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Vermont · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Orange County, VT

34 FEMA disaster declarations (1973-2024), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

34
FEMA declarations
29
Major disasters
26
NRI risk · Very Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Orange County. Its 34 FEMA declarations are 18% above the Vermont county mean and exceed the count for 92% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it safer than 26%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Safer than 26%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
34
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
84
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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How does Orange County compare?

Orange County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

34 Top 8% higher than 92% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

Orange County's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Vermont county average

0/100100/100Vermont avg36/10026.4/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Vermont county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Orange County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $8.6M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Moderate), while Landslide carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Low). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Orange County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 84 paid claims, totaling $1.9M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $22.3K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Orange County's 34 federal records stand 18% above the Vermont county mean of 28.8. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

Declaration frequency

The FEMA register is busy by both local and national comparisons. It contains 34 entries for Orange County, including 29 Major Disaster records, 18% above the Vermont county mean. Across the 51-year span, that works out to 0.7 declarations a year. Severe Storm leads the file with 17 entries. Declaration type records the federal action taken, not every assistance program approved.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county's FEMA National Risk Index composite lands at 26.4/100 (Very Low), a modest reading against the rest of the country. Expected Annual Loss is rated Very Low (roughly $11.2M in annualized losses), tempered or compounded by a Very Low social-vulnerability score and Relatively Moderate community-resilience score. Even the county's top-rated hazard, Landslide, only reaches Relatively Low on FEMA's scale, none of the 18 modeled hazards stand out here. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 1.5 times per year here.

74 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Orange County, VT · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Very High
25/30

34 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.6x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
15/25

34 declarations (1.2x state county average of 29)

Major Disaster Share Very High
21/25

29 of 34 declarations are major disasters (85%)

Hazard Diversity High
13/20

5 different disaster types declared in Orange County

Historical Declaration Activity

Activity Band

High

vs. Vermont Avg

+18%

State avg: 28.8

vs. National Avg

+64%

National avg: 20.7

Avg Per Year

0.7

Over 51 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Orange County

Orange County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 25, Hurricane 25, Tornado 8, Wildfire 8, Drought 0, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 25. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 13 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 13 8-hazard mean
Orange County NRI risk profile FIPS 50017 · displayed-hazard mean 13/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

34

Very high volume

Major Disaster share

85%

Mostly major

NRI risk score

26

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Orange County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Landslide Relatively Low an average of 1.5 times per year
Hurricane Relatively Low roughly once every 19 years
Lightning Relatively Moderate an average of 20 times per year
Winter Weather Relatively Low an average of 21 times per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low an average of 1 time per year
Ice Storm Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 885 years
Avalanche Very Low roughly once every 100 years
Heat Wave Very Low 1.1 modeled event-days per year
Cold Wave Relatively Low an average of 4 times per year
Strong Wind Relatively Low roughly once every 1 years
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 49,179 years
Tornado Very Low roughly once every 18 years
Hail Very Low an average of 1.5 times per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 17
Flood 11
Hurricane 3
Biological 2
Tropical Storm 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Orange County's record, 50% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 29 85.3%

