PlainHazard

If you are in immediate danger, call 911.

The data below is historical (NOAA Storm Events / FEMA), not a live alert. For current warnings and evacuation orders, check the National Weather Service, Ready.gov, or FEMA.gov.

Oklahoma · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Canadian County, OK

39 FEMA disaster declarations (1973-2021), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

39
FEMA declarations
31
Major disasters
83
NRI risk · Relatively Moderate
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Canadian County. Its 39 FEMA declarations are 21% above the Oklahoma county mean and exceed the count for 96% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 17%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 17%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Moderate
FEMA National Risk Index rating
39
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
232
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

View my watchlist

How does Canadian County compare?

Canadian County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

39 Top 4% higher than 96% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

Canadian County's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Oklahoma county average

0/100100/100Oklahoma avg56/10083.5/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Oklahoma county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Canadian County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $24.1M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Moderate), while Ice Storm carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Very High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Canadian County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 232 paid claims, totaling $3.6M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $15.6K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Canadian County's 39 federal records stand 21% above the Oklahoma county mean of 32.2. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 83.5/100 (Relatively Moderate). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively Moderate (roughly $73.9M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Very Low and community resilience Relatively High, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Ice Storm stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Very High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 1.4 times per year here, based on 95 historical events on record.

Declaration frequency

The FEMA register is busy by both local and national comparisons. It contains 39 entries for Canadian County, including 31 Major Disaster records, 21% above the Oklahoma county mean. Across the 48-year span, that works out to 0.8 declarations a year. Severe Storm leads the file with 16 entries. Declaration type records the federal action taken, not every assistance program approved.

81 /100

Historical Activity Index

Very High historical activity

Canadian County, OK · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Very High
28/30

39 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.9x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
15/25

39 declarations (1.2x state county average of 32)

Major Disaster Share Very High
20/25

31 of 39 declarations are major disasters (79%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
18/20

7 different disaster types declared in Canadian County

Historical Declaration Activity

Activity Band

High

vs. Oklahoma Avg

+21%

State avg: 32.2

vs. National Avg

+88%

National avg: 20.7

Avg Per Year

0.8

Over 48 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Canadian County

Canadian County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 48, Hurricane 8, Tornado 70, Wildfire 25, Drought 48, Heat Wave 48, Winter Storm 92. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 46 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 46 8-hazard mean
Canadian County NRI risk profile FIPS 40017 · displayed-hazard mean 46/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

39

Very high volume

Major Disaster share

79%

Mostly major

NRI risk score

83

Relatively Moderate

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Canadian County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Ice Storm Very High an average of 1.4 times per year
Hail Relatively High an average of 11 times per year
Tornado Relatively High an average of 1 time per year
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate 17 modeled event-days per year
Cold Wave Relatively High an average of 2 times per year
Winter Weather Relatively High an average of 9.6 times per year
Wildfire Relatively Low roughly once every 480 years
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate an average of 1.4 times per year
Drought Relatively Moderate 41 modeled event-days per year
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate an average of 5.6 times per year
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 705 years
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 5 years
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 96 years
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 51 times per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 16
Severe Ice Storm 11
Flood 4
Tornado 3
Biological 2
Fire 2
Hurricane 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Canadian County's record, 41% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 31 79.5%

