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New York · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Suffolk County, NY

36 FEMA disaster declarations (1965-2025), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively High. Most common hazard: Hurricane.

36
FEMA declarations
25
Major disasters
97
NRI risk · Relatively High
Hurricane
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Suffolk County. Its 36 FEMA declarations are 47% above the New York county mean and exceed the count for 94% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 3%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 3%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively High
FEMA National Risk Index rating
36
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
33,922
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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How does Suffolk County compare?

Suffolk County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

36 Top 6% higher than 94% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

Suffolk County's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the New York county average

0/100100/100New York avg69/10097.3/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the New York county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Suffolk County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $193.3M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Low), while Winter Weather carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Very High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Suffolk County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

FEMA's NFIP table contains a substantial paid-claim history for this county: 33,922 claims and $1.1B in payments. PlainHazard labels 500 or more claims a heavy registry record; that is a reporting bucket, not an official FEMA risk grade. The average paid claim was $32.8K. NFIP totals exclude uninsured flood losses and do not measure how many properties currently carry a policy.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Suffolk County's 36 federal records stand 47% above the New York county mean of 24.5. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 97.3/100 (Relatively High). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively High (roughly $320.5M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Relatively Low and community resilience Very High, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Winter Weather stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Very High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 10 times per year here, based on 78 historical events on record.

Declaration frequency

The FEMA register is busy by both local and national comparisons. It contains 36 entries for Suffolk County, including 25 Major Disaster records, 47% above the New York county mean. Across the 60-year span, that works out to 0.6 declarations a year. Hurricane leads the file with 13 entries. Declaration type records the federal action taken, not every assistance program approved.

81 /100

Historical Activity Index

Very High historical activity

Suffolk County, NY · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Very High
26/30

36 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.7x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
18/25

36 declarations (1.5x state county average of 25)

Major Disaster Share High
17/25

25 of 36 declarations are major disasters (69%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

8 different disaster types declared in Suffolk County

Historical Declaration Activity

Activity Band

High

vs. New York Avg

+47%

State avg: 24.5

vs. National Avg

+74%

National avg: 20.7

Avg Per Year

0.6

Over 60 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Suffolk County

Suffolk County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 48, Flood 92, Hurricane 70, Tornado 48, Wildfire 25, Drought 8, Heat Wave 48, Winter Storm 92. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 54 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 54 8-hazard mean
Suffolk County NRI risk profile FIPS 36103 · displayed-hazard mean 54/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

36

Very high volume

Major Disaster share

69%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

97

Relatively High

Source: FEMA National Risk Index FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Suffolk County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Winter Weather Very High an average of 10 times per year
Coastal Flooding Very High an average of 3.8 times per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively High an average of 3.5 times per year
Strong Wind Relatively High an average of 3.2 times per year
Lightning Very High an average of 24 times per year
Hurricane Relatively High roughly once every 5 years
Ice Storm Very High roughly once every 1 years
Earthquake Relatively Moderate roughly once every 608 years
Cold Wave Relatively High roughly once every 2 years
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate 3.9 modeled event-days per year
Landslide Relatively Low roughly once every 6 years
Tornado Relatively Moderate roughly once every 2 years
Wildfire Relatively Low roughly once every 5,837 years
Hail Relatively Low an average of 1.3 times per year
Drought Very Low 0.1 modeled event-days per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Hurricane 13
Severe Storm 9
Snowstorm 5
Flood 3
Biological 2
Other 2
Fire 1
Drought 1

What Hurricane declarations mean here

Hurricane is the most frequent declaration type on Suffolk County's federal record, 36% of its declarations. Atlantic tropical systems run on a defined season, 1 June to 30 November, with most activity concentrated between August and October; Pacific and territorial basins run on their own calendars. A single named storm routinely produces one declaration number covering a long corridor of counties at once, well inland as well as on the coast, which is why an affected county's count can jump by several in one year without several separate events having occurred.

One practical distinction matters when reading these records: a tropical declaration usually bundles wind, storm surge and inland rainfall flooding under a single incident, but the insurance behind them is split. Wind damage falls to property insurers, while flood and surge damage is covered only under a separate National Flood Insurance Program policy. That is why a county can show heavy declaration activity and a comparatively small NFIP claims record, or the reverse.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 25 69.4%

