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Kentucky · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Pike County, KY

47 FEMA disaster declarations (1967-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

47
FEMA declarations
37
Major disasters
88
NRI risk · Relatively Moderate
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Pike County. Its 47 FEMA declarations are 67% above the Kentucky county mean and exceed the count for 99% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 12%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 12%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Moderate
FEMA National Risk Index rating
47
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
2,474
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 21195 · Pike County 47 declarations · rank 38/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-UPPER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-MID · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-HIGH

  • DECL-HEAVY 47
  • MAJOR-MID 79%
  • RANK-UPPER #38
  • PHOTO-FINISH East Baton R…
  • NRI-MID 88
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-HIGH +67%

Nearest declaration peer: East Baton Rouge, LA (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Kentucky state profile

Pike County among high-volume declaration counties

FEMA declaration records among Pike County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Pike County carries 47 FEMA declaration records, ranked 38 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Where Pike County ranks in the national declaration registry

Pike County vs. high-volume counties in this registry

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Pike County

47 Top 1% higher than 99% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Pike County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Kentucky avg44/10087.9/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Kentucky county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Pike County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $44.8M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Moderate), while Landslide carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Pike County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

FEMA's NFIP table contains a substantial paid-claim history for this county: 2,474 claims and $56.2M in payments. PlainHazard labels 500 or more claims a heavy registry record; that is a reporting bucket, not an official FEMA risk grade. The average paid claim was $22.7K. NFIP totals exclude uninsured flood losses and do not measure how many properties currently carry a policy.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Pike County's 47 federal records stand 67% above the Kentucky county mean of 28.1. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 87.9/100 (Relatively Moderate). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively Low (roughly $49.7M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Relatively High and community resilience Very Low, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Landslide stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 2.5 times per year here.

91 /100

Historical Activity Index

Very High historical activity

Pike County, KY · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Very High
30/30

47 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (2.3x national county average)

County Disaster Density Very High
21/25

47 declarations (1.7x state county average of 28)

Major Disaster Share Very High
20/25

37 of 47 declarations are major disasters (79%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

8 different disaster types declared in Pike County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Pike County

Pike County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 70, Hurricane 8, Tornado 8, Wildfire 48, Drought 8, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 28 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 28 8-hazard mean
Pike County NRI risk profile FIPS 21195 · displayed-hazard mean 28/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

47

Very high volume

Major Disaster share

79%

Mostly major

NRI risk score

88

Relatively Moderate

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Pike County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Landslide Relatively High an average of 2.5 times per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively High an average of 3.3 times per year
Wildfire Relatively Moderate roughly once every 87 years
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate an average of 17 times per year
Avalanche Relatively Low roughly once every 100 years
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate an average of 2.9 times per year
Heat Wave Relatively Low 2.6 modeled event-days per year
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 735 years
Hail Relatively Low an average of 3.1 times per year
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 46 years
Cold Wave Relatively Low roughly once every 1 years
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 50 times per year
Ice Storm Relatively Low roughly once every 6 years
Drought Very Low 4.5 modeled event-days per year
Tornado Very Low roughly once every 11 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 20
Flood 15
Fire 4
Snowstorm 3
Biological 2
Winter Storm 1
Hurricane 1
Tornado 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Pike County's record, 43% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 37 78.7%