of all 39 declarations

Emergency - 7 17.9%

of all 39 declarations

Fire Management - 1 2.6%

of all 39 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2021 3
2020 2
2019 1
2016 2
2015 1
2013 1
2011 3
2010 3
2008 2
2007 5
2006 1
2005 1
2003 2
2002 1
2001 2
Show 7 earlier declaration years
1999 1
1995 2
1993 1
1987 2
1984 1
1975 1
1973 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 39 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 39 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4587 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-24
3555 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-17
4575 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 2020-12-21
4530 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-05
3462 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4438 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2019-06-01
4256 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2016-02-10
4247 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Ice Storm 2015-12-29
4222 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2015-05-26
4117 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Tornado 2013-05-20
2941 MUSTANG ROAD FIRE FM Fire 2011-08-01
1989 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2011-06-06
3316 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Storm 2011-02-02
1883 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 2010-03-05
1876 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 2010-02-25
3308 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Storm 2010-01-30
1735 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Ice Storm 2007-12-18
3280 SEVERE WINTER STORMS EM Severe Ice Storm 2007-12-10
1718 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2007-08-24
1712 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2007-07-07
Show 19 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
1707 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2007-06-07
1678 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Storm 2007-02-01
3272 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND FLOODING EM Severe Ice Storm 2007-01-14
1623 EXTREME WILDFIRE THREAT DR Fire 2006-01-10
3219 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-05
1465 SEVERE STORMS AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2003-05-10
1452 SEVERE ICE STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 2003-02-04
1401 SEVERE WINTER ICE STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 2002-02-01
1384 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2001-06-29
1355 SEVERE WINTER ICE STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 2001-01-05
1272 OK, TORNADOES 5/3/99 DR Tornado 1999-05-04
1066 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1995-09-01
1058 TORNADOES, SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Tornado 1995-06-26
991 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1993-05-12
794 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1987-07-09
778 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1986-10-14
693 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1983-10-26
453 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1974-11-26
392 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, & TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 1973-06-13

Storm Events in Oklahoma

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Canadian County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Hail 5,894 0 1 $19.8M
Thunderstorm Wind 5,592 6 36 $199.5M
Drought 2,935 0 0 $0
Heat 2,134 7 428 $0
Excessive Heat 1,771 2 401 $0

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

232

Total Paid

$3.6M

Avg Per Claim

$15.6K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Moderate

Score: 83.5/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Moderate

$73.9M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very Low

Community Resilience

Relatively High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Ice Storm Very High
Hail Relatively High
Tornado Relatively High
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate
Cold Wave Relatively High
Winter Weather Relatively High
Wildfire Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate
Drought Relatively Moderate
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Earthquake Relatively Low
Landslide Very Low
Hurricane Very Low
Lightning Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Ice Storm

Ice storms load power lines and tree limbs with accumulating freezing rain until they fail. The characteristic cost is infrastructure and multi-day power loss across a wide area rather than structural damage to buildings, which is why their consequences often outlast the weather that caused them.

Worth noting for Canadian County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Ice Storm carries the highest modeled rating (Very High), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Canadian County's closest FEMA peer: Utuado Municipio, PR

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Canadian County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Canadian County - capture-dated entries only.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Canadian County's NFIP claims file (232 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Canadian County?
The most common disaster type in Canadian County is Severe Storm, with 16 declarations. Other disaster types include Severe Ice Storm (11), Flood (4), Tornado (3).
How does Canadian County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Oklahoma average?
FEMA lists 39 declaration records for Canadian County. That is 21% above the Oklahoma county mean of 32.2. Its count is also 88% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Canadian County received?
Canadian County has received 31 major disaster declarations, representing 79% of all 39 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Canadian County filed?
Canadian County has 232 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $3.6M in payments, with an average of $15.6K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Canadian County?
No. In Canadian County, Ice Storm has the highest National Risk Index rating (Very High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $24.1M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Canadian County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Canadian County was 2007, with 5 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1973 to 2021.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Canadian County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Canadian County, Oklahoma has an overall risk score of 83.5 out of 100 (Relatively Moderate). The county's social vulnerability rating is Very Low and community resilience is Relatively High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Moderate, representing $73.9M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Canadian County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in Canadian County as of the latest release is Ice Storm (risk rating: Very High). Other significant hazards include Hail (Relatively High) and Tornado (Relatively High). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts ice storm here at an average of 1.4 times per year, drawn from 95 historical events on record. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Canadian County

Canadian County, OK has 39 federal declaration records, 21% more than the Oklahoma county mean of 32; its history sits in PlainHazard's high activity band.

  • Within this above-state-average declaration file, major disaster leads with 31 of 39 records; the category describes past federal action, not the next likely hazard. Oklahoma overview
  • The state benchmark and national rank point the same way: this count tops the Oklahoma mean and the totals for 96% of 3,266 U.S. counties. Most-disaster rankings
  • Use the data guide to separate this mid-volume insurance-claims file from declaration counts and modeled NRI risk. Disaster-data guide

An above-average declaration count records past federal responses; it does not predict the next event. Current warnings come from the National Weather Service and local emergency officials.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.