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South Dakota · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Turner County, SD

26 FEMA disaster declarations (1969-2024), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Flood.

26
FEMA declarations
23
Major disasters
24
NRI risk · Very Low
Flood
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Turner County. Its 26 FEMA declarations are 37% above the South Dakota county mean and exceed the count for 75% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it safer than 24%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Safer than 24%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
26
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
26
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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How does Turner County compare?

Turner County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

26 Top 25% higher than 75% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

Turner County's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the South Dakota county average

0/100100/100South Dakota avg27/10024/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the South Dakota county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Turner County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $4.1M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively High), while Drought carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Turner County's hazard record show?

Declaration frequency

The FEMA register is busy by both local and national comparisons. It contains 26 entries for Turner County, including 23 Major Disaster records, 37% above the South Dakota county mean. Across the 55-year span, that works out to 0.5 declarations a year. Flood leads the file with 11 entries. Declaration type records the federal action taken, not every assistance program approved.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county's FEMA National Risk Index composite lands at 24.0/100 (Very Low), a modest reading against the rest of the country. Expected Annual Loss is rated Very Low (roughly $10.7M in annualized losses), tempered or compounded by a Very Low social-vulnerability score and Very High community-resilience score. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Drought carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at 26 modeled event-days per year here, based on 903 historical events on record.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 26 claims and $1.1M paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Turner County's 26 federal records stand 37% above the South Dakota county mean of 19.0. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

71 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Turner County, SD · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
19/30

26 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.3x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
17/25

26 declarations (1.4x state county average of 19)

Major Disaster Share Very High
22/25

23 of 26 declarations are major disasters (88%)

Hazard Diversity High
13/20

5 different disaster types declared in Turner County

Historical Declaration Activity

Activity Band

High

vs. South Dakota Avg

+37%

State avg: 19.0

vs. National Avg

+25%

National avg: 20.7

Avg Per Year

0.5

Over 55 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Turner County

Turner County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 8, Hurricane 0, Tornado 25, Wildfire 8, Drought 48, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 19 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 19 8-hazard mean
Turner County NRI risk profile FIPS 46125 · displayed-hazard mean 19/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

26

High volume

Major Disaster share

88%

Mostly major

NRI risk score

24

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Turner County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Drought Relatively Moderate 26 modeled event-days per year
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate an average of 17 times per year
Hail Relatively Low an average of 6.3 times per year
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate roughly once every 1 years
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Cold Wave Relatively Low an average of 7.2 times per year
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 1,430 years
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 15 years
Strong Wind Relatively Low an average of 4 times per year
Riverine Flooding Very Low an average of 1.6 times per year
Heat Wave Very Low 6.2 modeled event-days per year
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 2,155 years
Lightning Very Low an average of 38 times per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Flood 11
Severe Storm 11
Biological 2
Coastal Storm 1
Drought 1

What Flood declarations mean here

Flood is the most frequent declaration type on Turner County's record, 42% of its declarations. Federal flood declarations cover two mechanisms that behave very differently: riverine flooding, which builds over days as a watershed drains and is usually forecast well in advance, and flash flooding, which can arrive in under an hour from rainfall that fell somewhere upstream.

Flood is also the one hazard class where a second federal dataset exists for the same events. The National Flood Insurance Program records what was actually paid on insured losses, so it measures a narrower thing than the declaration count: uninsured damage, and flooding outside mapped special flood hazard areas, never enters it. Reading the two together is more informative than either alone.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 23 88.5%