of all 36 declarations

Emergency - 11 30.6%

of all 36 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2025 1
2024 1
2023 1
2021 4
2020 2
2017 1
2013 3
2011 3
2010 2
2007 1
2005 1
2004 1
2003 2
2001 2
1999 1
Show 9 earlier declaration years
1997 1
1996 1
1993 2
1991 1
1986 1
1984 1
1976 1
1971 1
1965 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 36 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 36 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4839 SEVERE STORM AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2024-10-21
3613 SEVERE STORM AND FLOODING EM Severe Storm 2024-08-25
4694 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND SNOWSTORM DR Snowstorm 2023-03-15
4615 REMNANTS OF HURRICANE IDA DR Hurricane 2021-09-05
3572 REMNANTS OF HURRICANE IDA EM Hurricane 2021-09-02
3565 HURRICANE HENRI EM Hurricane 2021-08-22
4567 TROPICAL STORM ISAIAS DR Hurricane 2020-10-02
4480 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-20
3434 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4322 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND SNOWSTORM DR Snowstorm 2017-07-12
4111 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND SNOWSTORM DR Severe Storm 2013-04-23
4085 HURRICANE SANDY DR Hurricane 2012-10-30
3351 HURRICANE SANDY EM Hurricane 2012-10-28
4020 HURRICANE IRENE DR Hurricane 2011-08-31
3328 HURRICANE IRENE EM Hurricane 2011-08-26
1957 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND SNOWSTORM DR Severe Storm 2011-02-18
1899 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2010-04-16
1869 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING ASSOC W TD IDA & NOR'EASTER DR Severe Storm 2009-12-31
1692 SEVERE STORMS AND INLAND AND COASTAL FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2007-04-24
3262 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-30
Show 16 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
1534 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2004-08-03
3186 POWER OUTAGE EM Other 2003-08-23
3184 SNOW EM Snowstorm 2003-03-27
1391 FIRES AND EXPLOSIONS DR Fire 2001-09-11
3155 WEST NILE VIRUS EM Other 2000-10-11
1296 HURRICANE FLOYD MAJOR DISASTER DECLARATIONS DR Hurricane 1999-09-19
1146 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, HEAVY RAINS, HIGH WINDS DR Severe Storm 1996-11-19
1083 BLIZZARD OF 96 (SEVERE SNOW STORM) DR Snowstorm 1996-01-12
3107 SEVERE BLIZZARD EM Snowstorm 1993-03-17
974 COASTAL STORM, HIGH TIDES, HEAVY RAIN, & FLOODING DR Flood 1992-12-21
918 HURRICANE BOB DR Hurricane 1991-09-16
750 HURRICANE GLORIA DR Hurricane 1985-10-18
702 COASTAL STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1984-04-17
520 HURRICANE BELLE DR Hurricane 1976-09-03
311 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1971-09-13
204 WATER SHORTAGE DR Drought 1965-08-18

Storm Events in New York

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Suffolk County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 8,295 6 45 $45.0M
Winter Weather 2,261 7 17 $705.5K
Flash Flood 1,775 23 3 $674.3M
Strong Wind 1,399 2 12 $9.2M
Winter Storm 1,228 13 2 $4.9M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

33,922

Total Paid

$1.1B

Avg Per Claim

$32.8K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively High

Score: 97.3/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively High

$320.5M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Low

Community Resilience

Very High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Winter Weather Very High
Coastal Flooding Very High
Riverine Flooding Relatively High
Strong Wind Relatively High
Lightning Very High
Hurricane Relatively High
Ice Storm Very High
Earthquake Relatively Moderate
Cold Wave Relatively High
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate
Landslide Relatively Low
Tornado Relatively Moderate
Wildfire Relatively Low
Hail Relatively Low
Drought Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Winter Weather

Winter Weather in the model means the accumulation of snow and cold that disrupts rather than destroys: road closures, roof loads, burst pipes and lost heating. Its costs land heavily on transport and on households least able to absorb an interruption.

Worth noting for Suffolk County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Winter Weather carries the highest modeled rating (Very High), while the county's declaration history is led by Hurricane. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Suffolk County's closest FEMA peer: Comanche County, OK

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Suffolk County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Suffolk County - capture-dated entries only.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Suffolk County's NFIP claims file (33,922 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Suffolk County?
The most common disaster type in Suffolk County is Hurricane, with 13 declarations. Other disaster types include Severe Storm (9), Snowstorm (5), Flood (3).
How does Suffolk County's FEMA declaration record compare with the New York average?
FEMA lists 36 declaration records for Suffolk County. That is 47% above the New York county mean of 24.5. Its count is also 74% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Suffolk County received?
Suffolk County has received 25 major disaster declarations, representing 69% of all 36 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Suffolk County filed?
Suffolk County has 33,922 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $1.1B in payments, with an average of $32.8K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Suffolk County?
No. In Suffolk County, Winter Weather has the highest National Risk Index rating (Very High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $193.3M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Suffolk County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Suffolk County was 2021, with 4 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1965 to 2025.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Suffolk County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Suffolk County, New York has an overall risk score of 97.3 out of 100 (Relatively High). Social vulnerability here rates Relatively Low, while community resilience comes in at Very High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively High, representing $320.5M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Suffolk County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Suffolk County is Winter Weather (risk rating: Very High). Other significant hazards include Coastal Flooding (Very High) and Riverine Flooding (Relatively High). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts winter weather here at an average of 10 times per year, drawn from 78 historical events on record. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Suffolk County

Suffolk County, NY has 36 federal declaration records, 47% more than the New York county mean of 25; its history sits in PlainHazard's high activity band.

  • Within this above-state-average declaration file, major disaster leads with 25 of 36 records; the category describes past federal action, not the next likely hazard. New York overview
  • The state benchmark and national rank point the same way: this count tops the New York mean and the totals for 94% of 3,266 U.S. counties. Most-disaster rankings
  • The large NFIP claims file and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records; the guide explains where they overlap and where they do not. Disaster-data guide

An above-average declaration count records past federal responses; it does not predict the next event. Current warnings come from the National Weather Service and local emergency officials.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.