Dauphin County, Pennsylvania: hazard risk
FEMA rates Dauphin County's overall risk Relatively Moderate (score 91.1 of 100, higher than 91% of rated U.S. counties); 4 of its 15 hazards are rated Relatively High or Very High, led by winter weather, riverine flooding, strong wind. Its storm record holds 706 events since 1950.
FEMA's rating for each hazard
These are FEMA's county-wide model ratings and this county's storm record. They are not an assessment of any property, address or building, and not insurance advice: a property's risk depends on its own elevation, construction and location.
FEMA gives each hazard its own rating, and a rating does not follow the score from one hazard to the next: a hazard with a higher score can carry a lower rating than another. The table sorts by FEMA's rating, then by score (0 to 100, the county against every other county for that hazard).
| Hazard | Risk rating | Score | Expected annual loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| Winter Weather | Very High | 98.2 | $1.4M |
| Riverine Flooding | Relatively High | 94.8 | $75M |
| Strong Wind | Relatively High | 93.2 | $2.6M |
| Lightning | Relatively High | 88.3 | $1.1M |
| Hurricane | Relatively Moderate | 89.2 | $6.9M |
| Heat Wave | Relatively Moderate | 88.4 | $2.8M |
| Tornado | Relatively Moderate | 79.8 | $4.0M |
| Cold Wave | Relatively Moderate | 67.7 | $2.0M |
| Earthquake | Relatively Low | 87.3 | $3.6M |
| Landslide | Relatively Low | 84.6 | $29K |
| Ice Storm | Relatively Low | 51.7 | $94K |
| Drought | Relatively Low | 49.3 | $141K |
| Avalanche | Very Low | 41.1 | $287 |
| Wildfire | Very Low | 38.9 | $25K |
| Hail | Very Low | 23.7 | $89K |
Source: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. A model of future loss, not a count of past events. FEMA's National Risk Index map.
What the record holds
| Hazard | Records | Deaths | Damage | Rank in state | Rank in U.S. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Severe thunderstorm wind | 392 | 0 | $5.0M | 12th of 67 | 261st of 3,080 |
| Hail | 90 | 0 | – | 14th of 67 | 1550th of 3,080 |
| Floods | 78 | 5 | $199M | 20th of 67 | 587th of 3,080 |
| Winter storms | 71 | 1 | $27K | 41st of 67 | 1121st of 3,077 |
| High wind and dust storms | 30 | 1 | $246K | 16th of 67 | 747th of 3,080 |
| Tornadoes | 19 | 1 | $23M | 10th of 67 | 1335th of 3,080 |
| Heat | 12 | 0 | – | 13th of 67 | 928th of 3,076 |
| Drought | 4 | 0 | – | 36th of 67 | 2088th of 3,063 |
| Extreme cold | 4 | 0 | – | 62nd of 67 | 2197th of 3,076 |
| Hurricanes and tropical storms | 1 | 0 | – | 22nd of 67 | 929th of 1,849 |
| Lightning | 1 | 0 | $19K | 40th of 67 | 1934th of 3,080 |
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026-06-30; damage in 2025 dollars. Search the record at NCEI.
The full Dauphin County record: every hazard by year and month, the deadliest events and FEMA's declarations.