PlainHazard

If you are in immediate danger, call 911.

The data below is historical (NOAA Storm Events / FEMA), not a live alert. For current warnings and evacuation orders, check the National Weather Service, Ready.gov, or FEMA.gov.

South Dakota · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Jerauld County, SD

21 FEMA disaster declarations (1976-2020), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Flood.

21
FEMA declarations
18
Major disasters
10
NRI risk · Very Low
Flood
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Jerauld County. Its 21 FEMA declarations are 11% above the South Dakota county mean and exceed the count for 52% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it safer than 10%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Safer than 10%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
21
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
8
flood declarations, the most common hazard here

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

View my watchlist

FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 46073 · Jerauld County 21 declarations · rank 1448/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-HEAVY · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-ABOVE

  • DECL-HEAVY 21
  • MAJOR-HEAVY 86%
  • RANK-LOWER #1,448
  • PHOTO-FINISH Montgomery
  • NRI-LOW Very Low
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Flood
  • VS-ST-ABOVE +11%

Nearest declaration peer: Montgomery, IN (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · South Dakota state profile

Jerauld County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among this county and nearest peers

declarations

What this shows Jerauld County carries 21 FEMA declaration records, ranked 1448 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-03

How does Jerauld County compare?

Jerauld County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

21 Top 48% higher than 52% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

Jerauld County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100South Dakota avg27/1009.5/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the South Dakota county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Jerauld County is led by Cold Wave (about $1.9M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Very High), while Wildfire carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Low). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Jerauld County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

FEMA's National Risk Index places this county in the low end of the national distribution, composite score 9.5/100 (Very Low). Expected Annual Loss is rated Very Low (roughly $4.3M in annualized losses). Two modifiers shape how that exposure becomes real-world harm here: social vulnerability (Relatively Moderate) and community resilience (Relatively High). Even the county's top-rated hazard, Wildfire, only reaches Relatively Low on FEMA's scale, none of the 18 modeled hazards stand out here. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 634 years here.

Reading the federal records together

No paid-claim row for this county appears in the NFIP county table used by PlainHazard. That absence is not evidence that flooding never occurred: the register observes claims under federal flood-insurance policies, not uninsured losses, emergency reports, or every flood outside the program. The FEMA declaration history below is therefore the available federal-action record on this page.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Jerauld County's 21 federal records stand 11% above the South Dakota county mean of 19.0. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

65 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Jerauld County, SD · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
15/30

21 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.0x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
14/25

21 declarations (1.1x state county average of 19)

Major Disaster Share Very High
21/25

18 of 21 declarations are major disasters (86%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
15/20

6 different disaster types declared in Jerauld County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Jerauld County

Jerauld County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 8, Hurricane 0, Tornado 8, Wildfire 25, Drought 25, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 16 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 16 8-hazard mean
Jerauld County NRI risk profile FIPS 46073 · displayed-hazard mean 16/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

21

Above median

Major Disaster share

86%

Mostly major

NRI risk score

10

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Jerauld County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Wildfire Relatively Low roughly once every 634 years
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate an average of 8.3 times per year
Drought Relatively Low 16 modeled event-days per year
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate roughly once every 2 years
Hail Relatively Low an average of 4.4 times per year
Winter Weather Relatively Low an average of 16 times per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 14 years
Tornado Very Low roughly once every 4 years
Strong Wind Very Low an average of 2.9 times per year
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 2,494 years
Riverine Flooding Very Low roughly once every 4 years
Heat Wave Very Low 5.7 modeled event-days per year
Lightning Very Low an average of 35 times per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Flood 8
Severe Storm 7
Biological 2
Snowstorm 2
Coastal Storm 1
Drought 1

What Flood declarations mean here

Flood is the most frequent declaration type on Jerauld County's record, 38% of its declarations. Federal flood declarations cover two mechanisms that behave very differently: riverine flooding, which builds over days as a watershed drains and is usually forecast well in advance, and flash flooding, which can arrive in under an hour from rainfall that fell somewhere upstream.

