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Wyoming · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Big Horn County, WY

4 FEMA disaster declarations (1978-2020), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Biological.

4
FEMA declarations
3
Major disasters
31
NRI risk · Very Low
Biological
Top hazard

The verdict

The declaration register is comparatively quiet for Big Horn County. Its 4 federal records sit 30% below the Wyoming county mean and above the count for 1% of counties nationally. That historical total does not set the National Risk Index: FEMA's separate loss-and-vulnerability model ranks the county safer than 31%.

Safer than 31%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
4
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
9
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 56003 · Big Horn County 4 declarations · rank 3224/3,266

DECL-LIGHT · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-LOW · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-LIGHT 4
  • MAJOR-MID 75%
  • RANK-LOWER #3,224
  • PHOTO-FINISH Canyon
  • NRI-LOW Very Low
  • ACT-LOW Low
  • TYPE-LEAD Biological
  • VS-ST-BELOW -30%

Nearest declaration peer: Canyon, ID (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Wyoming state profile

Big Horn County among counties with fewer federal records

FEMA declaration records among Big Horn County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Big Horn County carries 4 FEMA declaration records, ranked 3224 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Big Horn County versus quieter counties in this dataset

Big Horn County among lower-declaration counties nationally

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Big Horn County

4 1st percentile higher than 1% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Big Horn County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Wyoming avg38/10031.1/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Wyoming county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Big Horn County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $6.2M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Very High), while Landslide carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Big Horn County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

FEMA's data shows an elevated National Risk Index composite of 31.1/100 for this county (Very Low rating). Expected Annual Loss comes in at Very Low (roughly $8.9M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability (Relatively Moderate) and community resilience (Very Low) both factor into how that raw exposure plays out on the ground. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Landslide stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 2.1 times per year here.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 9 claims and $247.6K paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

Start with the state benchmark: a Wyoming county averages 5.7 federal declaration records, while Big Horn County has 4. The gap is 30% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

39 /100

Historical Activity Index

Moderate historical activity

Big Horn County, WY · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Low
3/30

4 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.2x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
9/25

4 declarations (0.7x state county average of 6)

Major Disaster Share Very High
19/25

3 of 4 declarations are major disasters (75%)

Hazard Diversity Moderate
8/20

3 different disaster types declared in Big Horn County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Big Horn County

Big Horn County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 25, Hurricane 0, Tornado 8, Wildfire 8, Drought 25, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 25. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 16 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 16 8-hazard mean
Big Horn County NRI risk profile FIPS 56003 · displayed-hazard mean 16/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

4

Low volume

Major Disaster share

75%

Mostly major

NRI risk score

31

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Big Horn County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Landslide Relatively High an average of 2.1 times per year
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 355 years
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 2,303 years
Cold Wave Relatively Low an average of 1.3 times per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low roughly once every 1 years
Winter Weather Relatively Low an average of 11 times per year
Drought Relatively Low 86 modeled event-days per year
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 34 times per year
Volcanic Activity Very Low roughly once every 10,000 years
Avalanche Very Low roughly once every 100 years
Hail Very Low roughly once every 1 years
Tornado Very Low roughly once every 4 years
Strong Wind Very Low roughly once every 2 years
Ice Storm Very Low roughly once every 67 years
Heat Wave Very Low 0.2 modeled event-days per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Biological 2
Severe Storm 1
Flood 1

What Biological declarations mean here

Biological is the most frequent declaration type on Big Horn County's record, 50% of its declarations. In practice this category is dominated by the COVID-19 declarations of 2020, which were issued across every US state and territory rather than in response to any local hazard event.

This has a direct consequence for how Big Horn County's number should be read. Because those declarations reached essentially every county in the country, they raise every county's total by a similar amount and tell you nothing about local hazard exposure. A county whose record is led by Biological declarations is, in most cases, a county with a genuinely quiet weather-hazard history, the pandemic records are simply the largest thing in an otherwise short list.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 3 75.0%

of all 4 declarations

Emergency - 1 25.0%

of all 4 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2020 2
2011 1
1978 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 4 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 4 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4535 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-11
3479 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4007 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND LANDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2011-07-22
557 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING & MUDSLIDES DR Flood 1978-05-29

Storm Events in Wyoming

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Big Horn County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
High Wind 5,115 0 21 $1.5M
Winter Storm 2,212 1 41 $115.0K
Hail 1,811 0 0 $5.5M
Thunderstorm Wind 1,137 1 12 $916.3K
Winter Weather 616 3 7 $100.0K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

9

Total Paid

$247.6K

Avg Per Claim

$27.5K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 31.1/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$8.9M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Moderate

Community Resilience

Very Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Landslide Relatively High
Earthquake Relatively Low
Wildfire Very Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Drought Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Volcanic Activity Very Low
Avalanche Very Low
Hail Very Low
Tornado Very Low
Strong Wind Very Low
Ice Storm Very Low
Heat Wave Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Landslide

Landslide risk is a function of slope, soil and water, so it is usually a SECOND-ORDER hazard: it is triggered by the rainfall, snowmelt, wildfire burn scars or seismic shaking that came first. That is why a county can carry high landslide exposure whose realized damage is recorded under a flood or storm declaration instead.

Worth noting for Big Horn County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Landslide carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively High), while the county's declaration history is led by Biological. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Big Horn County's closest FEMA peer: Minidoka County, ID

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Big Horn County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Big Horn County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Big Horn County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

FEMA's National Risk Index flags Landslide as the top modeled exposure here (Relatively High); the guide explains how that model differs from declaration counts.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Big Horn County?
The most common disaster type in Big Horn County is Biological, with 2 declarations. Other disaster types include Severe Storm (1), Flood (1).
How does Big Horn County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Wyoming average?
The typical Wyoming county has 5.7 FEMA declaration records; Big Horn County has 4, or 30% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 81% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Big Horn County received?
Big Horn County has received 3 major disaster declarations, representing 75% of all 4 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Big Horn County filed?
Big Horn County has 9 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $247.6K in payments, with an average of $27.5K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Big Horn County?
No. In Big Horn County, Landslide has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $6.2M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Big Horn County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Big Horn County was 2020, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1978 to 2020.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Big Horn County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Big Horn County, Wyoming has an overall risk score of 31.1 out of 100 (Very Low). Social vulnerability here rates Relatively Moderate, while community resilience comes in at Very Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $8.9M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Big Horn County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in Big Horn County as of the latest release is Landslide (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Earthquake (Relatively Low) and Wildfire (Very Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts landslide here at an average of 2.1 times per year. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Big Horn County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Wyoming profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events