PlainHazard

If you are in immediate danger, call 911.

The data below is historical (NOAA Storm Events / FEMA), not a live alert. For current warnings and evacuation orders, check the National Weather Service, Ready.gov, or FEMA.gov.

Virginia · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Buchanan County, VA

27 FEMA disaster declarations (1977-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

27
FEMA declarations
19
Major disasters
51
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Buchanan County. Its 27 FEMA declarations are 32% above the Virginia county mean and exceed the count for 78% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 49%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 49%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
27
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
359
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

View my watchlist

How does Buchanan County compare?

Buchanan County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

27 Top 22% higher than 78% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

Buchanan County's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Virginia county average

0/100100/100Virginia avg33/10050.6/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Virginia county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Buchanan County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $8.5M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Low), while Landslide carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Buchanan County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 359 paid claims, totaling $4.6M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $12.7K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Buchanan County's 27 federal records stand 32% above the Virginia county mean of 20.4. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county carries a high composite score on FEMA's National Risk Index, 50.6/100, rated Relatively Low. Its Expected Annual Loss rating is Very Low (roughly $10.7M in annualized losses), and a Very High social-vulnerability profile combined with Very Low community resilience shapes how much of that raw exposure becomes realized harm. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Landslide carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 1.7 times per year here.

Declaration frequency

The FEMA register is busy by both local and national comparisons. It contains 27 entries for Buchanan County, including 19 Major Disaster records, 32% above the Virginia county mean. Across the 49-year span, that works out to 0.6 declarations a year. Severe Storm leads the file with 8 entries. Declaration type records the federal action taken, not every assistance program approved.

75 /100

Historical Activity Index

Very High historical activity

Buchanan County, VA · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
20/30

27 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.3x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
17/25

27 declarations (1.3x state county average of 20)

Major Disaster Share High
18/25

19 of 27 declarations are major disasters (70%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

8 different disaster types declared in Buchanan County

Historical Declaration Activity

Activity Band

High

vs. Virginia Avg

+32%

State avg: 20.4

vs. National Avg

+30%

National avg: 20.7

Avg Per Year

0.6

Over 49 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Buchanan County

Buchanan County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 25, Hurricane 8, Tornado 8, Wildfire 25, Drought 0, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 16 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 16 8-hazard mean
Buchanan County NRI risk profile FIPS 51027 · displayed-hazard mean 16/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

27

High volume

Major Disaster share

70%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

51

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Buchanan County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Landslide Relatively Moderate an average of 1.7 times per year
Avalanche Relatively Low roughly once every 100 years
Wildfire Relatively Low roughly once every 133 years
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate roughly once every 1 years
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low an average of 1.9 times per year
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 578 years
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 41 years
Strong Wind Relatively Low an average of 2.6 times per year
Winter Weather Relatively Low an average of 11 times per year
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 49 times per year
Ice Storm Very Low roughly once every 5 years
Heat Wave Very Low 0.3 modeled event-days per year
Hail Very Low an average of 3.1 times per year
Tornado Very Low roughly once every 19 years
Drought No Rating 5.2 modeled event-days per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 8
Flood 6
Snowstorm 4
Hurricane 3
Tropical Storm 2
Biological 2
Winter Storm 1
Fire 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Buchanan County's record, 30% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 19 70.4%

