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The data below is historical (NOAA Storm Events / FEMA), not a live alert. For current warnings and evacuation orders, check the National Weather Service, Ready.gov, or FEMA.gov.

New York · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Ontario County, NY

20 FEMA disaster declarations (1972-2024), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

20
FEMA declarations
13
Major disasters
64
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Ontario County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 20 declarations, more than 46% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 18% below the New York county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county in the riskiest 36%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Riskiest 36%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
20
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
263
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 36069 · Ontario County 20 declarations · rank 1734/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-HEAVY 20
  • MAJOR-MID 65%
  • RANK-LOWER #1,734
  • PHOTO-FINISH Monona
  • NRI-LOW 64
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-BELOW -18%

Nearest declaration peer: Monona, IA (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · New York state profile

Ontario County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among Ontario County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Ontario County carries 20 FEMA declaration records, ranked 1734 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How Ontario County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

Ontario County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Ontario County

20 46th percentile higher than 46% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Ontario County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100New York avg69/10063.5/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the New York county average

What does Ontario County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 263 paid claims, totaling $3.8M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $14.6K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

Start with the state benchmark: a New York county averages 24.5 federal declaration records, while Ontario County has 20. The gap is 18% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county carries a high composite score on FEMA's National Risk Index, 63.5/100, rated Relatively Low. Its Expected Annual Loss rating is Relatively Low (roughly $26.6M in annualized losses), and a Relatively Low social-vulnerability profile combined with Very High community resilience shapes how much of that raw exposure becomes realized harm. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Riverine Flooding carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 1.4 times per year here, based on 38 historical events on record.

60 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Ontario County, NY · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
14/30

20 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.0x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
10/25

20 declarations (0.8x state county average of 25)

Major Disaster Share High
16/25

13 of 20 declarations are major disasters (65%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

9 different disaster types declared in Ontario County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Ontario County

Ontario County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 48, Hurricane 25, Tornado 25, Wildfire 8, Drought 48, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 29 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 29 8-hazard mean
Ontario County NRI risk profile FIPS 36069 · displayed-hazard mean 29/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

20

Above median

Major Disaster share

65%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

64

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Ontario County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate an average of 1.4 times per year
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate roughly once every 1 years
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate an average of 1.5 times per year
Drought Relatively Moderate 2.5 modeled event-days per year
Hurricane Relatively Low roughly once every 37 years
Hail Relatively Low an average of 1.5 times per year
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 30 times per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 4 years
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 1,247 years
Heat Wave Relatively Low 3.4 modeled event-days per year
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 12 years
Avalanche Very Low roughly once every 100 years
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 13,637 years
Winter Weather Very Low an average of 16 times per year
Cold Wave Very Low an average of 3.1 times per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 5
Flood 3
Snowstorm 3
Biological 2
Hurricane 2
Other 2
Tropical Storm 1
Severe Ice Storm 1
Fire 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Ontario County's record, 25% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 13 65.0%

of all 20 declarations

Emergency - 7 35.0%

of all 20 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2024 1
2023 1
2020 2
2014 1
2013 1
2011 1
2005 1
2004 1
2003 3
2001 2
1999 1
1998 1
1996 1
1993 1
1991 1
Show 1 earlier declaration years
1972 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 20 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 20 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4825 REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM DEBBY DR Tropical Storm 2024-09-24
4723 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2023-07-22
4480 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-20
3434 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4180 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2014-07-08
3351 HURRICANE SANDY EM Hurricane 2012-10-28
1993 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, TORNADOES, AND STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS DR Flood 2011-06-10
3262 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-30
1534 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2004-08-03
1486 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2003-08-29
3186 POWER OUTAGE EM Other 2003-08-23
1467 ICE STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 2003-05-12
1391 FIRES AND EXPLOSIONS DR Fire 2001-09-11
3155 WEST NILE VIRUS EM Other 2000-10-11
3138 SNOW EM Snowstorm 1999-03-10
1244 NY - SEVERE WX, SEPT 7, 1998 DR Severe Storm 1998-09-11
1095 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 1996-01-24
3107 SEVERE BLIZZARD EM Snowstorm 1993-03-17
898 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Snowstorm 1991-03-21
338 TROPICAL STORM AGNES DR Flood 1972-06-23

Storm Events in New York

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Ontario County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 8,295 6 45 $45.0M
Winter Weather 2,261 7 17 $705.5K
Flash Flood 1,775 23 3 $674.3M
Strong Wind 1,399 2 12 $9.2M
Winter Storm 1,228 13 2 $4.9M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

263

Total Paid

$3.8M

Avg Per Claim

$14.6K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 63.5/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$26.6M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Low

Community Resilience

Very High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Drought Relatively Moderate
Hurricane Relatively Low
Hail Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Landslide Very Low
Earthquake Very Low
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Avalanche Very Low
Wildfire Very Low
Winter Weather Very Low
Cold Wave Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Riverine Flooding

Riverine Flooding is the model's measure of a watershed draining more water than its channel can carry. Unlike flash flooding it usually builds over days and is forecast in advance, which makes it the hazard where warning time most reliably converts into reduced harm.

Worth noting for Ontario County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Riverine Flooding carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Ontario County's closest FEMA peer: Harford County, MD

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Ontario County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Ontario County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Ontario County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Ontario County's NFIP claims file (263 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Ontario County?
The most common disaster type in Ontario County is Severe Storm, with 5 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (3), Snowstorm (3), Biological (2).
How does Ontario County's FEMA declaration record compare with the New York average?
The typical New York county has 24.5 FEMA declaration records; Ontario County has 20, or 18% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 3% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Ontario County received?
Ontario County has received 13 major disaster declarations, representing 65% of all 20 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Ontario County filed?
Ontario County has 263 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $3.8M in payments, with an average of $14.6K per claim.
What was the worst year for disasters in Ontario County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Ontario County was 2003, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1972 to 2024.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Ontario County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Ontario County, New York has an overall risk score of 63.5 out of 100 (Relatively Low). The county's social vulnerability rating is Relatively Low and community resilience is Very High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $26.6M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Ontario County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Ontario County as of the latest release is Riverine Flooding (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Ice Storm (Relatively Moderate) and Strong Wind (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts riverine flooding here at an average of 1.4 times per year, drawn from 38 historical events on record. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Ontario County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · New York profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events