Lincoln County, Arkansas: hazard risk
FEMA rates Lincoln County's overall risk Very Low (score 29.8 of 100, higher than 29% of rated U.S. counties); 1 of its 14 hazards are rated Relatively High or Very High, led by drought. Its storm record holds 336 events since 1950.
FEMA's rating for each hazard
These are FEMA's county-wide model ratings and this county's storm record. They are not an assessment of any property, address or building, and not insurance advice: a property's risk depends on its own elevation, construction and location.
FEMA gives each hazard its own rating, and a rating does not follow the score from one hazard to the next: a hazard with a higher score can carry a lower rating than another. The table sorts by FEMA's rating, then by score (0 to 100, the county against every other county for that hazard).
| Hazard | Risk rating | Score | Expected annual loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| Drought | Relatively High | 90.8 | $1.2M |
| Ice Storm | Relatively Moderate | 68.1 | $140K |
| Earthquake | Relatively Low | 79.5 | $1.1M |
| Heat Wave | Relatively Low | 65.7 | $528K |
| Tornado | Relatively Low | 53.6 | $984K |
| Hail | Relatively Low | 45.8 | $156K |
| Strong Wind | Relatively Low | 43.7 | $322K |
| Hurricane | Very Low | 57.7 | $111K |
| Riverine Flooding | Very Low | 24.4 | $2.0M |
| Lightning | Very Low | 23.7 | $58K |
| Winter Weather | Very Low | 22.6 | $14K |
| Cold Wave | Very Low | 18.0 | $134K |
| Landslide | Very Low | 16.7 | $54 |
| Wildfire | Very Low | 16.7 | $4K |
Source: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. A model of future loss, not a count of past events. FEMA's National Risk Index map.
What the record holds
| Hazard | Records | Deaths | Damage | Rank in state | Rank in U.S. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Severe thunderstorm wind | 106 | 0 | $1.4M | 61st of 75 | 1837th of 3,080 |
| Hail | 74 | 0 | – | 61st of 75 | 1617th of 3,080 |
| Winter storms | 47 | 0 | $234K | 39th of 75 | 1762nd of 3,077 |
| Floods | 39 | 0 | $5.8M | 57th of 75 | 1506th of 3,080 |
| Tornadoes | 21 | 5 | $6.3M | 56th of 75 | 1532nd of 3,080 |
| Drought | 16 | 0 | – | 39th of 75 | 1378th of 3,063 |
| Heat | 11 | 0 | – | 28th of 75 | 1009th of 3,076 |
| High wind and dust storms | 9 | 0 | $501K | 9th of 75 | 1997th of 3,080 |
| Hurricanes and tropical storms | 6 | 0 | $2.3M | 1st of 75 | 460th of 1,849 |
| Extreme cold | 3 | 0 | – | 56th of 75 | 2239th of 3,076 |
| Heavy rain | 3 | 0 | – | 41st of 75 | 1294th of 3,080 |
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026-06-30; damage in 2025 dollars. Search the record at NCEI.
The full Lincoln County record: every hazard by year and month, the deadliest events and FEMA's declarations.