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Texas · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Terrell County, TX

16 FEMA disaster declarations (1965-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Fire.

16
FEMA declarations
8
Major disasters
0
NRI risk · Very Low
Fire
Top hazard

The verdict

Terrell County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 16 declarations, more than 27% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 23% below the Texas county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county safer than 1%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Safer than 1%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
16
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
3
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 48443 · Terrell County 16 declarations · rank 2217/3,266

DECL-MID · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-MID 16
  • MAJOR-MID 50%
  • RANK-LOWER #2,217
  • PHOTO-FINISH Greene
  • NRI-LOW Very Low
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Fire
  • VS-ST-BELOW -23%

Nearest declaration peer: Greene, GA (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Texas state profile

Terrell County among counties with fewer federal records

FEMA declaration records among Terrell County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Terrell County carries 16 FEMA declaration records, ranked 2217 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Terrell County versus quieter counties in this dataset

Terrell County among lower-declaration counties nationally

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Terrell County

16 27th percentile higher than 27% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Terrell County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Texas avg49/1000.4/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Texas county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Terrell County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $420.7K Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Low), while Wildfire carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Very Low). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Terrell County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits at the very bottom of FEMA's National Risk Index nationally, a composite score of 0.4/100 (rated Very Low). Projected losses are minimal, Expected Annual Loss reads Very Low (roughly $544.9K in annualized losses), and the county's exposure is shaped by a Relatively High social-vulnerability profile and Very Low community resilience. Even the county's top-rated hazard, Wildfire, only reaches Very Low on FEMA's scale, none of the 18 modeled hazards stand out here. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 269 years here.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 3 claims and $5.2K paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

Start with the state benchmark: a Texas county averages 20.9 federal declaration records, while Terrell County has 16. The gap is 23% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

55 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Terrell County, TX · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
12/30

16 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.8x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
10/25

16 declarations (0.8x state county average of 21)

Major Disaster Share High
13/25

8 of 16 declarations are major disasters (50%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

8 different disaster types declared in Terrell County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Terrell County

Terrell County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 8, Hurricane 8, Tornado 8, Wildfire 8, Drought 0, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 8. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 7 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 7 8-hazard mean
Terrell County NRI risk profile FIPS 48443 · displayed-hazard mean 7/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

16

Below median

Major Disaster share

50%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

0

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Terrell County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 269 years
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 2 years
Heat Wave Very Low 6.4 modeled event-days per year
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 85 years
Lightning Very Low an average of 40 times per year
Strong Wind Very Low roughly once every 4 years
Hail Very Low an average of 1.1 times per year
Tornado Very Low roughly once every 4 years
Cold Wave Very Low roughly once every 3 years
Riverine Flooding Very Low roughly once every 1 years
Winter Weather Very Low an average of 2.1 times per year
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 3,717 years
Ice Storm Very Low roughly once every 33 years
Drought No Rating 89 modeled event-days per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Fire 4
Hurricane 3
Flood 2
Severe Ice Storm 2
Biological 2
Severe Storm 1
Drought 1
Tornado 1

What Fire declarations mean here

Fire is the most frequent declaration type on Terrell County's record, 25% of its declarations. Wildfire is the one hazard here with its own dedicated federal instrument: the Fire Management Assistance Grant, which appears in this data as an FM record. An FMAG can be authorised while a fire is still burning, on a timescale of hours, because its purpose is to reimburse the cost of fighting a fire that threatens to become a major disaster.

That distinction matters when comparing counties. An FM declaration is not a presidential major disaster declaration and does not carry the same assistance programmes, so a fire-heavy county's total is not directly comparable with a hurricane-heavy county's total unless the declaration types are separated, which is why they are listed separately on this page.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Emergency - 8 50.0%

of all 16 declarations

Major Disaster - 8 50.0%

of all 16 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2024 1
2021 2
2020 2
2011 1
2008 1
2006 1
2005 3
1999 1
1998 1
1993 1
1965 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 16 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 16 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
3649 FLOODING EM Flood 2026-07-18
4781 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2024-05-17
4586 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-19
3554 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-14
4485 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-25
3458 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
1999 WILDFIRES DR Fire 2011-07-01
3284 WILDFIRES EM Fire 2008-03-14
1624 EXTREME WILDFIRE THREAT DR Fire 2006-01-11
1606 HURRICANE RITA DR Hurricane 2005-09-24
3261 HURRICANE RITA EM Hurricane 2005-09-21
3216 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-02
3142 EXTREME FIRE HAZARDS EM Fire 1999-09-01
1239 TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY DR Severe Storm 1998-08-26
3113 EXTREME FIRE HAZARD EM Drought 1993-09-10
199 TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Tornado 1965-06-19

Storm Events in Texas

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Terrell County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Hail 14,072 0 15 $7.4B
Thunderstorm Wind 10,293 41 141 $369.9M
Drought 7,032 0 0 $86.0K
Flash Flood 4,728 338 24 $47.6B
Heat 4,079 119 405 $0

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

3

Total Paid

$5.2K

Avg Per Claim

$1.7K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 0.4/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$544.9K/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively High

Community Resilience

Very Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Wildfire Very Low
Landslide Very Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Hurricane Very Low
Lightning Very Low
Strong Wind Very Low
Hail Very Low
Tornado Very Low
Cold Wave Very Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low
Winter Weather Very Low
Earthquake Very Low
Ice Storm Very Low
Drought No Rating

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Wildfire

Wildfire risk in the model reflects fuel, terrain, weather and how much development sits in the wildland-urban interface. It is one of the few hazards where the exposure is materially changed by land management and building choices, not only by where the county happens to be.

For Terrell County the two measures on this page point the same way: Wildfire is the county's highest-rated modeled hazard (Very Low), and Fire declarations also lead its federal record. Where the model and the declaration history agree, the reading is comparatively straightforward, the hazard is both expected and repeatedly realised.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Terrell County's closest FEMA peer: Greene County, GA

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Terrell County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Terrell County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Terrell County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 16 FEMA declarations, Terrell County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Terrell County?
The most common disaster type in Terrell County is Fire, with 4 declarations. Other disaster types include Hurricane (3), Flood (2), Severe Ice Storm (2).
How does Terrell County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Texas average?
The typical Texas county has 20.9 FEMA declaration records; Terrell County has 16, or 23% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 23% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Terrell County received?
Terrell County has received 8 major disaster declarations, representing 50% of all 16 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Terrell County filed?
Terrell County has 3 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $5.2K in payments, with an average of $1.7K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Terrell County?
No. In Terrell County, Wildfire has the highest National Risk Index rating (Very Low), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $420.7K. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Terrell County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Terrell County was 2005, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1965 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Terrell County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Terrell County, Texas has an overall risk score of 0.4 out of 100 (Very Low). Social vulnerability here rates Relatively High, while community resilience comes in at Very Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $544.9K in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Terrell County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Terrell County as of the latest release is Wildfire (risk rating: Very Low). Other significant hazards include Landslide (Very Low) and Heat Wave (Very Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts wildfire here at roughly once every 269 years. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Terrell County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Texas profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events