of all 26 declarations

Emergency - 3 11.5%

of all 26 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2024 1
2022 1
2020 3
2019 2
2014 1
2013 1
2010 4
2008 1
2005 1
2004 1
2001 1
1997 3
1995 1
1993 1
1986 1
Show 3 earlier declaration years
1984 1
1976 1
1969 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 26 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 26 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4807 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2024-08-15
4656 SEVERE STORM, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2022-06-29
4527 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-05
3475 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4469 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2019-11-18
4463 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 2019-09-23
4440 SEVERE WINTER STORM, SNOWSTORM, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2019-06-07
4186 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2014-07-28
4115 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND SNOWSTORM DR Severe Storm 2013-05-10
1938 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2010-09-23
1915 FLOODING DR Flood 2010-05-13
1887 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 2010-03-10
1886 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND SNOWSTORM DR Severe Storm 2010-03-09
1774 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2008-07-09
3234 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Coastal Storm 2005-09-10
1531 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2004-07-20
1375 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, FLOODING, AND ICE JAMS DR Flood 2001-05-17
1173 SEVERE FLOODING, SEVER WINTER STORMS,HEAVY RAINS HIGH WINDS DR Flood 1997-04-07
1161 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 1997-02-28
1156 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND BLIZZARD CONDITIONS DR Severe Storm 1997-01-10
Show 6 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
1052 FLOODING DR Flood 1995-05-26
999 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1993-07-19
764 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1986-05-03
717 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1984-07-19
3015 DROUGHT EM Drought 1976-06-17
257 FLOODING DR Flood 1969-04-18

Storm Events in South Dakota

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Turner County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 5,388 7 21 $10.7M
Hail 4,801 0 3 $4.5M
High Wind 2,277 0 1 $35.0K
Winter Weather 2,125 20 50 $133.0K
Flood 1,523 5 0 $196.2M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

26

Total Paid

$1.1M

Avg Per Claim

$40.6K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 24.0/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$10.7M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very Low

Community Resilience

Very High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Drought Relatively Moderate
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate
Hail Relatively Low
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate
Tornado Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Wildfire Very Low
Landslide Very Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Earthquake Very Low
Lightning Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Drought

Drought is the slowest of the modeled hazards and the least visible: it does its damage to agriculture, water supply and soil over seasons rather than hours, so it rarely produces the kind of single-day damage that drives a disaster declaration. FEMA scores it in event-days per year rather than discrete events for exactly that reason.

Worth noting for Turner County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Drought carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Flood. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Turner County's closest FEMA peer: Kidder County, ND

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Turner County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Turner County - capture-dated entries only.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 26 FEMA declarations, Turner County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Turner County?
The most common disaster type in Turner County is Flood, with 11 declarations. Other disaster types include Severe Storm (11), Biological (2), Coastal Storm (1).
How does Turner County's FEMA declaration record compare with the South Dakota average?
FEMA lists 26 declaration records for Turner County. That is 37% above the South Dakota county mean of 19.0. Its count is also 25% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Turner County received?
Turner County has received 23 major disaster declarations, representing 88% of all 26 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Turner County filed?
Turner County has 26 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $1.1M in payments, with an average of $40.6K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Turner County?
No. In Turner County, Drought has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $4.1M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Turner County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Turner County was 2010, with 4 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1969 to 2024.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Turner County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Turner County, South Dakota has an overall risk score of 24.0 out of 100 (Very Low). On social vulnerability the county rates Very Low; on community resilience, Very High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $10.7M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Turner County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Turner County is Drought (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Winter Weather (Relatively Moderate) and Hail (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts drought here at 26 modeled event-days per year, drawn from 903 historical events on record. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Turner County

Turner County, SD has 26 federal declaration records, 37% more than the South Dakota county mean of 19; its history sits in PlainHazard's high activity band.

  • Within this above-state-average declaration file, major disaster leads with 23 of 26 records; the category describes past federal action, not the next likely hazard. South Dakota overview
  • The state benchmark and national rank point the same way: this count tops the South Dakota mean and the totals for 75% of 3,266 U.S. counties. Most-disaster rankings
  • A short NFIP claims file cannot establish low flood exposure; the data guide explains the limits of each federal measure. Disaster-data guide

An above-average declaration count records past federal responses; it does not predict the next event. Current warnings come from the National Weather Service and local emergency officials.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.