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Ohio · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Noble County, OH

18 FEMA disaster declarations (1968-2020), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

18
FEMA declarations
13
Major disasters
13
NRI risk · Very Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Noble County. Its 18 FEMA declarations are 23% above the Ohio county mean and exceed the count for 37% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it safer than 13%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Safer than 13%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
18
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
171
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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How does Noble County compare?

Noble County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

18 37th percentile higher than 37% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

Noble County's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Ohio county average

0/100100/100Ohio avg55/10013.5/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Ohio county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Noble County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $3.5M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Moderate), while Landslide carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Low). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Noble County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 171 paid claims, totaling $2.8M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $16.7K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Noble County's 18 federal records stand 23% above the Ohio county mean of 14.6. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

Declaration frequency

The FEMA register is busy by both local and national comparisons. It contains 18 entries for Noble County, including 13 Major Disaster records, 23% above the Ohio county mean. Across the 52-year span, that works out to 0.3 declarations a year. Severe Storm leads the file with 9 entries. Declaration type records the federal action taken, not every assistance program approved.

FEMA National Risk Index

FEMA's National Risk Index places this county in the low end of the national distribution, composite score 13.5/100 (Very Low). Expected Annual Loss is rated Very Low (roughly $4.6M in annualized losses). Two modifiers shape how that exposure becomes real-world harm here: social vulnerability (Relatively High) and community resilience (Relatively Low). Even the county's top-rated hazard, Landslide, only reaches Relatively Low on FEMA's scale, none of the 18 modeled hazards stand out here. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 1 years here.

59 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Noble County, OH · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
13/30

18 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.9x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
15/25

18 declarations (1.2x state county average of 15)

Major Disaster Share High
18/25

13 of 18 declarations are major disasters (72%)

Hazard Diversity High
13/20

5 different disaster types declared in Noble County

Historical Declaration Activity

Activity Band

High

vs. Ohio Avg

+23%

State avg: 14.6

vs. National Avg

-13%

National avg: 20.7

Avg Per Year

0.3

Over 52 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Noble County

Noble County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 25, Hurricane 8, Tornado 8, Wildfire 8, Drought 25, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 25. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 14 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 14 8-hazard mean
Noble County NRI risk profile FIPS 39121 · displayed-hazard mean 14/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

18

Below median

Major Disaster share

72%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

13

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Noble County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Landslide Relatively Low roughly once every 1 years
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 54 years
Ice Storm Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Drought Relatively Low 5.9 modeled event-days per year
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 44 times per year
Hail Relatively Low an average of 2.7 times per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low an average of 2.2 times per year
Heat Wave Very Low 2.3 modeled event-days per year
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 1,418 years
Tornado Very Low roughly once every 11 years
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 11,671 years
Winter Weather Very Low an average of 8.1 times per year
Cold Wave Very Low an average of 2.6 times per year
Strong Wind Very Low an average of 1.3 times per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 9
Flood 4
Biological 2
Snowstorm 2
Hurricane 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Noble County's record, 50% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 13 72.2%

of all 18 declarations

Emergency - 5 27.8%

of all 18 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2020 2
2019 1
2018 1
2012 2
2011 1
2005 2
2004 3
2003 1
1998 1
1980 1
1978 1
1977 1
1968 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 18 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 18 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4507 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-31
3457 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4424 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND LANDSLIDES DR Flood 2019-04-08
4360 SEVERE STORMS, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Flood 2018-04-17
4077 SEVERE STORMS AND STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS DR Severe Storm 2012-08-20
3346 SEVERE STORMS EM Severe Storm 2012-06-30
4002 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2011-07-13
3250 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-13
1580 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, FLOODING, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2005-02-15
1556 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2004-09-19
1519 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2004-06-03
1507 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, MUDSLIDES, AND LANDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2004-01-26
1453 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND RECORD/NEAR RECORD SNOW DR Severe Storm 2003-03-14
1227 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 1998-06-30
630 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1980-08-23
3055 BLIZZARDS & SNOWSTORMS EM Snowstorm 1978-01-26
3029 SNOWSTORMS EM Snowstorm 1977-02-02
243 HEAVY RAINS & FLOODING DR Flood 1968-06-05

Storm Events in Ohio

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Noble County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 6,938 6 39 $60.4M
Winter Weather 2,101 7 42 $3.3M
Hail 1,749 0 0 $673.5K
Flood 1,607 9 0 $84.5M
Flash Flood 1,089 9 7 $112.2M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

171

Total Paid

$2.8M

Avg Per Claim

$16.7K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 13.5/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$4.6M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively High

Community Resilience

Relatively Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Landslide Relatively Low
Hurricane Very Low
Ice Storm Relatively Low
Drought Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Hail Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Earthquake Very Low
Tornado Very Low
Wildfire Very Low
Winter Weather Very Low
Cold Wave Very Low
Strong Wind Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Landslide

Landslide risk is a function of slope, soil and water, so it is usually a SECOND-ORDER hazard: it is triggered by the rainfall, snowmelt, wildfire burn scars or seismic shaking that came first. That is why a county can carry high landslide exposure whose realized damage is recorded under a flood or storm declaration instead.

Worth noting for Noble County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Landslide carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Low), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Noble County's closest FEMA peer: Hennepin County, MN

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Noble County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Noble County - capture-dated entries only.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Noble County's NFIP claims file (171 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Noble County?
The most common disaster type in Noble County is Severe Storm, with 9 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (4), Biological (2), Snowstorm (2).
How does Noble County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Ohio average?
FEMA lists 18 declaration records for Noble County. That is 23% above the Ohio county mean of 14.6. Its count is also 13% below the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Noble County received?
Noble County has received 13 major disaster declarations, representing 72% of all 18 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Noble County filed?
Noble County has 171 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $2.8M in payments, with an average of $16.7K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Noble County?
No. In Noble County, Landslide has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Low), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $3.5M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Noble County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Noble County was 2004, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1968 to 2020.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Noble County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Noble County, Ohio has an overall risk score of 13.5 out of 100 (Very Low). The county's social vulnerability rating is Relatively High and community resilience is Relatively Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $4.6M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Noble County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in Noble County is Landslide (risk rating: Relatively Low). Other significant hazards include Hurricane (Very Low) and Ice Storm (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts landslide here at roughly once every 1 years. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Noble County

Noble County, OH has 18 federal declaration records, 23% more than the Ohio county mean of 15; its history sits in PlainHazard's high activity band.

  • Within this above-state-average declaration file, major disaster leads with 13 of 18 records; the category describes past federal action, not the next likely hazard. Ohio overview
  • The state benchmark and national rank point the same way: this count tops the Ohio mean and the totals for 37% of 3,266 U.S. counties. Most-disaster rankings
  • Use the data guide to separate this mid-volume insurance-claims file from declaration counts and modeled NRI risk. Disaster-data guide

An above-average declaration count records past federal responses; it does not predict the next event. Current warnings come from the National Weather Service and local emergency officials.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.