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California · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Shasta County, CA

41 FEMA disaster declarations (1965-2023), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate. Most common hazard: Fire.

41
FEMA declarations
20
Major disasters
93
NRI risk · Relatively Moderate
Fire
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Shasta County. Its 41 FEMA declarations are 44% above the California county mean and exceed the count for 97% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 7%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 7%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Moderate
FEMA National Risk Index rating
41
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
256
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

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How does Shasta County compare?

Shasta County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

41 Top 3% higher than 97% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

Shasta County's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the California county average

0/100100/100California avg89/10093.4/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the California county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Shasta County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $71.7M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively High), while Wildfire carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Shasta County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 256 paid claims, totaling $4.9M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $19.0K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Shasta County's 41 federal records stand 44% above the California county mean of 28.5. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 93.4/100 (Relatively Moderate). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively Moderate (roughly $135.5M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Relatively Moderate and community resilience Relatively Moderate, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Wildfire stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 114 years here.

Declaration frequency

The FEMA register is busy by both local and national comparisons. It contains 41 entries for Shasta County, including 20 Major Disaster records, 44% above the California county mean. Across the 58-year span, that works out to 0.7 declarations a year. Fire leads the file with 22 entries. Declaration type records the federal action taken, not every assistance program approved.

78 /100

Historical Activity Index

Very High historical activity

Shasta County, CA · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Very High
30/30

41 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (2.0x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
18/25

41 declarations (1.4x state county average of 29)

Major Disaster Share Moderate
12/25

20 of 41 declarations are major disasters (49%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
18/20

7 different disaster types declared in Shasta County

Historical Declaration Activity

Activity Band

High

vs. California Avg

+44%

State avg: 28.5

vs. National Avg

+98%

National avg: 20.7

Avg Per Year

0.7

Over 58 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Shasta County

Shasta County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 48, Flood 70, Hurricane 0, Tornado 8, Wildfire 70, Drought 48, Heat Wave 48, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 43 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 43 8-hazard mean
Shasta County NRI risk profile FIPS 06089 · displayed-hazard mean 43/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

41

Very high volume

Major Disaster share

49%

Mixed major share

NRI risk score

93

Relatively Moderate

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Shasta County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Wildfire Relatively High roughly once every 114 years
Earthquake Relatively Moderate roughly once every 43 years
Riverine Flooding Relatively High an average of 1 time per year
Volcanic Activity Relatively Moderate roughly once every 455 years
Landslide Relatively Moderate an average of 6.4 times per year
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate 5 modeled event-days per year
Drought Relatively Moderate 77 modeled event-days per year
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate an average of 21 times per year
Lightning Relatively Moderate an average of 14 times per year
Avalanche Very Low roughly once every 100 years
Hail Very Low roughly once every 10 years
Tornado Very Low roughly once every 15 years
Strong Wind Very Low roughly once every 66 years
Cold Wave Very Low roughly once every 6,128,217 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Fire 22
Severe Storm 7
Flood 7
Biological 2
Hurricane 1
Coastal Storm 1
Drought 1

What Fire declarations mean here

Fire is the most frequent declaration type on Shasta County's record, 54% of its declarations. Wildfire is the one hazard here with its own dedicated federal instrument: the Fire Management Assistance Grant, which appears in this data as an FM record. An FMAG can be authorised while a fire is still burning, on a timescale of hours, because its purpose is to reimburse the cost of fighting a fire that threatens to become a major disaster.

That distinction matters when comparing counties. An FM declaration is not a presidential major disaster declaration and does not carry the same assistance programmes, so a fire-heavy county's total is not directly comparable with a hurricane-heavy county's total unless the declaration types are separated, which is why they are listed separately on this page.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 20 48.8%

