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Ohio · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Preble County, OH

11 FEMA disaster declarations (1977-2020), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

11
FEMA declarations
5
Major disasters
43
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Preble County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 11 declarations, more than 12% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 25% below the Ohio county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county safer than 43%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Safer than 43%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
11
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
48
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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How does Preble County compare?

Preble County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

11 12th percentile higher than 12% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

Preble County's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Ohio county average

0/100100/100Ohio avg55/10043.3/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Ohio county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Preble County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $7.4M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Moderate), while Strong Wind carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Preble County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

FEMA's data shows an elevated National Risk Index composite of 43.3/100 for this county (Relatively Low rating). Expected Annual Loss comes in at Relatively Low (roughly $14.6M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability (Relatively Low) and community resilience (Relatively High) both factor into how that raw exposure plays out on the ground. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Strong Wind carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 3.1 times per year here, based on 120 historical events on record.

Declaration frequency

Nationally, Preble County's 11 FEMA records form a high-volume history; within Ohio, however, the count is 25% below the county mean. 5 entries carry the Major Disaster classification. The largest incident group is Severe Storm, appearing 4 times. The full 43-year record averages 0.3 declarations annually. A DR label alone does not say whether Individual Assistance, Public Assistance, or both followed.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 48 claims and $371.8K paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

Start with the state benchmark: a Ohio county averages 14.6 federal declaration records, while Preble County has 11. The gap is 25% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

41 /100

Historical Activity Index

Moderate historical activity

Preble County, OH · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
8/30

11 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.5x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
9/25

11 declarations (0.8x state county average of 15)

Major Disaster Share Moderate
11/25

5 of 11 declarations are major disasters (45%)

Hazard Diversity High
13/20

5 different disaster types declared in Preble County

Historical Declaration Activity

Activity Band

High

vs. Ohio Avg

-25%

State avg: 14.6

vs. National Avg

-47%

National avg: 20.7

Avg Per Year

0.3

Over 43 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Preble County

Preble County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 25, Hurricane 8, Tornado 48, Wildfire 8, Drought 8, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 22 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 22 8-hazard mean
Preble County NRI risk profile FIPS 39135 · displayed-hazard mean 22/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

11

Low volume

Major Disaster share

45%

Mixed major share

NRI risk score

43

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Preble County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate an average of 3.1 times per year
Tornado Relatively Moderate roughly once every 3 years
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 607 years
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate an average of 1 time per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 9 years
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low an average of 1.6 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively Low an average of 4.3 times per year
Hail Relatively Low an average of 3.8 times per year
Winter Weather Relatively Low an average of 11 times per year
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 46 times per year
Heat Wave Very Low 5.2 modeled event-days per year
Drought Very Low 0.4 modeled event-days per year
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 174 years
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 42,723 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 4
Snowstorm 3
Biological 2
Hurricane 1
Flood 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Preble County's record, 36% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Emergency - 6 54.5%

of all 11 declarations

Major Disaster - 5 45.5%

of all 11 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2020 2
2012 1
2009 1
2005 2
2004 1
2003 1
1989 1
1978 1
1977 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 11 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 11 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4507 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-31
3457 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
3346 SEVERE STORMS EM Severe Storm 2012-06-30
1805 SEVERE WIND STORM ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION IKE DR Severe Storm 2008-10-24
3250 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-13
3198 SNOW EM Snowstorm 2005-01-11
1556 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2004-09-19
1453 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND RECORD/NEAR RECORD SNOW DR Severe Storm 2003-03-14
831 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1989-06-10
3055 BLIZZARDS & SNOWSTORMS EM Snowstorm 1978-01-26
3029 SNOWSTORMS EM Snowstorm 1977-02-02

Storm Events in Ohio

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Preble County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 6,938 6 39 $60.4M
Winter Weather 2,101 7 42 $3.3M
Hail 1,749 0 0 $673.5K
Flood 1,607 9 0 $84.5M
Flash Flood 1,089 9 7 $112.2M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

48

Total Paid

$371.8K

Avg Per Claim

$7.7K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 43.3/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$14.6M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Low

Community Resilience

Relatively High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Tornado Relatively Moderate
Earthquake Relatively Low
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate
Landslide Very Low
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Hail Relatively Low
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Drought Very Low
Hurricane Very Low
Wildfire Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Strong Wind

Strong Wind covers damaging non-thunderstorm, non-tornadic wind, the kind produced by steep pressure gradients and downslope events. It is a broad, frequent, low-drama hazard: roofs, signage, power lines and high-profile vehicles, spread across a wide area rather than concentrated on a path.

For Preble County the two measures on this page point the same way: Strong Wind is the county's highest-rated modeled hazard (Relatively Moderate), and Severe Storm declarations also lead its federal record. Where the model and the declaration history agree, the reading is comparatively straightforward, the hazard is both expected and repeatedly realised.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Preble County's closest FEMA peer: Marquette County, MI

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Preble County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Preble County - capture-dated entries only.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 11 FEMA declarations, Preble County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Preble County?
The most common disaster type in Preble County is Severe Storm, with 4 declarations. Other disaster types include Snowstorm (3), Biological (2), Hurricane (1).
How does Preble County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Ohio average?
The typical Ohio county has 14.6 FEMA declaration records; Preble County has 11, or 25% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 47% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Preble County received?
Preble County has received 5 major disaster declarations, representing 45% of all 11 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Preble County filed?
Preble County has 48 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $371.8K in payments, with an average of $7.7K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Preble County?
No. In Preble County, Strong Wind has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $7.4M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Preble County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Preble County was 2005, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1977 to 2020.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Preble County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Preble County, Ohio has an overall risk score of 43.3 out of 100 (Relatively Low). On social vulnerability the county rates Relatively Low; on community resilience, Relatively High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $14.6M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Preble County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in Preble County as of the latest release is Strong Wind (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Tornado (Relatively Moderate) and Earthquake (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts strong wind here at an average of 3.1 times per year, drawn from 120 historical events on record. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Preble County

Against a Ohio county mean of 15 declarations, Preble County, OH records 11, or 25% fewer. PlainHazard classifies that historical total as high activity.

  • Emergency is the largest group (6 of 11) in a declaration history that remains below its state benchmark; frequency here is not a forecast. Ohio overview
  • Nationally the county exceeds 12% of recorded county totals, but its own Ohio benchmark is higher. The ranking keeps those two contexts separate. Most-disaster rankings
  • A short NFIP claims file cannot establish low flood exposure; the data guide explains the limits of each federal measure. Disaster-data guide

A below-average federal record is not a safety guarantee. Use National Weather Service alerts and local emergency-management notices for present conditions, not this historical comparison.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.