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Virginia · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Mecklenburg County, VA

20 FEMA disaster declarations (1973-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Hurricane.

20
FEMA declarations
12
Major disasters
54
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Hurricane
Top hazard

The verdict

Mecklenburg County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 20 declarations, more than 46% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 2% below the Virginia county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county in the riskiest 46%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Riskiest 46%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
20
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
8
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 51117 · Mecklenburg County 20 declarations · rank 1647/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-HEAVY 20
  • MAJOR-MID 60%
  • RANK-LOWER #1,647
  • PHOTO-FINISH Monona
  • NRI-LOW 54
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Hurricane
  • VS-ST-BELOW -2%

Nearest declaration peer: Monona, IA (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Virginia state profile

Mecklenburg County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among Mecklenburg County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Mecklenburg County carries 20 FEMA declaration records, ranked 1647 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How Mecklenburg County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

Mecklenburg County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Mecklenburg County

20 46th percentile higher than 46% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Mecklenburg County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Virginia avg33/10054.3/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Virginia county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Mecklenburg County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $5.8M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Moderate), while Drought carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Mecklenburg County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

This county carries a high composite score on FEMA's National Risk Index, 54.3/100, rated Relatively Low. Its Expected Annual Loss rating is Very Low (roughly $13.0M in annualized losses), and a Very High social-vulnerability profile combined with Relatively Low community resilience shapes how much of that raw exposure becomes realized harm. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Drought stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at 10 modeled event-days per year here, based on 371 historical events on record.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 8 claims and $72.4K paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

Start with the state benchmark: a Virginia county averages 20.4 federal declaration records, while Mecklenburg County has 20. The gap is 2% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

61 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Mecklenburg County, VA · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
14/30

20 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.0x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
12/25

20 declarations (1.0x state county average of 20)

Major Disaster Share High
15/25

12 of 20 declarations are major disasters (60%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

8 different disaster types declared in Mecklenburg County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Mecklenburg County

Mecklenburg County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 25, Hurricane 48, Tornado 25, Wildfire 8, Drought 70, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 25. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 31 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 31 8-hazard mean
Mecklenburg County NRI risk profile FIPS 51117 · displayed-hazard mean 31/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

20

Above median

Major Disaster share

60%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

54

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Mecklenburg County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Drought Relatively High 10 modeled event-days per year
Hurricane Relatively Moderate roughly once every 7 years
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 730 years
Winter Weather Relatively Low an average of 4.9 times per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low roughly once every 1 years
Heat Wave Relatively Low 4.2 modeled event-days per year
Ice Storm Relatively Low an average of 1.4 times per year
Hail Relatively Low an average of 3.2 times per year
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 45 times per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 2 years
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 4 years
Cold Wave Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Strong Wind Relatively Low an average of 1.3 times per year
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 7,158 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Hurricane 8
Snowstorm 3
Biological 2
Severe Storm 2
Drought 2
Winter Storm 1
Severe Ice Storm 1
Flood 1

What Hurricane declarations mean here

Hurricane is the most frequent declaration type on Mecklenburg County's federal record, 40% of its declarations. Atlantic tropical systems run on a defined season, 1 June to 30 November, with most activity concentrated between August and October; Pacific and territorial basins run on their own calendars. A single named storm routinely produces one declaration number covering a long corridor of counties at once, well inland as well as on the coast, which is why an affected county's count can jump by several in one year without several separate events having occurred.

One practical distinction matters when reading these records: a tropical declaration usually bundles wind, storm surge and inland rainfall flooding under a single incident, but the insurance behind them is split. Wind damage falls to property insurers, while flood and surge damage is covered only under a separate National Flood Insurance Program policy. That is why a county can show heavy declaration activity and a comparatively small NFIP claims record, or the reverse.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 12 60.0%

of all 20 declarations

Emergency - 8 40.0%

of all 20 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2021 1
2020 2
2019 2
2018 1
2013 1
2006 1
2005 1
2003 1
2000 1
1999 1
1996 2
1994 1
1993 1
1977 2
Show 1 earlier declaration years
1973 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 20 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 20 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
3631 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-23
4602 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Ice Storm 2021-05-10
4512 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-02
3448 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4411 TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL DR Hurricane 2018-12-18
4401 HURRICANE FLORENCE DR Hurricane 2018-10-15
3403 HURRICANE FLORENCE EM Hurricane 2018-09-11
3359 HURRICANE SANDY EM Hurricane 2012-10-29
1655 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2006-07-13
3240 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-12
1491 HURRICANE ISABEL DR Hurricane 2003-09-18
1318 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Storm 2000-02-28
1293 HURRICANE FLOYD MAJOR DISASTER DECLARATIONS DR Hurricane 1999-09-18
1135 HURRICANE FRAN AND ASSOCIATED SEVERE STORM COND DR Hurricane 1996-09-06
1086 BLIZZARD OF 96 (SEVERE SNOW STORM) DR Snowstorm 1996-01-13
1014 SEVERE ICE STORMS, FLOODING DR Snowstorm 1994-03-10
3112 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Snowstorm 1993-03-25
3046 DROUGHT EM Drought 1977-07-23
3018 DROUGHT EM Drought 1976-10-15
359 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1972-10-10

Storm Events in Virginia

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Mecklenburg County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 8,940 13 31 $123.1M
Flood 2,300 4 0 $85.1M
Winter Weather 2,049 6 32 $902.0K
Flash Flood 1,942 13 4 $244.2M
Heavy Rain 1,566 0 0 $2.5M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

8

Total Paid

$72.4K

Avg Per Claim

$9.0K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 54.3/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$13.0M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very High

Community Resilience

Relatively Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Drought Relatively High
Hurricane Relatively Moderate
Earthquake Relatively Low
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Ice Storm Relatively Low
Hail Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Landslide Very Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Wildfire Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Drought

Drought is the slowest of the modeled hazards and the least visible: it does its damage to agriculture, water supply and soil over seasons rather than hours, so it rarely produces the kind of single-day damage that drives a disaster declaration. FEMA scores it in event-days per year rather than discrete events for exactly that reason.

Worth noting for Mecklenburg County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Drought carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively High), while the county's declaration history is led by Hurricane. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Mecklenburg County's closest FEMA peer: El Paso County, CO

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Mecklenburg County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Mecklenburg County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Mecklenburg County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 20 FEMA declarations, Mecklenburg County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Mecklenburg County?
The most common disaster type in Mecklenburg County is Hurricane, with 8 declarations. Other disaster types include Snowstorm (3), Biological (2), Severe Storm (2).
How does Mecklenburg County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Virginia average?
The typical Virginia county has 20.4 FEMA declaration records; Mecklenburg County has 20, or 2% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 3% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Mecklenburg County received?
Mecklenburg County has received 12 major disaster declarations, representing 60% of all 20 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Mecklenburg County filed?
Mecklenburg County has 8 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $72.4K in payments, with an average of $9.0K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Mecklenburg County?
No. In Mecklenburg County, Drought has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $5.8M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Mecklenburg County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Mecklenburg County was 1977, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1973 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Mecklenburg County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Mecklenburg County, Virginia has an overall risk score of 54.3 out of 100 (Relatively Low). Social vulnerability here rates Very High, while community resilience comes in at Relatively Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $13.0M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Mecklenburg County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in Mecklenburg County as of the latest release is Drought (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Hurricane (Relatively Moderate) and Earthquake (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts drought here at 10 modeled event-days per year, drawn from 371 historical events on record. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Mecklenburg County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Virginia profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events