an overall risk score of 67.6 out of 100 (Relatively Low). On social vulnerability the county rates Relatively Moderate; on community resilience, Very High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $26.6M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Oswego County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Oswego County as of the latest release is Winter Weather (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Ice Storm (Relatively High) and Riverine Flooding (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts winter weather here at an average of 47 times per year, drawn from 888 historical events on record. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Oswego County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · New York profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events