of all 41 declarations

Fire Management - 15 36.6%

of all 41 declarations

Emergency - 6 14.6%

of all 41 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2023 1
2021 2
2020 3
2019 1
2018 4
2017 2
2014 2
2013 1
2012 1
2008 1
2007 1
2006 1
2005 2
2004 4
2002 1
Show 13 earlier declaration years
1999 1
1997 1
1995 2
1993 1
1992 1
1988 1
1986 1
1983 1
1977 1
1974 1
1970 1
1969 1
1965 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 41 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 41 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4699 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2023-04-03
5417 FAWN FIRE FM Fire 2021-09-23
4569 WILDFIRES DR Fire 2020-10-16
5377 ZOGG FIRE FM Fire 2020-09-28
4482 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-22
3428 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4431 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2019-05-01
4382 WILDFIRES AND HIGH WINDS DR Fire 2018-08-04
3398 WILDFIRE EM Fire 2018-07-28
5259 CARR FIRE FM Fire 2018-07-23
5245 CREEK FIRE FM Fire 2018-06-25
4308 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, FLOODING, AND MUDSLIDES DR Flood 2017-04-01
4301 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, FLOODING, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2017-02-14
5069 BALD FIRE FM Fire 2014-08-03
5067 EILER FIRE FM Fire 2014-08-02
5050 CLOVER FIRE FM Fire 2013-09-10
5007 PONDEROSA FIRE FM Fire 2012-08-19
3287 WILDFIRES EM Fire 2008-06-28
2702 CREEK FIRE FM Fire 2007-06-29
1628 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, MUDSLIDES, AND LANDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2006-02-03
Show 21 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
3248 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-13
2580 MANTON FIRE FM Fire 2005-08-26
2548 CA-LAKE FIRE 08-14-2004 FM Fire 2004-08-14
2547 CA-FRENCH FIRE 08-14-2004 FM Fire 2004-08-14
2544 CA-BEAR FIRE-08-11-2004 FM Fire 2004-08-11
2508 CA-WHITMORE FIRE-10-28-2003 FM Fire 2003-10-28
2461 SQUIRREL FIRE FM Fire 2002-09-04
3140 CA-WILDFIRES-08/25/1999 EM Fire 1999-09-01
1155 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, MUD AND LANDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 1997-01-04
1046 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, FLOODING LANDSLIDES, MUD FLOW DR Severe Storm 1995-03-12
1044 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, MUD FLOWS DR Severe Storm 1995-01-10
979 SEVERE WINTER STORM, MUD & LAND SLIDES, & FLOODING DR Flood 1993-02-03
958 OLD GULCH & FOUNTAIN FIRES DR Fire 1992-08-29
815 WILDFIRES DR Fire 1988-09-29
758 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1986-02-21
677 COASTAL STORMS, FLOODS, SLIDES & TORNADOES DR Coastal Storm 1983-02-09
3023 DROUGHT EM Drought 1977-01-20
412 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1974-01-25
283 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1970-02-16
253 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1969-01-26
183 HEAVY RAINS & FLOODING DR Flood 1964-12-24

Storm Events in California

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Shasta County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
High Wind 4,070 13 27 $228.2M
Flood 3,132 26 25 $985.1M
Heavy Snow 1,814 6 0 $1.6M
Dense Fog 1,605 52 148 $2.8M
Drought 1,421 0 0 $0

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

256

Total Paid

$4.9M

Avg Per Claim

$19.0K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Moderate

Score: 93.4/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Moderate

$135.5M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Moderate

Community Resilience

Relatively Moderate

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Wildfire Relatively High
Earthquake Relatively Moderate
Riverine Flooding Relatively High
Volcanic Activity Relatively Moderate
Landslide Relatively Moderate
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate
Drought Relatively Moderate
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate
Lightning Relatively Moderate
Avalanche Very Low
Hail Very Low
Tornado Very Low
Strong Wind Very Low
Cold Wave Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Wildfire

Wildfire risk in the model reflects fuel, terrain, weather and how much development sits in the wildland-urban interface. It is one of the few hazards where the exposure is materially changed by land management and building choices, not only by where the county happens to be.

For Shasta County the two measures on this page point the same way: Wildfire is the county's highest-rated modeled hazard (Relatively High), and Fire declarations also lead its federal record. Where the model and the declaration history agree, the reading is comparatively straightforward, the hazard is both expected and repeatedly realised.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Shasta County's closest FEMA peer: Natchitoches Parish, LA

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Shasta County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Shasta County - capture-dated entries only.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Shasta County's NFIP claims file (256 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Shasta County?
The most common disaster type in Shasta County is Fire, with 22 declarations. Other disaster types include Severe Storm (7), Flood (7), Biological (2).
How does Shasta County's FEMA declaration record compare with the California average?
FEMA lists 41 declaration records for Shasta County. That is 44% above the California county mean of 28.5. Its count is also 98% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Shasta County received?
Shasta County has received 20 major disaster declarations, representing 49% of all 41 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Shasta County filed?
Shasta County has 256 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $4.9M in payments, with an average of $19.0K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Shasta County?
No. In Shasta County, Wildfire has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $71.7M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Shasta County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Shasta County was 2004, with 4 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1965 to 2023.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Shasta County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Shasta County, California has an overall risk score of 93.4 out of 100 (Relatively Moderate). On social vulnerability the county rates Relatively Moderate; on community resilience, Relatively Moderate. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Moderate, representing $135.5M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Shasta County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in Shasta County is Wildfire (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Earthquake (Relatively Moderate) and Riverine Flooding (Relatively High). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts wildfire here at roughly once every 114 years. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Shasta County

Shasta County, CA has 41 federal declaration records, 44% more than the California county mean of 29; its history sits in PlainHazard's high activity band.

  • Within this above-state-average declaration file, major disaster leads with 20 of 41 records; the category describes past federal action, not the next likely hazard. California overview
  • The state benchmark and national rank point the same way: this count tops the California mean and the totals for 97% of 3,266 U.S. counties. Most-disaster rankings
  • Use the data guide to separate this mid-volume insurance-claims file from declaration counts and modeled NRI risk. Disaster-data guide

An above-average declaration count records past federal responses; it does not predict the next event. Current warnings come from the National Weather Service and local emergency officials.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.