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South Carolina · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Aiken County, SC

24 FEMA disaster declarations (1977-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate. Most common hazard: Hurricane.

24
FEMA declarations
10
Major disasters
84
NRI risk · Relatively Moderate
Hurricane
Top hazard

The verdict

Aiken County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 24 declarations, more than 66% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 6% below the South Carolina county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county in the riskiest 16%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Riskiest 16%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Moderate
FEMA National Risk Index rating
24
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
42
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 45003 · Aiken County 24 declarations · rank 1031/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-LIGHT · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-MID · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-HEAVY 24
  • MAJOR-LIGHT 42%
  • RANK-LOWER #1,031
  • PHOTO-FINISH Eddy
  • NRI-MID 84
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Hurricane
  • VS-ST-BELOW -6%

Nearest declaration peer: Eddy, ND (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · South Carolina state profile

Aiken County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among Aiken County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Aiken County carries 24 FEMA declaration records, ranked 1031 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How Aiken County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

Aiken County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Aiken County

24 Top 34% higher than 66% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Aiken County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100South Carolina avg71/10084.2/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the South Carolina county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Aiken County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $22.6M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Moderate), while Ice Storm carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Aiken County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 84.2/100 (Relatively Moderate). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively Low (roughly $47.5M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Relatively Moderate and community resilience Relatively Low, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Ice Storm stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 1.2 times per year here, based on 78 historical events on record.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 42 claims and $210.9K paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

Start with the state benchmark: a South Carolina county averages 25.6 federal declaration records, while Aiken County has 24. The gap is 6% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

59 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Aiken County, SC · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
17/30

24 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.2x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
12/25

24 declarations (0.9x state county average of 26)

Major Disaster Share Moderate
10/25

10 of 24 declarations are major disasters (42%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

8 different disaster types declared in Aiken County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Aiken County

Aiken County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 48, Hurricane 48, Tornado 48, Wildfire 25, Drought 25, Heat Wave 48, Winter Storm 70. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 42 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 42 8-hazard mean
Aiken County NRI risk profile FIPS 45003 · displayed-hazard mean 42/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

24

Above median

Major Disaster share

42%

Mixed major share

NRI risk score

84

Relatively Moderate

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Aiken County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Ice Storm Relatively High an average of 1.2 times per year
Lightning Relatively High an average of 61 times per year
Hurricane Relatively Moderate roughly once every 7 years
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 321 years
Tornado Relatively Moderate roughly once every 1 years
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate 4.6 modeled event-days per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate roughly once every 2 years
Wildfire Relatively Low roughly once every 1,339 years
Landslide Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Hail Relatively Moderate an average of 3.2 times per year
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate an average of 4.9 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate roughly once every 5 years
Drought Relatively Low 31 modeled event-days per year
Winter Weather Relatively Low an average of 1.6 times per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Hurricane 10
Severe Storm 3
Severe Ice Storm 3
Tropical Storm 2
Biological 2
Flood 2
Winter Storm 1
Drought 1

What Hurricane declarations mean here

Hurricane is the most frequent declaration type on Aiken County's federal record, 42% of its declarations. Atlantic tropical systems run on a defined season, 1 June to 30 November, with most activity concentrated between August and October; Pacific and territorial basins run on their own calendars. A single named storm routinely produces one declaration number covering a long corridor of counties at once, well inland as well as on the coast, which is why an affected county's count can jump by several in one year without several separate events having occurred.

One practical distinction matters when reading these records: a tropical declaration usually bundles wind, storm surge and inland rainfall flooding under a single incident, but the insurance behind them is split. Wind damage falls to property insurers, while flood and surge damage is covered only under a separate National Flood Insurance Program policy. That is why a county can show heavy declaration activity and a comparatively small NFIP claims record, or the reverse.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Emergency - 14 58.3%

of all 24 declarations

Major Disaster - 10 41.7%

of all 24 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2024 3
2023 2
2022 1
2020 3
2019 1
2018 2
2017 2
2016 2
2014 2
2005 1
2004 1
2000 1
1991 1
1977 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 24 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 24 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
3632 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-23
4829 HURRICANE HELENE DR Hurricane 2024-09-29
3619 HURRICANE HELENE EM Tropical Storm 2024-09-26
3606 HURRICANE DEBBY EM Tropical Storm 2024-08-05
3597 HURRICANE IDALIA EM Hurricane 2023-08-31
4677 HURRICANE IAN DR Hurricane 2022-11-21
3585 HURRICANE IAN EM Hurricane 2022-09-29
4542 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS DR Severe Storm 2020-05-01
4492 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-27
3470 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
3421 HURRICANE DORIAN EM Hurricane 2019-09-01
3400 HURRICANE FLORENCE EM Hurricane 2018-09-10
4346 HURRICANE IRMA DR Hurricane 2017-10-16
3386 HURRICANE IRMA EM Hurricane 2017-09-07
3378 HURRICANE MATTHEW EM Hurricane 2016-10-06
4241 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 2015-10-05
3373 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING EM Severe Storm 2015-10-03
4166 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 2014-03-12
3369 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2014-02-12
3233 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-10
Show 4 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
1509 SEVERE ICE STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 2004-02-13
1313 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 2000-01-31
881 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1990-10-22
3047 DROUGHT EM Drought 1977-08-04

Storm Events in South Carolina

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Aiken County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 5,845 11 40 $11.4M
Hail 1,207 0 0 $25.1M
Flash Flood 954 20 35 $150.4M
Strong Wind 395 4 13 $711.8K
Tornado 320 9 110 $127.1M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

42

Total Paid

$210.9K

Avg Per Claim

$5.0K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Moderate

Score: 84.2/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$47.5M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Moderate

Community Resilience

Relatively Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Ice Storm Relatively High
Lightning Relatively High
Hurricane Relatively Moderate
Earthquake Relatively Low
Tornado Relatively Moderate
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate
Wildfire Relatively Low
Landslide Relatively Low
Hail Relatively Moderate
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate
Drought Relatively Low
Winter Weather Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Ice Storm

Ice storms load power lines and tree limbs with accumulating freezing rain until they fail. The characteristic cost is infrastructure and multi-day power loss across a wide area rather than structural damage to buildings, which is why their consequences often outlast the weather that caused them.

Worth noting for Aiken County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Ice Storm carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively High), while the county's declaration history is led by Hurricane. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Aiken County's closest FEMA peer: Josephine County, OR

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Aiken County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Aiken County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Aiken County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 24 FEMA declarations, Aiken County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Aiken County?
The most common disaster type in Aiken County is Hurricane, with 10 declarations. Other disaster types include Severe Storm (3), Severe Ice Storm (3), Tropical Storm (2).
How does Aiken County's FEMA declaration record compare with the South Carolina average?
The typical South Carolina county has 25.6 FEMA declaration records; Aiken County has 24, or 6% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 16% higher. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Aiken County received?
Aiken County has received 10 major disaster declarations, representing 42% of all 24 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Aiken County filed?
Aiken County has 42 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $210.9K in payments, with an average of $5.0K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Aiken County?
No. In Aiken County, Ice Storm has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $22.6M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Aiken County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Aiken County was 2020, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1977 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Aiken County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Aiken County, South Carolina has an overall risk score of 84.2 out of 100 (Relatively Moderate). Social vulnerability here rates Relatively Moderate, while community resilience comes in at Relatively Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $47.5M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Aiken County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Aiken County as of the latest release is Ice Storm (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Lightning (Relatively High) and Hurricane (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts ice storm here at an average of 1.2 times per year, drawn from 78 historical events on record. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Aiken County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · South Carolina profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events