PlainHazard

If you are in immediate danger, call 911.

The data below is historical (NOAA Storm Events / FEMA), not a live alert. For current warnings and evacuation orders, check the National Weather Service, Ready.gov, or FEMA.gov.

Tennessee · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Marion County, TN

25 FEMA disaster declarations (1973-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

25
FEMA declarations
18
Major disasters
58
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Marion County. Its 25 FEMA declarations are 17% above the Tennessee county mean and exceed the count for 71% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 42%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 42%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
25
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
117
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

View my watchlist

FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 47115 · Marion County 25 declarations · rank 916/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-ABOVE

  • DECL-HEAVY 25
  • MAJOR-MID 72%
  • RANK-LOWER #916
  • PHOTO-FINISH Jefferson
  • NRI-LOW 58
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-ABOVE +17%

Nearest declaration peer: Jefferson, AR (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Tennessee state profile

Marion County among high-volume declaration counties

FEMA declaration records among Marion County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Marion County carries 25 FEMA declaration records, ranked 916 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Where Marion County ranks in the national declaration registry

Marion County vs. high-volume counties in this registry

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Marion County

25 Top 29% higher than 71% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Marion County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Tennessee avg53/10058.2/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Tennessee county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Marion County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $7.7M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Moderate), while Strong Wind carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Marion County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 117 paid claims, totaling $1.2M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $10.3K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Marion County's 25 federal records stand 17% above the Tennessee county mean of 21.4. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county carries a high composite score on FEMA's National Risk Index, 58.2/100, rated Relatively Low. Its Expected Annual Loss rating is Relatively Low (roughly $16.4M in annualized losses), and a Relatively High social-vulnerability profile combined with Relatively Low community resilience shapes how much of that raw exposure becomes realized harm. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Strong Wind carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 5.2 times per year here, based on 197 historical events on record.

71 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Marion County, TN · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
18/30

25 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.2x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
15/25

25 declarations (1.2x state county average of 21)

Major Disaster Share High
18/25

18 of 25 declarations are major disasters (72%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

8 different disaster types declared in Marion County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Marion County

Marion County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 25, Hurricane 8, Tornado 48, Wildfire 8, Drought 25, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 24 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 24 8-hazard mean
Marion County NRI risk profile FIPS 47115 · displayed-hazard mean 24/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

25

High volume

Major Disaster share

72%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

58

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Marion County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate an average of 5.2 times per year
Tornado Relatively Moderate roughly once every 3 years
Landslide Relatively Low an average of 1.1 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate roughly once every 1 years
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 308 years
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate an average of 5.2 times per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low roughly once every 1 years
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 299 years
Drought Relatively Low 30 modeled event-days per year
Ice Storm Relatively Low roughly once every 1 years
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 73 years
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 62 times per year
Heat Wave Very Low 1.6 modeled event-days per year
Hail Very Low an average of 3.8 times per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 9
Flood 6
Winter Storm 2
Tornado 2
Biological 2
Fire 2
Hurricane 1
Snowstorm 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Marion County's record, 36% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 18 72.0%

of all 25 declarations

Emergency - 5 20.0%

of all 25 declarations

Fire Management - 2 8.0%

of all 25 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 2
2025 1
2023 1
2021 1
2020 3
2019 1
2014 1
2011 2
2005 1
2003 2
2002 1
1999 2
1994 1
1993 1
1991 1
Show 4 earlier declaration years
1990 1
1982 1
1974 1
1973 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 25 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 25 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4898 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Winter Storm 2026-02-06
3635 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-24
3625 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING EM Severe Storm 2025-04-02
4712 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND TORNADO DR Severe Storm 2023-05-17
4601 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Tornado 2021-05-08
4541 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2020-04-24
4514 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-02
3473 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4427 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Flood 2019-04-17
4189 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2014-08-13
4005 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND DR Severe Storm 2011-07-20
1974 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND ASSOCIATED FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2011-05-01
3217 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-05
1464 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2003-05-08
1456 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2003-03-20
2387 TN - CHATTANOOGA FIRE COMPLEX - 11/03/01 FM Fire 2001-11-03
2250 TN - WILDFIRES 4/13/99 FM Fire 1999-04-13
1260 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 1999-01-15
1022 EXTENSIVE RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING DR Flood 1994-04-14
3095 SEVERE SNOWFALL, WINTER STORM EM Snowstorm 1993-03-14
Show 5 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
889 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1991-01-04
858 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1990-02-27
666 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 1982-08-24
424 TORNADOES DR Tornado 1974-04-04
366 HEAVY RAINS & FLOODING DR Flood 1973-03-21

Storm Events in Tennessee

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Marion County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 6,558 22 58 $107.0M
Hail 1,690 0 0 $545.5K
Heat 1,343 9 15 $0
Flash Flood 1,264 55 3 $334.4M
Winter Weather 1,088 5 0 $261.0K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

117

Total Paid

$1.2M

Avg Per Claim

$10.3K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 58.2/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$16.4M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively High

Community Resilience

Relatively Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Tornado Relatively Moderate
Landslide Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate
Earthquake Relatively Low
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Wildfire Very Low
Drought Relatively Low
Ice Storm Relatively Low
Hurricane Very Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Hail Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Strong Wind

Strong Wind covers damaging non-thunderstorm, non-tornadic wind, the kind produced by steep pressure gradients and downslope events. It is a broad, frequent, low-drama hazard: roofs, signage, power lines and high-profile vehicles, spread across a wide area rather than concentrated on a path.

For Marion County the two measures on this page point the same way: Strong Wind is the county's highest-rated modeled hazard (Relatively Moderate), and Severe Storm declarations also lead its federal record. Where the model and the declaration history agree, the reading is comparatively straightforward, the hazard is both expected and repeatedly realised.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Marion County's closest FEMA peer: King and Queen County, VA

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Marion County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Marion County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Marion County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Marion County's NFIP claims file (117 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Marion County?
The most common disaster type in Marion County is Severe Storm, with 9 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (6), Winter Storm (2), Tornado (2).
How does Marion County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Tennessee average?
FEMA lists 25 declaration records for Marion County. That is 17% above the Tennessee county mean of 21.4. Its count is also 21% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Marion County received?
Marion County has received 18 major disaster declarations, representing 72% of all 25 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Marion County filed?
Marion County has 117 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $1.2M in payments, with an average of $10.3K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Marion County?
No. In Marion County, Strong Wind has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $7.7M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Marion County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Marion County was 2020, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1973 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Marion County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Marion County, Tennessee has an overall risk score of 58.2 out of 100 (Relatively Low). Social vulnerability here rates Relatively High, while community resilience comes in at Relatively Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $16.4M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Marion County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Marion County is Strong Wind (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Tornado (Relatively Moderate) and Landslide (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts strong wind here at an average of 5.2 times per year, drawn from 197 historical events on record. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Marion County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Tennessee profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events