of all 34 declarations

Emergency - 5 14.7%

of all 34 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2024 3
2023 3
2021 1
2020 3
2019 1
2018 2
2017 1
2015 1
2014 1
2013 1
2011 3
2008 1
2007 2
2003 1
2000 2
Show 7 earlier declaration years
1998 2
1996 1
1992 1
1989 1
1984 1
1976 1
1973 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 34 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 34 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4810 SEVERE STORM, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2024-08-20
3609 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DEBBY EM Tropical Storm 2024-08-08
4762 SEVERE STORM AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2024-03-02
4720 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Flood 2023-07-14
3595 FLOODING EM Flood 2023-07-10
4695 SEVERE STORM AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2023-03-20
3567 TROPICAL STORM HENRI EM Hurricane 2021-08-22
4532 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-08
3437 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4474 SEVERE STORM AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2020-01-17
4445 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 2019-06-14
4380 SEVERE STORM AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2018-07-30
4356 SEVERE STORM AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2018-01-02
4330 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2017-08-16
4207 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 2015-02-03
4178 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 2014-06-11
4140 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 2013-08-02
4022 TROPICAL STORM IRENE DR Hurricane 2011-09-01
3338 HURRICANE IRENE EM Hurricane 2011-08-29
4001 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2011-07-08
Show 14 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
1790 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2008-09-12
1715 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2007-08-03
1698 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2007-05-04
1488 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2003-09-12
1336 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2000-07-27
1307 TROPICAL STORM FLOYD DR Severe Storm 1999-11-10
1228 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1998-06-30
1201 SEVERE ICE STORMS, RAIN, HIGH WINDS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1998-01-15
1101 ICE JAMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 1996-02-13
938 HEAVY RAINS, ICE JAMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1992-03-18
840 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1989-09-11
712 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1984-06-18
518 SEVERE STORMS, HIGH WINDS & FLOODING DR Flood 1976-08-05
397 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, & LANDSLIDES DR Flood 1973-07-06

Storm Events in Vermont

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Orange County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Winter Weather 882 7 0 $2.8M
Thunderstorm Wind 694 3 4 $7.1M
Winter Storm 646 1 0 $5.0M
Strong Wind 352 0 0 $5.7M
Flash Flood 170 5 1 $190.0M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

84

Total Paid

$1.9M

Avg Per Claim

$22.3K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 26.4/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$11.2M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very Low

Community Resilience

Relatively Moderate

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Landslide Relatively Low
Hurricane Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Moderate
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Ice Storm Relatively Low
Earthquake Very Low
Avalanche Very Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Wildfire Very Low
Tornado Very Low
Hail Very Low
Drought No Rating

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Landslide

Landslide risk is a function of slope, soil and water, so it is usually a SECOND-ORDER hazard: it is triggered by the rainfall, snowmelt, wildfire burn scars or seismic shaking that came first. That is why a county can carry high landslide exposure whose realized damage is recorded under a flood or storm declaration instead.

Worth noting for Orange County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Landslide carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Low), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Orange County's closest FEMA peer: Cass County, ND

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Orange County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Orange County - capture-dated entries only.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Orange County's NFIP claims file (84 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Orange County?
The most common disaster type in Orange County is Severe Storm, with 17 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (11), Hurricane (3), Biological (2).
How does Orange County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Vermont average?
FEMA lists 34 declaration records for Orange County. That is 18% above the Vermont county mean of 28.8. Its count is also 64% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Orange County received?
Orange County has received 29 major disaster declarations, representing 85% of all 34 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Orange County filed?
Orange County has 84 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $1.9M in payments, with an average of $22.3K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Orange County?
No. In Orange County, Landslide has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Low), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $8.6M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Orange County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Orange County was 2011, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1973 to 2024.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Orange County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Orange County, Vermont has an overall risk score of 26.4 out of 100 (Very Low). The county's social vulnerability rating is Very Low and community resilience is Relatively Moderate. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $11.2M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Orange County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in Orange County as of the latest release is Landslide (risk rating: Relatively Low). Other significant hazards include Hurricane (Relatively Low) and Lightning (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts landslide here at an average of 1.5 times per year. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Orange County

Orange County, VT has 34 federal declaration records, 18% more than the Vermont county mean of 29; its history sits in PlainHazard's high activity band.

  • Within this above-state-average declaration file, major disaster leads with 29 of 34 records; the category describes past federal action, not the next likely hazard. Vermont overview
  • The state benchmark and national rank point the same way: this count tops the Vermont mean and the totals for 92% of 3,266 U.S. counties. Most-disaster rankings
  • Use the data guide to separate this mid-volume insurance-claims file from declaration counts and modeled NRI risk. Disaster-data guide

An above-average declaration count records past federal responses; it does not predict the next event. Current warnings come from the National Weather Service and local emergency officials.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.