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Oregon · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Umatilla County, OR

14 FEMA disaster declarations (1965-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate. Most common hazard: Fire.

14
FEMA declarations
8
Major disasters
82
NRI risk · Relatively Moderate
Fire
Top hazard

The verdict

Umatilla County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 14 declarations, more than 20% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 16% below the Oregon county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county in the riskiest 18%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Riskiest 18%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Moderate
FEMA National Risk Index rating
14
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
94
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 41059 · Umatilla County 14 declarations · rank 2568/3,266

DECL-MID · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-MID · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-MID 14
  • MAJOR-MID 57%
  • RANK-LOWER #2,568
  • PHOTO-FINISH Pulaski
  • NRI-MID 82
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Fire
  • VS-ST-BELOW -16%

Nearest declaration peer: Pulaski, IL (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Oregon state profile

Umatilla County among counties with fewer federal records

FEMA declaration records among Umatilla County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Umatilla County carries 14 FEMA declaration records, ranked 2568 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Umatilla County versus quieter counties in this dataset

Umatilla County among lower-declaration counties nationally

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Umatilla County

14 20th percentile higher than 20% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Umatilla County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Oregon avg63/10082.3/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Oregon county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Umatilla County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $17.7M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Moderate), while Wildfire carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Umatilla County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 94 paid claims, totaling $1.8M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $18.8K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

Start with the state benchmark: a Oregon county averages 16.6 federal declaration records, while Umatilla County has 14. The gap is 16% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 82.3/100 (Relatively Moderate). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively Low (roughly $40.0M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Relatively Moderate and community resilience Very Low, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Wildfire carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 190 years here.

50 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Umatilla County, OR · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
10/30

14 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.7x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
11/25

14 declarations (0.8x state county average of 17)

Major Disaster Share High
14/25

8 of 14 declarations are major disasters (57%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
15/20

6 different disaster types declared in Umatilla County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Umatilla County

Umatilla County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 48, Hurricane 0, Tornado 8, Wildfire 48, Drought 48, Heat Wave 48, Winter Storm 70. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 37 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 37 8-hazard mean
Umatilla County NRI risk profile FIPS 41059 · displayed-hazard mean 37/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

14

Low volume

Major Disaster share

57%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

82

Relatively Moderate

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Umatilla County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Wildfire Relatively Moderate roughly once every 190 years
Cold Wave Relatively High roughly once every 4 years
Ice Storm Relatively High roughly once every 3 years
Landslide Relatively Moderate an average of 1.7 times per year
Winter Weather Relatively High an average of 15 times per year
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 184 years
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate 4.8 modeled event-days per year
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate roughly once every 4 years
Drought Relatively Moderate 24 modeled event-days per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate roughly once every 2 years
Avalanche Relatively Low roughly once every 30 years
Volcanic Activity Very Low roughly once every 455 years
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 14 times per year
Hail Relatively Low roughly once every 3 years
Tornado Very Low roughly once every 10 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Fire 4
Flood 4
Biological 2
Severe Storm 2
Coastal Storm 1
Drought 1

What Fire declarations mean here

Fire is the most frequent declaration type on Umatilla County's record, 29% of its declarations. Wildfire is the one hazard here with its own dedicated federal instrument: the Fire Management Assistance Grant, which appears in this data as an FM record. An FMAG can be authorised while a fire is still burning, on a timescale of hours, because its purpose is to reimburse the cost of fighting a fire that threatens to become a major disaster.

That distinction matters when comparing counties. An FM declaration is not a presidential major disaster declaration and does not carry the same assistance programmes, so a fire-heavy county's total is not directly comparable with a hurricane-heavy county's total unless the declaration types are separated, which is why they are listed separately on this page.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 8 57.1%

of all 14 declarations

Fire Management - 3 21.4%

of all 14 declarations

Emergency - 3 21.4%

of all 14 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2025 1
2024 1
2020 3
2019 1
2005 1
2004 1
2001 1
1997 1
1996 1
1977 1
1965 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 14 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 14 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
5645 LOWER DRY CREEK FIRE FM Fire 2026-07-16
4854 WILDFIRES DR Fire 2025-01-01
5514 BATTLE MOUNTAIN FIRE COMPLEX FM Fire 2024-07-21
4519 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Flood 2020-04-03
4499 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-28
3429 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4452 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Flood 2019-07-09
3228 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Coastal Storm 2005-09-07
1510 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Storm 2004-02-19
2375 OR BRIDGE CREEK FIRES 2375 FM Fire 2001-08-15
1160 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, LAND AND MUDSLIDES, FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1997-01-23
1099 HIGH WINDS, SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 1996-02-09
3039 DROUGHT EM Drought 1977-04-29
184 HEAVY RAINS & FLOODING DR Flood 1964-12-24

Storm Events in Oregon

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Umatilla County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
High Wind 859 13 10 $3.2B
Heavy Snow 654 2 0 $139.2M
Frost/Freeze 391 0 0 $0
Wildfire 311 15 38 $15.1M
Flood 244 3 1 $68.4M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

94

Total Paid

$1.8M

Avg Per Claim

$18.8K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Moderate

Score: 82.3/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$40.0M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Moderate

Community Resilience

Very Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Wildfire Relatively Moderate
Cold Wave Relatively High
Ice Storm Relatively High
Landslide Relatively Moderate
Winter Weather Relatively High
Earthquake Relatively Low
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Drought Relatively Moderate
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate
Avalanche Relatively Low
Volcanic Activity Very Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Hail Relatively Low
Tornado Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Wildfire

Wildfire risk in the model reflects fuel, terrain, weather and how much development sits in the wildland-urban interface. It is one of the few hazards where the exposure is materially changed by land management and building choices, not only by where the county happens to be.

For Umatilla County the two measures on this page point the same way: Wildfire is the county's highest-rated modeled hazard (Relatively Moderate), and Fire declarations also lead its federal record. Where the model and the declaration history agree, the reading is comparatively straightforward, the hazard is both expected and repeatedly realised.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Umatilla County's closest FEMA peer: Pottawatomie County, OK

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Umatilla County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Umatilla County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Umatilla County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Umatilla County's NFIP claims file (94 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Umatilla County?
The most common disaster type in Umatilla County is Fire, with 4 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (4), Biological (2), Severe Storm (2).
How does Umatilla County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Oregon average?
The typical Oregon county has 16.6 FEMA declaration records; Umatilla County has 14, or 16% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 32% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Umatilla County received?
Umatilla County has received 8 major disaster declarations, representing 57% of all 14 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Umatilla County filed?
Umatilla County has 94 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $1.8M in payments, with an average of $18.8K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Umatilla County?
No. In Umatilla County, Wildfire has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $17.7M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Umatilla County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Umatilla County was 2020, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1965 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Umatilla County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Umatilla County, Oregon has an overall risk score of 82.3 out of 100 (Relatively Moderate). Social vulnerability here rates Relatively Moderate, while community resilience comes in at Very Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $40.0M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Umatilla County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Umatilla County as of the latest release is Wildfire (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Cold Wave (Relatively High) and Ice Storm (Relatively High). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts wildfire here at roughly once every 190 years. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Umatilla County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Oregon profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events