Flood is also the one hazard class where a second federal dataset exists for the same events. The National Flood Insurance Program records what was actually paid on insured losses, so it measures a narrower thing than the declaration count: uninsured damage, and flooding outside mapped special flood hazard areas, never enters it. Reading the two together is more informative than either alone.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 18 85.7%

of all 21 declarations

Emergency - 3 14.3%

of all 21 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2020 2
2019 1
2015 1
2014 1
2011 1
2010 3
2007 1
2006 1
2005 1
2001 1
1997 2
1996 1
1995 2
1993 1
1986 1
Show 1 earlier declaration years
1976 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 21 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 21 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4527 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-05
3475 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4440 SEVERE WINTER STORM, SNOWSTORM, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2019-06-07
4233 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2015-07-30
4186 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2014-07-28
1984 FLOODING DR Flood 2011-05-13
1938 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2010-09-23
1915 FLOODING DR Flood 2010-05-13
1887 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 2010-03-10
1702 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2007-05-22
1620 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 2005-12-20
3234 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Coastal Storm 2005-09-10
1375 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, FLOODING, AND ICE JAMS DR Flood 2001-05-17
1173 SEVERE FLOODING, SEVER WINTER STORMS,HEAVY RAINS HIGH WINDS DR Flood 1997-04-07
1156 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND BLIZZARD CONDITIONS DR Severe Storm 1997-01-10
1075 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Snowstorm 1996-01-05
1052 FLOODING DR Flood 1995-05-26
1045 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Snowstorm 1995-03-14
999 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1993-07-19
764 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1986-05-03
Show 1 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
3015 DROUGHT EM Drought 1976-06-17

Storm Events in South Dakota

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Jerauld County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 5,388 7 21 $10.7M
Hail 4,801 0 3 $4.5M
High Wind 2,277 0 1 $35.0K
Winter Weather 2,125 20 50 $133.0K
Flood 1,523 5 0 $196.2M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 9.5/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$4.3M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Moderate

Community Resilience

Relatively High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Wildfire Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate
Drought Relatively Low
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate
Hail Relatively Low
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Landslide Very Low
Tornado Very Low
Strong Wind Very Low
Earthquake Very Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Lightning Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Wildfire

Wildfire risk in the model reflects fuel, terrain, weather and how much development sits in the wildland-urban interface. It is one of the few hazards where the exposure is materially changed by land management and building choices, not only by where the county happens to be.

Worth noting for Jerauld County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Wildfire carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Low), while the county's declaration history is led by Flood. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Jerauld County's closest FEMA peer: Kingman County, KS

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Jerauld County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Jerauld County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Jerauld County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 21 FEMA declarations, Jerauld County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Jerauld County?
The most common disaster type in Jerauld County is Flood, with 8 declarations. Other disaster types include Severe Storm (7), Biological (2), Snowstorm (2).
How does Jerauld County's FEMA declaration record compare with the South Dakota average?
FEMA lists 21 declaration records for Jerauld County. That is 11% above the South Dakota county mean of 19.0. Its count is also 1% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Jerauld County received?
Jerauld County has received 18 major disaster declarations, representing 86% of all 21 disaster declarations.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Jerauld County?
No. In Jerauld County, Wildfire has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Low), while Cold Wave leads Expected Annual Loss at about $1.9M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Jerauld County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Jerauld County was 2010, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1976 to 2020.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Jerauld County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Jerauld County, South Dakota has an overall risk score of 9.5 out of 100 (Very Low). On social vulnerability the county rates Relatively Moderate; on community resilience, Relatively High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $4.3M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Jerauld County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Jerauld County as of the latest release is Wildfire (risk rating: Relatively Low). Other significant hazards include Cold Wave (Relatively Moderate) and Drought (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts wildfire here at roughly once every 634 years. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.