Bastrop County, Texas: hazard risk
FEMA rates Bastrop County's overall risk Relatively Moderate (score 81.2 of 100, higher than 81% of rated U.S. counties); 1 of its 14 hazards are rated Relatively High or Very High, led by tornado. Its storm record holds 490 events since 1950.
FEMA's rating for each hazard
These are FEMA's county-wide model ratings and this county's storm record. They are not an assessment of any property, address or building, and not insurance advice: a property's risk depends on its own elevation, construction and location.
FEMA gives each hazard its own rating, and a rating does not follow the score from one hazard to the next: a hazard with a higher score can carry a lower rating than another. The table sorts by FEMA's rating, then by score (0 to 100, the county against every other county for that hazard).
| Hazard | Risk rating | Score | Expected annual loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tornado | Relatively High | 91.1 | $7.4M |
| Riverine Flooding | Relatively Moderate | 86.2 | $27M |
| Hail | Relatively Moderate | 85.1 | $1.1M |
| Heat Wave | Relatively Moderate | 83.6 | $1.8M |
| Winter Weather | Relatively Moderate | 79.8 | $199K |
| Drought | Relatively Moderate | 76.4 | $708K |
| Cold Wave | Relatively Moderate | 74.9 | $2.5M |
| Lightning | Relatively Moderate | 70.2 | $481K |
| Strong Wind | Relatively Moderate | 68.1 | $872K |
| Wildfire | Relatively Low | 71.8 | $189K |
| Hurricane | Relatively Low | 63.2 | $279K |
| Ice Storm | Relatively Low | 57.9 | $116K |
| Landslide | Very Low | 43.0 | $778 |
| Earthquake | Very Low | 21.0 | $30K |
Source: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. A model of future loss, not a count of past events. FEMA's National Risk Index map.
What the record holds
| Hazard | Records | Deaths | Damage | Rank in state | Rank in U.S. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hail | 146 | 0 | $19K | 169th of 254 | 1923rd of 3,080 |
| Severe thunderstorm wind | 104 | 0 | $2.4M | 125th of 254 | 2264th of 3,080 |
| Floods | 102 | 2 | $28M | 43rd of 254 | 974th of 3,080 |
| Drought | 60 | 0 | – | 155th of 254 | 648th of 3,063 |
| Tornadoes | 35 | 0 | $6.7M | 131st of 254 | 1531st of 3,080 |
| Winter storms | 26 | 0 | $1.2M | 130th of 254 | 2534th of 3,077 |
| Extreme cold | 5 | 0 | – | 140th of 254 | 2204th of 3,076 |
| Heat | 5 | 0 | – | 137th of 254 | 1818th of 3,076 |
| Wildfires | 4 | 2 | $328M | 108th of 254 | 548th of 2,972 |
| Hurricanes and tropical storms | 1 | 0 | – | 89th of 254 | 1004th of 1,849 |
| Lightning | 1 | 0 | $6K | 125th of 254 | 2195th of 3,080 |
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026-06-30; damage in 2025 dollars. Search the record at NCEI.
The full Bastrop County record: every hazard by year and month, the deadliest events and FEMA's declarations.