St. Francis County, Arkansas: hazard risk
FEMA rates St. Francis County's overall risk Relatively Low (score 74.7 of 100, higher than 74% of rated U.S. counties); 3 of its 14 hazards are rated Relatively High or Very High, led by tornado, ice storm, strong wind. Its storm record holds 472 events since 1950.
FEMA's rating for each hazard
These are FEMA's county-wide model ratings and this county's storm record. They are not an assessment of any property, address or building, and not insurance advice: a property's risk depends on its own elevation, construction and location.
FEMA gives each hazard its own rating, and a rating does not follow the score from one hazard to the next: a hazard with a higher score can carry a lower rating than another. The table sorts by FEMA's rating, then by score (0 to 100, the county against every other county for that hazard).
| Hazard | Risk rating | Score | Expected annual loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tornado | Relatively High | 96.2 | $8.6M |
| Ice Storm | Relatively High | 88.7 | $457K |
| Strong Wind | Relatively High | 88.7 | $1.1M |
| Earthquake | Relatively Moderate | 90.6 | $3.2M |
| Heat Wave | Relatively Moderate | 85.4 | $1.2M |
| Drought | Relatively Moderate | 83.0 | $625K |
| Cold Wave | Relatively Low | 52.9 | $599K |
| Lightning | Relatively Low | 47.8 | $121K |
| Hail | Relatively Low | 41.2 | $105K |
| Riverine Flooding | Relatively Low | 41.2 | $2.8M |
| Winter Weather | Relatively Low | 41.1 | $27K |
| Landslide | Very Low | 56.0 | $1K |
| Hurricane | Very Low | 51.2 | $46K |
| Wildfire | Very Low | 27.1 | $7K |
Source: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. A model of future loss, not a count of past events. FEMA's National Risk Index map.
What the record holds
| Hazard | Records | Deaths | Damage | Rank in state | Rank in U.S. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heat | 133 | 2 | – | 3rd of 75 | 87th of 3,076 |
| Severe thunderstorm wind | 112 | 1 | $8.8M | 67th of 75 | 1942nd of 3,080 |
| Hail | 81 | 0 | $71K | 65th of 75 | 1816th of 3,080 |
| Winter storms | 51 | 0 | $186K | 40th of 75 | 1791st of 3,077 |
| Drought | 31 | 0 | – | 16th of 75 | 966th of 3,063 |
| Floods | 24 | 1 | $1.7M | 72nd of 75 | 1930th of 3,080 |
| Tornadoes | 24 | 6 | $155M | 45th of 75 | 1313th of 3,080 |
| Extreme cold | 12 | 0 | – | 5th of 75 | 1182nd of 3,076 |
| Lightning | 2 | 0 | $189K | 49th of 75 | 1582nd of 3,080 |
| Heavy rain | 1 | 0 | – | 55th of 75 | 2060th of 3,080 |
| High wind and dust storms | 1 | 0 | $55K | 72nd of 75 | 2908th of 3,080 |
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026-06-30; damage in 2025 dollars. Search the record at NCEI.
The full St. Francis County record: every hazard by year and month, the deadliest events and FEMA's declarations.