of all 47 declarations

Emergency - 6 12.8%

of all 47 declarations

Fire Management - 4 8.5%

of all 47 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2025 3
2022 2
2021 1
2020 3
2019 1
2018 1
2017 1
2015 3
2014 1
2011 1
2010 1
2009 1
2007 1
2005 1
Show 19 earlier declaration years
2004 1
2003 2
2002 3
2001 2
2000 1
1998 1
1997 1
1996 1
1995 1
1993 1
1990 1
1989 2
1984 1
1979 2
1977 1
1975 1
1972 1
1970 1
1967 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 47 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 47 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
3633 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-24
3626 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING EM Severe Storm 2025-04-03
4860 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2025-02-24
3624 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, AND LANDSLIDES EM Severe Storm 2025-02-16
4663 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Flood 2022-07-29
4643 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2022-02-27
4595 SEVERE, STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Flood 2021-04-23
4540 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2020-04-24
4497 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-28
3469 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4428 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2019-04-17
4358 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Flood 2018-04-12
5166 SOUTHEASTERN KENTUCKY FIRE COMPLEX FM Fire 2016-11-20
4218 SEVERE WINTER STORM, SNOWSTORM, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Flood 2015-05-12
4217 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Flood 2015-05-01
4216 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, SNOWSTORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Snowstorm 2015-04-30
4196 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2014-09-30
1976 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2011-05-04
1925 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2010-07-23
1841 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2009-05-29
Show 27 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
1703 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, MUDSLIDES, AND ROCKSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2007-05-25
3231 HURRICANE KATRINA EM Hurricane 2005-09-10
1523 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, FLOODING, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2004-06-10
1475 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, MUD AND ROCK SLIDES, AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2003-07-02
1454 SEVERE WINTER ICE AND SNOW STORMS, HEAVY RAIN, FLOODING, TORNADOES, AND MUD AND DR Severe Storm 2003-03-14
1414 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2002-05-07
1407 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2002-04-04
2386 KY - EASTERN FIRE COMPLEX - 11/02/2001 FM Fire 2001-11-02
1388 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2001-08-15
2350 KY - EASTERN DISTRICT FIRE COMPLEX - 11/03/00 FM Fire 2000-11-04
2288 KY, WILDFIRES #001 FM Fire 1999-11-20
1216 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES,AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1998-04-29
1163 SEVERE STORM, FLOODING, AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 1997-03-04
1089 BLIZZARD OF 96 DR Snowstorm 1996-01-13
1055 TORNADOES, SEVERE WINDS, HAIL DR Tornado 1995-06-13
3104 SEVERE SNOWFALL & WINTER STORM EM Snowstorm 1993-03-16
846 SEVERE STORMS, MUDSLIDES & FLOODING DR Flood 1989-10-30
834 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1989-06-30
821 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1989-02-24
705 HIGH WINDS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1984-05-15
592 SEVERE STORMS,FLASH FLOODS DR Flood 1979-07-19
568 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1978-12-12
529 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1977-04-06
468 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1975-05-24
332 HEAVY RAINS & FLOODING DR Flood 1972-05-15
282 HEAVY SNOWMELT, RAINS & FLOODING DR Flood 1970-02-02
226 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1967-03-27

Storm Events in Kentucky

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Pike County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 6,702 9 56 $55.2M
Flash Flood 1,757 65 16 $42.6M
Flood 1,646 31 6 $37.1M
Hail 1,534 1 0 $4.7M
Winter Weather 1,079 14 54 $655.0K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

2,474

Total Paid

$56.2M

Avg Per Claim

$22.7K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Moderate

Score: 87.9/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$49.7M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively High

Community Resilience

Very Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Landslide Relatively High
Riverine Flooding Relatively High
Wildfire Relatively Moderate
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate
Avalanche Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Earthquake Very Low
Hail Relatively Low
Hurricane Very Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Ice Storm Relatively Low
Drought Very Low
Tornado Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Landslide

Landslide risk is a function of slope, soil and water, so it is usually a SECOND-ORDER hazard: it is triggered by the rainfall, snowmelt, wildfire burn scars or seismic shaking that came first. That is why a county can carry high landslide exposure whose realized damage is recorded under a flood or storm declaration instead.

Worth noting for Pike County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Landslide carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively High), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Pike County's closest FEMA peer: Gulf County, FL

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Pike County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Pike County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Pike County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Pike County's NFIP claims file (2,474 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Pike County?
The most common disaster type in Pike County is Severe Storm, with 20 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (15), Fire (4), Snowstorm (3).
How does Pike County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Kentucky average?
FEMA lists 47 declaration records for Pike County. That is 67% above the Kentucky county mean of 28.1. Its count is also 127% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Pike County received?
Pike County has received 37 major disaster declarations, representing 79% of all 47 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Pike County filed?
Pike County has 2,474 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $56.2M in payments, with an average of $22.7K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Pike County?
No. In Pike County, Landslide has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $44.8M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Pike County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Pike County was 2002, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1967 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Pike County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Pike County, Kentucky has an overall risk score of 87.9 out of 100 (Relatively Moderate). On social vulnerability the county rates Relatively High; on community resilience, Very Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $49.7M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Pike County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Pike County is Landslide (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Riverine Flooding (Relatively High) and Wildfire (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts landslide here at an average of 2.5 times per year. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Pike County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Kentucky profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events