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New Mexico · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Union County, NM

7 FEMA disaster declarations (1973-2020), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Biological.

7
FEMA declarations
3
Major disasters
12
NRI risk · Very Low
Biological
Top hazard

The verdict

Start with the local benchmark for Union County: 7 FEMA declaration records are 44% below the New Mexico county mean, even though the count is higher than 4% of counties in the national registry. On FEMA's distinct National Risk Index model, which combines expected loss with vulnerability and resilience, the county ranks safer than 12%.

Safer than 12%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
7
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
2
biological declarations, the most common hazard here

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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How does Union County compare?

Union County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

7 4th percentile higher than 4% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

Union County's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the New Mexico county average

0/100100/100New Mexico avg59/10012.1/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the New Mexico county average

What does Union County's hazard record show?

Declaration frequency

The state comparison is the clearest context for Union County's moderate federal record. Its 7 declarations sit 44% below the New Mexico county mean, with 3 Major Disaster entries among them. 2 records concern Biological, the file's most frequent incident type. Spread across 47 years, the registry rate is 0.1 per year. FEMA reports authorized programs separately from the DR, EM, and FM codes.

FEMA National Risk Index

FEMA's National Risk Index places this county in the low end of the national distribution, composite score 12.1/100 (Very Low). Expected Annual Loss is rated Very Low (roughly $3.6M in annualized losses). Two modifiers shape how that exposure becomes real-world harm here: social vulnerability (Very High) and community resilience (Very Low). Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Drought stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at 160 modeled event-days per year here, based on 4,046 historical events on record.

Reading the federal records together

No paid-claim row for this county appears in the NFIP county table used by PlainHazard. That absence is not evidence that flooding never occurred: the register observes claims under federal flood-insurance policies, not uninsured losses, emergency reports, or every flood outside the program. The FEMA declaration history below is therefore the available federal-action record on this page.

Start with the state benchmark: a New Mexico county averages 12.5 federal declaration records, while Union County has 7. The gap is 44% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

38 /100

Historical Activity Index

Moderate historical activity

Union County, NM · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Low
5/30

7 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.3x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
7/25

7 declarations (0.6x state county average of 12)

Major Disaster Share Moderate
11/25

3 of 7 declarations are major disasters (43%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
15/20

6 different disaster types declared in Union County

Historical Declaration Activity

Activity Band

Moderate

vs. New Mexico Avg

-44%

State avg: 12.5

vs. National Avg

-66%

National avg: 20.7

Avg Per Year

0.1

Over 47 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Union County

Union County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 8, Hurricane 0, Tornado 8, Wildfire 25, Drought 70, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 22 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 22 8-hazard mean
Union County NRI risk profile FIPS 35059 · displayed-hazard mean 22/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

7

Low volume

Major Disaster share

43%

Mixed major share

NRI risk score

12

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Union County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Drought Relatively High 160 modeled event-days per year
Wildfire Relatively Low roughly once every 181 years
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate an average of 15 times per year
Hail Relatively Low an average of 2.2 times per year
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 55 times per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 1 years
Cold Wave Very Low roughly once every 1 years
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 1,595 years
Tornado Very Low roughly once every 1 years
Ice Storm Very Low roughly once every 19 years
Heat Wave Very Low 0.2 modeled event-days per year
Strong Wind Very Low roughly once every 1 years
Riverine Flooding Very Low roughly once every 1 years
Avalanche Very Low roughly once every 100 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Biological 2
Hurricane 1
Fire 1
Severe Storm 1
Drought 1
Flood 1

What Biological declarations mean here

Biological is the most frequent declaration type on Union County's record, 29% of its declarations. In practice this category is dominated by the COVID-19 declarations of 2020, which were issued across every US state and territory rather than in response to any local hazard event.

This has a direct consequence for how Union County's number should be read. Because those declarations reached essentially every county in the country, they raise every county's total by a similar amount and tell you nothing about local hazard exposure. A county whose record is led by Biological declarations is, in most cases, a county with a genuinely quiet weather-hazard history, the pandemic records are simply the largest thing in an otherwise short list.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Emergency - 4 57.1%

of all 7 declarations

Major Disaster - 3 42.9%

of all 7 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2020 2
2005 1
2000 1
1998 1
1977 1
1973 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 7 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 7 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4529 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-05
3460 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
3229 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-07
3154 SEVERE FIRE THREATS EM Fire 2000-05-10
1202 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 1998-01-29
3034 DROUGHT EM Drought 1977-03-02
380 SEVERE STORMS, SNOW MELT & FLOODING DR Flood 1973-05-11

Storm Events in New Mexico

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Union County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Drought 3,382 0 0 $0
High Wind 2,351 0 3 $18.9M
Hail 1,669 1 24 $17.2M
Heavy Snow 986 6 72 $2.5M
Thunderstorm Wind 952 1 13 $25.1M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 12.1/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$3.6M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very High

Community Resilience

Very Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Drought Relatively High
Wildfire Relatively Low
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate
Hail Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Landslide Very Low
Cold Wave Very Low
Earthquake Very Low
Tornado Very Low
Ice Storm Very Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Strong Wind Very Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low
Avalanche Very Low
Volcanic Activity No Rating

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Drought

Drought is the slowest of the modeled hazards and the least visible: it does its damage to agriculture, water supply and soil over seasons rather than hours, so it rarely produces the kind of single-day damage that drives a disaster declaration. FEMA scores it in event-days per year rather than discrete events for exactly that reason.

Worth noting for Union County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Drought carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively High), while the county's declaration history is led by Biological. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Union County's closest FEMA peer: Sheridan County, WY

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Union County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Union County - capture-dated entries only.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

FEMA's National Risk Index flags Drought as the top modeled exposure here (Relatively High); the guide explains how that model differs from declaration counts.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Union County?
The most common disaster type in Union County is Biological, with 2 declarations. Other disaster types include Hurricane (1), Fire (1), Severe Storm (1).
How does Union County's FEMA declaration record compare with the New Mexico average?
The typical New Mexico county has 12.5 FEMA declaration records; Union County has 7, or 44% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 66% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Union County received?
Union County has received 3 major disaster declarations, representing 43% of all 7 disaster declarations.
What was the worst year for disasters in Union County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Union County was 2020, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1973 to 2020.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Union County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Union County, New Mexico has an overall risk score of 12.1 out of 100 (Very Low). The county's social vulnerability rating is Very High and community resilience is Very Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $3.6M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Union County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Union County is Drought (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Wildfire (Relatively Low) and Winter Weather (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts drought here at 160 modeled event-days per year, drawn from 4,046 historical events on record. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Union County

Against a New Mexico county mean of 12 declarations, Union County, NM records 7, or 44% fewer. PlainHazard classifies that historical total as moderate activity.

  • Emergency is the largest group (4 of 7) in a declaration history that remains below its state benchmark; frequency here is not a forecast. New Mexico overview
  • Nationally the county exceeds 4% of recorded county totals, but its own New Mexico benchmark is higher. The ranking keeps those two contexts separate. Most-disaster rankings
  • With no NFIP county row, the declaration register and modeled NRI remain distinct evidence rather than substitutes for a claims history. Disaster-data guide

A below-average federal record is not a safety guarantee. Use National Weather Service alerts and local emergency-management notices for present conditions, not this historical comparison.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.