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Virginia · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

York County, VA

19 FEMA disaster declarations (1972-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Hurricane.

19
FEMA declarations
11
Major disasters
45
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Hurricane
Top hazard

The verdict

York County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 19 declarations, more than 41% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 7% below the Virginia county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county safer than 45%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Safer than 45%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
19
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
1,569
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 51199 · York County 19 declarations · rank 1898/3,266

DECL-MID · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-MID 19
  • MAJOR-MID 58%
  • RANK-LOWER #1,898
  • PHOTO-FINISH Bartow
  • NRI-LOW 45
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Hurricane
  • VS-ST-BELOW -7%

Nearest declaration peer: Bartow, GA (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Virginia state profile

York County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among York County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows York County carries 19 FEMA declaration records, ranked 1898 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How York County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

York County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · York County

19 41st percentile higher than 41% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

York County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Virginia avg33/10044.7/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Virginia county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for York County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $14.3M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Low), while Hurricane carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does York County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

FEMA's NFIP table contains a substantial paid-claim history for this county: 1,569 claims and $34.0M in payments. PlainHazard labels 500 or more claims a heavy registry record; that is a reporting bucket, not an official FEMA risk grade. The average paid claim was $21.6K. NFIP totals exclude uninsured flood losses and do not measure how many properties currently carry a policy.

Start with the state benchmark: a Virginia county averages 20.4 federal declaration records, while York County has 19. The gap is 7% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

FEMA National Risk Index

FEMA's data shows an elevated National Risk Index composite of 44.7/100 for this county (Relatively Low rating). Expected Annual Loss comes in at Relatively Low (roughly $24.1M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability (Very Low) and community resilience (Very High) both factor into how that raw exposure plays out on the ground. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Hurricane carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 4 years here, based on 80 historical events on record.

58 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

York County, VA · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
14/30

19 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.9x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
12/25

19 declarations (0.9x state county average of 20)

Major Disaster Share High
14/25

11 of 19 declarations are major disasters (58%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
18/20

7 different disaster types declared in York County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - York County

York County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 25, Hurricane 48, Tornado 25, Wildfire 8, Drought 25, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 27 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 27 8-hazard mean
York County NRI risk profile FIPS 51199 · displayed-hazard mean 27/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

19

Below median

Major Disaster share

58%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

45

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike York County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Hurricane Relatively Moderate roughly once every 4 years
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate an average of 1.4 times per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low roughly once every 1 years
Coastal Flooding Relatively Low an average of 3.7 times per year
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 5,406 years
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 835 years
Heat Wave Relatively Low 6.1 modeled event-days per year
Winter Weather Relatively Low an average of 3.9 times per year
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 9 years
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 42 times per year
Drought Relatively Low 2.3 modeled event-days per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 41 years
Hail Very Low an average of 2.1 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Strong Wind Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Hurricane 9
Biological 2
Severe Storm 2
Snowstorm 2
Flood 2
Winter Storm 1
Freezing 1

What Hurricane declarations mean here

Hurricane is the most frequent declaration type on York County's federal record, 47% of its declarations. Atlantic tropical systems run on a defined season, 1 June to 30 November, with most activity concentrated between August and October; Pacific and territorial basins run on their own calendars. A single named storm routinely produces one declaration number covering a long corridor of counties at once, well inland as well as on the coast, which is why an affected county's count can jump by several in one year without several separate events having occurred.

One practical distinction matters when reading these records: a tropical declaration usually bundles wind, storm surge and inland rainfall flooding under a single incident, but the insurance behind them is split. Wind damage falls to property insurers, while flood and surge damage is covered only under a separate National Flood Insurance Program policy. That is why a county can show heavy declaration activity and a comparatively small NFIP claims record, or the reverse.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 11 57.9%

of all 19 declarations

Emergency - 8 42.1%

of all 19 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2020 2
2018 1
2013 1
2011 2
2006 1
2005 1
2003 1
2000 1
1999 2
1996 2
1993 1
1986 1
1977 1
1972 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 19 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 19 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
3631 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-23
4512 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-02
3448 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
3403 HURRICANE FLORENCE EM Hurricane 2018-09-11
3359 HURRICANE SANDY EM Hurricane 2012-10-29
4024 HURRICANE IRENE DR Hurricane 2011-09-03
3329 HURRICANE IRENE EM Hurricane 2011-08-26
1661 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERNESTO, SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2006-09-22
3240 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-12
1491 HURRICANE ISABEL DR Hurricane 2003-09-18
1318 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Storm 2000-02-28
1293 HURRICANE FLOYD MAJOR DISASTER DECLARATIONS DR Hurricane 1999-09-18
3147 HURRICANE FLOYD EMERGENCY DECLARATIONS EM Hurricane 1999-09-16
1135 HURRICANE FRAN AND ASSOCIATED SEVERE STORM COND DR Hurricane 1996-09-06
1086 BLIZZARD OF 96 (SEVERE SNOW STORM) DR Snowstorm 1996-01-13
3112 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Snowstorm 1993-03-25
755 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1985-11-09
525 ICE CONDITIONS DR Freezing 1977-01-26
339 TROPICAL STORM AGNES DR Flood 1972-06-23

Storm Events in Virginia

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to York County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 8,940 13 31 $123.1M
Flood 2,300 4 0 $85.1M
Winter Weather 2,049 6 32 $902.0K
Flash Flood 1,942 13 4 $244.2M
Heavy Rain 1,566 0 0 $2.5M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

1,569

Total Paid

$34.0M

Avg Per Claim

$21.6K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 44.7/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$24.1M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very Low

Community Resilience

Very High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Hurricane Relatively Moderate
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Coastal Flooding Relatively Low
Wildfire Very Low
Earthquake Very Low
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Drought Relatively Low
Landslide Very Low
Hail Very Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Hurricane

Hurricane exposure in the model bundles the three ways a tropical system does harm, which arrive on different timescales and are insured differently: wind, storm surge on the coast, and rainfall flooding that can reach far inland well after landfall.

For York County the two measures on this page point the same way: Hurricane is the county's highest-rated modeled hazard (Relatively Moderate), and Hurricane declarations also lead its federal record. Where the model and the declaration history agree, the reading is comparatively straightforward, the hazard is both expected and repeatedly realised.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

York County's closest FEMA peer: Cottle County, TX

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for York County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for York County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for York County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

York County's NFIP claims file (1,569 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in York County?
The most common disaster type in York County is Hurricane, with 9 declarations. Other disaster types include Biological (2), Severe Storm (2), Snowstorm (2).
How does York County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Virginia average?
The typical Virginia county has 20.4 FEMA declaration records; York County has 19, or 7% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 8% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has York County received?
York County has received 11 major disaster declarations, representing 58% of all 19 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has York County filed?
York County has 1,569 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $34.0M in payments, with an average of $21.6K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in York County?
No. In York County, Hurricane has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $14.3M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in York County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in York County was 1996, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1972 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for York County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, York County, Virginia has an overall risk score of 44.7 out of 100 (Relatively Low). Social vulnerability here rates Very Low, while community resilience comes in at Very High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $24.1M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to York County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for York County as of the latest release is Hurricane (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Ice Storm (Relatively Moderate) and Riverine Flooding (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts hurricane here at roughly once every 4 years, drawn from 80 historical events on record. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for York County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Virginia profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events