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Texas · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Potter County, TX

20 FEMA disaster declarations (1989-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate. Most common hazard: Fire.

20
FEMA declarations
8
Major disasters
90
NRI risk · Relatively Moderate
Fire
Top hazard

The verdict

Potter County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 20 declarations, more than 46% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 4% below the Texas county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county in the riskiest 10%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Riskiest 10%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Moderate
FEMA National Risk Index rating
20
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
387
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 48375 · Potter County 20 declarations · rank 1601/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-LIGHT · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-MID · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-HEAVY 20
  • MAJOR-LIGHT 40%
  • RANK-LOWER #1,601
  • PHOTO-FINISH Monona
  • NRI-MID 90
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Fire
  • VS-ST-BELOW -4%

Nearest declaration peer: Monona, IA (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Texas state profile

Potter County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among Potter County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Potter County carries 20 FEMA declaration records, ranked 1601 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How Potter County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

Potter County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Potter County

20 46th percentile higher than 46% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Potter County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Texas avg49/10090.5/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Texas county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Potter County is led by Hail (about $20.2M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively High), while Winter Weather carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Very High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Potter County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 387 paid claims, totaling $5.4M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $14.0K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

Start with the state benchmark: a Texas county averages 20.9 federal declaration records, while Potter County has 20. The gap is 4% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 90.5/100 (Relatively Moderate). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively Moderate (roughly $63.4M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Relatively High and community resilience Relatively Low, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Winter Weather stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Very High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 11 times per year here, based on 204 historical events on record.

49 /100

Historical Activity Index

Moderate historical activity

Potter County, TX · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
14/30

20 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.0x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
12/25

20 declarations (1.0x state county average of 21)

Major Disaster Share Moderate
10/25

8 of 20 declarations are major disasters (40%)

Hazard Diversity High
13/20

5 different disaster types declared in Potter County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Potter County

Potter County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 25, Hurricane 0, Tornado 70, Wildfire 48, Drought 70, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 92. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 44 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 44 8-hazard mean
Potter County NRI risk profile FIPS 48375 · displayed-hazard mean 44/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

20

Above median

Major Disaster share

40%

Mixed major share

NRI risk score

90

Relatively Moderate

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Potter County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Winter Weather Very High an average of 11 times per year
Hail Very High an average of 8.4 times per year
Tornado Relatively High roughly once every 1 years
Strong Wind Relatively High an average of 3.2 times per year
Drought Relatively High 102 modeled event-days per year
Wildfire Relatively Moderate roughly once every 132 years
Lightning Relatively High an average of 49 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively High an average of 2.5 times per year
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 1,013 years
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate roughly once every 3 years
Heat Wave Relatively Low 2 modeled event-days per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low an average of 2 times per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 4 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Fire 8
Hurricane 5
Severe Ice Storm 3
Biological 2
Severe Storm 2

What Fire declarations mean here

Fire is the most frequent declaration type on Potter County's record, 40% of its declarations. Wildfire is the one hazard here with its own dedicated federal instrument: the Fire Management Assistance Grant, which appears in this data as an FM record. An FMAG can be authorised while a fire is still burning, on a timescale of hours, because its purpose is to reimburse the cost of fighting a fire that threatens to become a major disaster.

That distinction matters when comparing counties. An FM declaration is not a presidential major disaster declaration and does not carry the same assistance programmes, so a fire-heavy county's total is not directly comparable with a hurricane-heavy county's total unless the declaration types are separated, which is why they are listed separately on this page.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 8 40.0%

of all 20 declarations

Emergency - 8 40.0%

of all 20 declarations

Fire Management - 4 20.0%

of all 20 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2021 2
2020 2
2011 3
2008 4
2006 1
2005 3
2001 1
1999 1
1998 1
1989 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 20 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 20 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
5634 STINKY FIRE FM Fire 2026-05-18
4586 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-19
3554 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-14
4485 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-25
3458 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
1999 WILDFIRES DR Fire 2011-07-01
2913 STONE RIDGE FIRE FM Fire 2011-05-29
2862 WILLOW CREEK SOUTH FIRE COMPLEX FM Fire 2011-02-27
3294 HURRICANE IKE EM Hurricane 2008-09-10
3290 HURRICANE GUSTAV EM Hurricane 2008-08-29
3284 WILDFIRES EM Fire 2008-03-14
2743 BROADWAY FIRE FM Fire 2008-02-13
1624 EXTREME WILDFIRE THREAT DR Fire 2006-01-11
1606 HURRICANE RITA DR Hurricane 2005-09-24
3261 HURRICANE RITA EM Hurricane 2005-09-21
3216 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-02
1356 SEVERE WINTER ICE STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 2001-01-08
3142 EXTREME FIRE HAZARDS EM Fire 1999-09-01
1239 TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY DR Severe Storm 1998-08-26
828 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1989-05-19

Storm Events in Texas

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Potter County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Hail 14,072 0 15 $7.4B
Thunderstorm Wind 10,293 41 141 $369.9M
Drought 7,032 0 0 $86.0K
Flash Flood 4,728 338 24 $47.6B
Heat 4,079 119 405 $0

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

387

Total Paid

$5.4M

Avg Per Claim

$14.0K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Moderate

Score: 90.5/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Moderate

$63.4M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively High

Community Resilience

Relatively Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Winter Weather Very High
Hail Very High
Tornado Relatively High
Strong Wind Relatively High
Drought Relatively High
Wildfire Relatively Moderate
Lightning Relatively High
Cold Wave Relatively High
Earthquake Relatively Low
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Landslide Very Low
Hurricane No Rating

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Winter Weather

Winter Weather in the model means the accumulation of snow and cold that disrupts rather than destroys: road closures, roof loads, burst pipes and lost heating. Its costs land heavily on transport and on households least able to absorb an interruption.

Worth noting for Potter County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Winter Weather carries the highest modeled rating (Very High), while the county's declaration history is led by Fire. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Potter County's closest FEMA peer: Richmond County, NC

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Potter County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Potter County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Potter County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Potter County's NFIP claims file (387 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Potter County?
The most common disaster type in Potter County is Fire, with 8 declarations. Other disaster types include Hurricane (5), Severe Ice Storm (3), Biological (2).
How does Potter County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Texas average?
The typical Texas county has 20.9 FEMA declaration records; Potter County has 20, or 4% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 3% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Potter County received?
Potter County has received 8 major disaster declarations, representing 40% of all 20 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Potter County filed?
Potter County has 387 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $5.4M in payments, with an average of $14.0K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Potter County?
No. In Potter County, Winter Weather has the highest National Risk Index rating (Very High), while Hail leads Expected Annual Loss at about $20.2M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Potter County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Potter County was 2008, with 4 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1989 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Potter County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Potter County, Texas has an overall risk score of 90.5 out of 100 (Relatively Moderate). Social vulnerability here rates Relatively High, while community resilience comes in at Relatively Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Moderate, representing $63.4M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Potter County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Potter County as of the latest release is Winter Weather (risk rating: Very High). Other significant hazards include Hail (Very High) and Tornado (Relatively High). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts winter weather here at an average of 11 times per year, drawn from 204 historical events on record. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Potter County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Texas profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events