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Illinois · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Monroe County, IL

20 FEMA disaster declarations (1969-2023), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Flood.

20
FEMA declarations
18
Major disasters
42
NRI risk · Very Low
Flood
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Monroe County. Its 20 FEMA declarations are 56% above the Illinois county mean and exceed the count for 46% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it safer than 42%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Safer than 42%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
20
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
689
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 17133 · Monroe County 20 declarations · rank 1726/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-HEAVY · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-HIGH

  • DECL-HEAVY 20
  • MAJOR-HEAVY 90%
  • RANK-LOWER #1,726
  • PHOTO-FINISH Monona
  • NRI-LOW Very Low
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Flood
  • VS-ST-HIGH +56%

Nearest declaration peer: Monona, IA (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Illinois state profile

Monroe County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among Monroe County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Monroe County carries 20 FEMA declaration records, ranked 1726 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How Monroe County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

Monroe County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Monroe County

20 46th percentile higher than 46% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Monroe County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Illinois avg55/10041.9/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Illinois county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Monroe County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $6.4M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Moderate), while Heat Wave carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Monroe County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

FEMA's NFIP table contains a substantial paid-claim history for this county: 689 claims and $22.7M in payments. PlainHazard labels 500 or more claims a heavy registry record; that is a reporting bucket, not an official FEMA risk grade. The average paid claim was $33.0K. NFIP totals exclude uninsured flood losses and do not measure how many properties currently carry a policy.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Monroe County's 20 federal records stand 56% above the Illinois county mean of 12.9. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

FEMA's data shows an elevated National Risk Index composite of 41.9/100 for this county (Very Low rating). Expected Annual Loss comes in at Relatively Low (roughly $22.6M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability (Very Low) and community resilience (Very High) both factor into how that raw exposure plays out on the ground. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Heat Wave carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at 13 modeled event-days per year here, based on 148 historical events on record.

71 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Monroe County, IL · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
14/30

20 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.0x national county average)

County Disaster Density Very High
19/25

20 declarations (1.6x state county average of 13)

Major Disaster Share Very High
23/25

18 of 20 declarations are major disasters (90%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
15/20

6 different disaster types declared in Monroe County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Monroe County

Monroe County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 8, Hurricane 8, Tornado 25, Wildfire 8, Drought 25, Heat Wave 48, Winter Storm 25. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 22 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 22 8-hazard mean
Monroe County NRI risk profile FIPS 17133 · displayed-hazard mean 22/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

20

Above median

Major Disaster share

90%

Mostly major

NRI risk score

42

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Monroe County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate 13 modeled event-days per year
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 161 years
Landslide Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate an average of 6 times per year
Hail Relatively Low an average of 5.2 times per year
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 3 years
Cold Wave Relatively Low an average of 1.4 times per year
Drought Relatively Low 1.7 modeled event-days per year
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 53 times per year
Winter Weather Relatively Low an average of 8.8 times per year
Riverine Flooding Very Low an average of 1 time per year
Ice Storm Very Low an average of 1.2 times per year
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 64 years
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 12,092 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Flood 8
Severe Storm 7
Biological 2
Severe Ice Storm 1
Hurricane 1
Tornado 1

What Flood declarations mean here

Flood is the most frequent declaration type on Monroe County's record, 40% of its declarations. Federal flood declarations cover two mechanisms that behave very differently: riverine flooding, which builds over days as a watershed drains and is usually forecast well in advance, and flash flooding, which can arrive in under an hour from rainfall that fell somewhere upstream.

Flood is also the one hazard class where a second federal dataset exists for the same events. The National Flood Insurance Program records what was actually paid on insured losses, so it measures a narrower thing than the declaration count: uninsured damage, and flooding outside mapped special flood hazard areas, never enters it. Reading the two together is more informative than either alone.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 18 90.0%

of all 20 declarations

Emergency - 2 10.0%

of all 20 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2023 1
2020 2
2019 1
2013 1
2008 1
2007 1
2005 1
2002 1
1996 1
1995 1
1994 1
1993 1
1985 1
1983 2
1979 1
Show 3 earlier declaration years
1974 1
1973 1
1969 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 20 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 20 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4728 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2023-08-15
4489 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-26
3435 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4461 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 2019-09-19
4116 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2013-05-10
1771 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2008-06-24
1681 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 2007-02-09
3230 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-07
1416 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES AND FLOODING DR Tornado 2002-05-21
1112 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1996-05-06
1053 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1995-05-30
1025 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1994-04-26
997 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1993-07-09
735 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1985-03-29
684 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1983-06-06
674 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1982-12-13
583 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1979-04-30
438 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1974-06-10
373 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1973-04-26
276 HEAVY RAINS & FLOODING DR Flood 1969-08-30

Storm Events in Illinois

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Monroe County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 7,218 9 67 $46.0M
Hail 3,195 0 0 $27.1M
Winter Weather 1,363 14 49 $1.8M
Flood 1,221 14 11 $84.3M
Flash Flood 1,133 11 3 $1.1B

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

689

Total Paid

$22.7M

Avg Per Claim

$33.0K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 41.9/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$22.6M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very Low

Community Resilience

Very High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Heat Wave Relatively Moderate
Earthquake Relatively Low
Landslide Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Hail Relatively Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Drought Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low
Ice Storm Very Low
Hurricane Very Low
Wildfire Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Heat Wave

Heat Wave is measured in event-days per year rather than discrete events, and it is the hazard whose harm is most consistently undercounted: its toll is health and mortality, concentrated among people without cooling, rather than visible damage to property.

Worth noting for Monroe County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Heat Wave carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Flood. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Monroe County's closest FEMA peer: York County, NE

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Monroe County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Monroe County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Monroe County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Monroe County's NFIP claims file (689 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Monroe County?
The most common disaster type in Monroe County is Flood, with 8 declarations. Other disaster types include Severe Storm (7), Biological (2), Severe Ice Storm (1).
How does Monroe County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Illinois average?
FEMA lists 20 declaration records for Monroe County. That is 56% above the Illinois county mean of 12.9. Its count is also 3% below the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Monroe County received?
Monroe County has received 18 major disaster declarations, representing 90% of all 20 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Monroe County filed?
Monroe County has 689 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $22.7M in payments, with an average of $33.0K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Monroe County?
No. In Monroe County, Heat Wave has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $6.4M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Monroe County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Monroe County was 1983, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1969 to 2023.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Monroe County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Monroe County, Illinois has an overall risk score of 41.9 out of 100 (Very Low). Social vulnerability here rates Very Low, while community resilience comes in at Very High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $22.6M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Monroe County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Monroe County as of the latest release is Heat Wave (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Earthquake (Relatively Low) and Landslide (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts heat wave here at 13 modeled event-days per year, drawn from 148 historical events on record. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Monroe County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Illinois profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events