of all 27 declarations

Emergency - 7 25.9%

of all 27 declarations

Fire Management - 1 3.7%

of all 27 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2025 2
2024 1
2022 2
2020 2
2018 1
2013 1
2010 1
2005 1
2004 2
2003 1
2002 2
2001 1
2000 1
1996 1
Show 7 earlier declaration years
1994 1
1993 1
1990 1
1984 1
1979 1
1978 1
1977 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 27 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 27 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
3631 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-23
4863 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2025-04-04
4831 TROPICAL STORM HELENE DR Tropical Storm 2024-10-01
3621 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HELENE EM Tropical Storm 2024-09-29
4674 FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2022-09-30
4628 FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Flood 2021-10-26
4512 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-02
3448 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
3403 HURRICANE FLORENCE EM Hurricane 2018-09-11
3359 HURRICANE SANDY EM Hurricane 2012-10-29
1874 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND SNOWSTORM DR Snowstorm 2010-02-16
3240 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-12
1525 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2004-06-15
1502 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2003-12-09
1458 SEVERE WINTER STORM, RECORD/NEAR RECORD SNOWFALL, HEAVY RAIN,FLOODIND, AND MUDSLIDE DR Severe Storm 2003-03-27
1411 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2002-05-05
2390 VA - FAR SOUTHWEST FIRE COMPLEX - 11/16/2001 FM Fire 2001-11-16
1386 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2001-07-12
1318 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Storm 2000-02-28
1086 BLIZZARD OF 96 (SEVERE SNOW STORM) DR Snowstorm 1996-01-13
Show 7 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
1014 SEVERE ICE STORMS, FLOODING DR Snowstorm 1994-03-10
3112 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Snowstorm 1993-03-25
847 SEVERE STORMS, MUDSLIDES & FLOODING DR Flood 1989-11-08
707 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1984-05-23
593 STORMS & FLASH FLOODS DR Flood 1979-07-20
543 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1977-11-12
530 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1977-04-07

Storm Events in Virginia

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Buchanan County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 8,940 13 31 $123.1M
Flood 2,300 4 0 $85.1M
Winter Weather 2,049 6 32 $902.0K
Flash Flood 1,942 13 4 $244.2M
Heavy Rain 1,566 0 0 $2.5M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

359

Total Paid

$4.6M

Avg Per Claim

$12.7K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 50.6/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$10.7M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very High

Community Resilience

Very Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Landslide Relatively Moderate
Avalanche Relatively Low
Wildfire Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Earthquake Very Low
Hurricane Very Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Ice Storm Very Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Hail Very Low
Tornado Very Low
Drought No Rating

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Landslide

Landslide risk is a function of slope, soil and water, so it is usually a SECOND-ORDER hazard: it is triggered by the rainfall, snowmelt, wildfire burn scars or seismic shaking that came first. That is why a county can carry high landslide exposure whose realized damage is recorded under a flood or storm declaration instead.

Worth noting for Buchanan County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Landslide carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Buchanan County's closest FEMA peer: St. John Island, VI

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Buchanan County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Buchanan County - capture-dated entries only.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Buchanan County's NFIP claims file (359 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Buchanan County?
The most common disaster type in Buchanan County is Severe Storm, with 8 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (6), Snowstorm (4), Hurricane (3).
How does Buchanan County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Virginia average?
FEMA lists 27 declaration records for Buchanan County. That is 32% above the Virginia county mean of 20.4. Its count is also 30% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Buchanan County received?
Buchanan County has received 19 major disaster declarations, representing 70% of all 27 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Buchanan County filed?
Buchanan County has 359 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $4.6M in payments, with an average of $12.7K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Buchanan County?
No. In Buchanan County, Landslide has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $8.5M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Buchanan County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Buchanan County was 2002, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1977 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Buchanan County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Buchanan County, Virginia has an overall risk score of 50.6 out of 100 (Relatively Low). The county's social vulnerability rating is Very High and community resilience is Very Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $10.7M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Buchanan County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Buchanan County as of the latest release is Landslide (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Avalanche (Relatively Low) and Wildfire (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts landslide here at an average of 1.7 times per year. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Buchanan County

Buchanan County, VA has 27 federal declaration records, 32% more than the Virginia county mean of 20; its history sits in PlainHazard's high activity band.

  • Within this above-state-average declaration file, major disaster leads with 19 of 27 records; the category describes past federal action, not the next likely hazard. Virginia overview
  • The state benchmark and national rank point the same way: this count tops the Virginia mean and the totals for 78% of 3,266 U.S. counties. Most-disaster rankings
  • Use the data guide to separate this mid-volume insurance-claims file from declaration counts and modeled NRI risk. Disaster-data guide

An above-average declaration count records past federal responses; it does not predict the next event. Current warnings come from the National Weather Service and local emergency officials.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.