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Missouri · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Miller County, MO

29 FEMA disaster declarations (1973-2020), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

29
FEMA declarations
22
Major disasters
55
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Miller County. Its 29 FEMA declarations are 18% above the Missouri county mean and exceed the count for 85% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 45%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 45%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
29
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
28
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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How does Miller County compare?

Miller County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

29 Top 15% higher than 85% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

Miller County's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Missouri county average

0/100100/100Missouri avg51/10055.1/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Missouri county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Miller County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $9.3M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Very High), while Ice Storm carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Miller County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

This county carries a high composite score on FEMA's National Risk Index, 55.1/100, rated Relatively Low. Its Expected Annual Loss rating is Relatively Low (roughly $17.9M in annualized losses), and a Relatively Moderate social-vulnerability profile combined with Relatively Low community resilience shapes how much of that raw exposure becomes realized harm. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Ice Storm stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 1 years here, based on 53 historical events on record.

Declaration frequency

The FEMA register is busy by both local and national comparisons. It contains 29 entries for Miller County, including 22 Major Disaster records, 18% above the Missouri county mean. Across the 47-year span, that works out to 0.6 declarations a year. Severe Storm leads the file with 17 entries. Declaration type records the federal action taken, not every assistance program approved.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 28 claims and $553.3K paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Miller County's 29 federal records stand 18% above the Missouri county mean of 24.6. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

70 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Miller County, MO · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
21/30

29 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.4x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
15/25

29 declarations (1.2x state county average of 25)

Major Disaster Share Very High
19/25

22 of 29 declarations are major disasters (76%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
15/20

6 different disaster types declared in Miller County

Historical Declaration Activity

Activity Band

High

vs. Missouri Avg

+18%

State avg: 24.6

vs. National Avg

+40%

National avg: 20.7

Avg Per Year

0.6

Over 47 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Miller County

Miller County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 25, Hurricane 8, Tornado 48, Wildfire 25, Drought 25, Heat Wave 48, Winter Storm 70. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 34 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 34 8-hazard mean
Miller County NRI risk profile FIPS 29131 · displayed-hazard mean 34/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

29

High volume

Major Disaster share

76%

Mostly major

NRI risk score

55

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Miller County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Ice Storm Relatively High roughly once every 1 years
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate 12 modeled event-days per year
Landslide Relatively Low roughly once every 1 years
Wildfire Relatively Low roughly once every 504 years
Tornado Relatively Moderate roughly once every 3 years
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate an average of 12 times per year
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 469 years
Cold Wave Relatively Low an average of 2.5 times per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low an average of 2.8 times per year
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 53 times per year
Hail Relatively Low an average of 5.2 times per year
Strong Wind Relatively Low an average of 3.6 times per year
Drought Relatively Low 5.1 modeled event-days per year
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 89 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 17
Flood 4
Severe Ice Storm 4
Biological 2
Hurricane 1
Drought 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Miller County's record, 59% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 22 75.9%

of all 29 declarations

Emergency - 7 24.1%

of all 29 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2020 2
2019 1
2017 1
2016 1
2015 1
2013 2
2011 3
2009 3
2008 4
2007 2
2005 1
2003 1
2002 1
1999 1
1995 1
Show 4 earlier declaration years
1993 1
1987 1
1976 1
1973 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 29 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 29 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4490 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-26
3482 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4451 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2019-07-09
4317 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS AND FLOODING DR Flood 2017-06-02
3374 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING EM Flood 2016-01-02
4238 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2015-08-07
4144 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2013-09-06
4130 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2013-07-18
1980 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2011-05-09
1961 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND SNOWSTORM DR Severe Storm 2011-03-23
3317 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Storm 2011-02-03
1847 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2009-06-19
3303 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2009-01-30
1809 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND A TORNADO DR Severe Storm 2008-11-13
1773 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2008-06-25
1749 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2008-03-19
1736 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Ice Storm 2007-12-27
3281 SEVERE WINTER STORMS EM Severe Ice Storm 2007-12-12
1676 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Ice Storm 2007-01-15
1673 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Storm 2006-12-29
Show 9 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
3232 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-10
1463 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2003-05-06
1412 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2002-05-06
1253 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 1998-10-14
1054 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, HAIL, FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1995-06-02
995 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1993-07-09
779 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1986-10-14
3017 DROUGHT EM Drought 1976-09-24
372 HEAVY RAINS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1973-04-19

Storm Events in Missouri

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Miller County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 6,391 30 52 $63.4M
Hail 4,411 0 1 $86.1M
Flash Flood 2,399 47 14 $406.6M
Flood 1,810 25 7 $304.6M
Drought 1,033 0 350 $53.6M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

28

Total Paid

$553.3K

Avg Per Claim

$19.8K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 55.1/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$17.9M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Moderate

Community Resilience

Relatively Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Ice Storm Relatively High
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate
Landslide Relatively Low
Wildfire Relatively Low
Tornado Relatively Moderate
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate
Earthquake Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Hail Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Drought Relatively Low
Hurricane Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Ice Storm

Ice storms load power lines and tree limbs with accumulating freezing rain until they fail. The characteristic cost is infrastructure and multi-day power loss across a wide area rather than structural damage to buildings, which is why their consequences often outlast the weather that caused them.

Worth noting for Miller County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Ice Storm carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively High), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Miller County's closest FEMA peer: Montgomery County, PA

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Miller County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Miller County - capture-dated entries only.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 29 FEMA declarations, Miller County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Miller County?
The most common disaster type in Miller County is Severe Storm, with 17 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (4), Severe Ice Storm (4), Biological (2).
How does Miller County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Missouri average?
FEMA lists 29 declaration records for Miller County. That is 18% above the Missouri county mean of 24.6. Its count is also 40% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Miller County received?
Miller County has received 22 major disaster declarations, representing 76% of all 29 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Miller County filed?
Miller County has 28 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $553.3K in payments, with an average of $19.8K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Miller County?
No. In Miller County, Ice Storm has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $9.3M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Miller County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Miller County was 2008, with 4 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1973 to 2020.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Miller County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Miller County, Missouri has an overall risk score of 55.1 out of 100 (Relatively Low). The county's social vulnerability rating is Relatively Moderate and community resilience is Relatively Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $17.9M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Miller County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Miller County is Ice Storm (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Heat Wave (Relatively Moderate) and Landslide (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts ice storm here at roughly once every 1 years, drawn from 53 historical events on record. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Miller County

Miller County, MO has 29 federal declaration records, 18% more than the Missouri county mean of 25; its history sits in PlainHazard's high activity band.

  • Within this above-state-average declaration file, major disaster leads with 22 of 29 records; the category describes past federal action, not the next likely hazard. Missouri overview
  • The state benchmark and national rank point the same way: this count tops the Missouri mean and the totals for 85% of 3,266 U.S. counties. Most-disaster rankings
  • A short NFIP claims file cannot establish low flood exposure; the data guide explains the limits of each federal measure. Disaster-data guide

An above-average declaration count records past federal responses; it does not predict the next event. Current warnings come from the National Weather Service and local emergency officials.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.