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South Dakota · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Buffalo County, SD

20 FEMA disaster declarations (1969-2024), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Flood.

20
FEMA declarations
17
Major disasters
14
NRI risk · Very Low
Flood
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Buffalo County. Its 20 FEMA declarations are 5% above the South Dakota county mean and exceed the count for 46% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it safer than 14%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Safer than 14%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
20
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
8
flood declarations, the most common hazard here

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 46017 · Buffalo County 20 declarations · rank 1737/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-HEAVY · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-ABOVE

  • DECL-HEAVY 20
  • MAJOR-HEAVY 85%
  • RANK-LOWER #1,737
  • PHOTO-FINISH Monona
  • NRI-LOW Very Low
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Flood
  • VS-ST-ABOVE +5%

Nearest declaration peer: Monona, IA (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · South Dakota state profile

Buffalo County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among Buffalo County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Buffalo County carries 20 FEMA declaration records, ranked 1737 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How Buffalo County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

Buffalo County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Buffalo County

20 46th percentile higher than 46% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Buffalo County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100South Dakota avg27/10013.7/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the South Dakota county average

What does Buffalo County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

FEMA's National Risk Index places this county in the low end of the national distribution, composite score 13.7/100 (Very Low). Expected Annual Loss is rated Very Low (roughly $4.2M in annualized losses). Two modifiers shape how that exposure becomes real-world harm here: social vulnerability (Relatively High) and community resilience (Very Low). Among the 18 modeled hazards, Cold Wave carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 7.2 times per year here, based on 136 historical events on record.

Reading the federal records together

No paid-claim row for this county appears in the NFIP county table used by PlainHazard. That absence is not evidence that flooding never occurred: the register observes claims under federal flood-insurance policies, not uninsured losses, emergency reports, or every flood outside the program. The FEMA declaration history below is therefore the available federal-action record on this page.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Buffalo County's 20 federal records stand 5% above the South Dakota county mean of 19.0. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

63 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Buffalo County, SD · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
14/30

20 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.0x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
13/25

20 declarations (1.1x state county average of 19)

Major Disaster Share Very High
21/25

17 of 20 declarations are major disasters (85%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
15/20

6 different disaster types declared in Buffalo County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Buffalo County

Buffalo County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 8, Hurricane 0, Tornado 8, Wildfire 25, Drought 25, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 16 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 16 8-hazard mean
Buffalo County NRI risk profile FIPS 46017 · displayed-hazard mean 16/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

20

Above median

Major Disaster share

85%

Mostly major

NRI risk score

14

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Buffalo County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate an average of 7.2 times per year
Wildfire Relatively Low roughly once every 343 years
Winter Weather Relatively Low an average of 17 times per year
Drought Relatively Low 14 modeled event-days per year
Ice Storm Relatively Low roughly once every 3 years
Strong Wind Relatively Low an average of 2.8 times per year
Hail Very Low an average of 4 times per year
Tornado Very Low roughly once every 5 years
Heat Wave Very Low 4.8 modeled event-days per year
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 2,611 years
Riverine Flooding Very Low roughly once every 2 years
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 10 years
Lightning Very Low an average of 36 times per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Flood 8
Severe Storm 6
Biological 2
Snowstorm 2
Coastal Storm 1
Drought 1

What Flood declarations mean here

Flood is the most frequent declaration type on Buffalo County's record, 40% of its declarations. Federal flood declarations cover two mechanisms that behave very differently: riverine flooding, which builds over days as a watershed drains and is usually forecast well in advance, and flash flooding, which can arrive in under an hour from rainfall that fell somewhere upstream.

Flood is also the one hazard class where a second federal dataset exists for the same events. The National Flood Insurance Program records what was actually paid on insured losses, so it measures a narrower thing than the declaration count: uninsured damage, and flooding outside mapped special flood hazard areas, never enters it. Reading the two together is more informative than either alone.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 17 85.0%

of all 20 declarations

Emergency - 3 15.0%

of all 20 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2024 1
2020 2
2019 1
2015 1
2011 1
2010 2
2008 1
2007 1
2005 1
2001 1
1997 2
1996 1
1995 2
1992 1
1976 1
Show 1 earlier declaration years
1969 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 20 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 20 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4807 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2024-08-15
4527 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-05
3475 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4440 SEVERE WINTER STORM, SNOWSTORM, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2019-06-07
4233 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2015-07-30
1984 FLOODING DR Flood 2011-05-13
1915 FLOODING DR Flood 2010-05-13
1887 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 2010-03-10
1774 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2008-07-09
1702 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2007-05-22
3234 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Coastal Storm 2005-09-10
1375 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, FLOODING, AND ICE JAMS DR Flood 2001-05-17
1173 SEVERE FLOODING, SEVER WINTER STORMS,HEAVY RAINS HIGH WINDS DR Flood 1997-04-07
1156 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND BLIZZARD CONDITIONS DR Severe Storm 1997-01-10
1075 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Snowstorm 1996-01-05
1052 FLOODING DR Flood 1995-05-26
1045 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Snowstorm 1995-03-14
948 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1992-07-02
3015 DROUGHT EM Drought 1976-06-17
257 FLOODING DR Flood 1969-04-18

Storm Events in South Dakota

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Buffalo County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 5,388 7 21 $10.7M
Hail 4,801 0 3 $4.5M
High Wind 2,277 0 1 $35.0K
Winter Weather 2,125 20 50 $133.0K
Flood 1,523 5 0 $196.2M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 13.7/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$4.2M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively High

Community Resilience

Very Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Cold Wave Relatively Moderate
Wildfire Relatively Low
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Drought Relatively Low
Ice Storm Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Hail Very Low
Tornado Very Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Earthquake Very Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low
Landslide Very Low
Lightning Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Cold Wave

Cold Wave measures exposure to extreme cold rather than to snow. Its harm is concentrated in health effects, burst infrastructure and energy demand spikes, and it falls hardest where the building stock and the grid were not built with sustained cold in mind.

Worth noting for Buffalo County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Cold Wave carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Flood. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Buffalo County's closest FEMA peer: Ida County, IA

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Buffalo County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Buffalo County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Buffalo County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 20 FEMA declarations, Buffalo County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Buffalo County?
The most common disaster type in Buffalo County is Flood, with 8 declarations. Other disaster types include Severe Storm (6), Biological (2), Snowstorm (2).
How does Buffalo County's FEMA declaration record compare with the South Dakota average?
FEMA lists 20 declaration records for Buffalo County. That is 5% above the South Dakota county mean of 19.0. Its count is also 3% below the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Buffalo County received?
Buffalo County has received 17 major disaster declarations, representing 85% of all 20 disaster declarations.
What was the worst year for disasters in Buffalo County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Buffalo County was 1995, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1969 to 2024.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Buffalo County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Buffalo County, South Dakota has an overall risk score of 13.7 out of 100 (Very Low). Social vulnerability here rates Relatively High, while community resilience comes in at Very Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $4.2M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Buffalo County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Buffalo County as of the latest release is Cold Wave (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Wildfire (Relatively Low) and Winter Weather (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts cold wave here at an average of 7.2 times per year, drawn from 136 historical events on record. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Buffalo County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · South Dakota profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events