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Idaho · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Elmore County, ID

11 FEMA disaster declarations (1965-2020), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Fire.

11
FEMA declarations
6
Major disasters
52
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Fire
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Elmore County. Its 11 FEMA declarations are 32% above the Idaho county mean and exceed the count for 12% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 48%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 48%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
11
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
11
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 16039 · Elmore County 11 declarations · rank 2850/3,266

DECL-MID · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-ABOVE

  • DECL-MID 11
  • MAJOR-MID 55%
  • RANK-LOWER #2,850
  • PHOTO-FINISH Meeker
  • NRI-LOW 52
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Fire
  • VS-ST-ABOVE +32%

Nearest declaration peer: Meeker, MN (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Idaho state profile

Elmore County among counties with fewer federal records

FEMA declaration records among Elmore County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Elmore County carries 11 FEMA declaration records, ranked 2850 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Elmore County versus quieter counties in this dataset

Elmore County among lower-declaration counties nationally

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Elmore County

11 12th percentile higher than 12% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Elmore County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Idaho avg39/10052/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Idaho county average

What does Elmore County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

This county carries a high composite score on FEMA's National Risk Index, 52.0/100, rated Relatively Low. Its Expected Annual Loss rating is Relatively Low (roughly $21.7M in annualized losses), and a Very Low social-vulnerability profile combined with Very Low community resilience shapes how much of that raw exposure becomes realized harm. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Wildfire stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 35 years here.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 11 claims and $108.0K paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Elmore County's 11 federal records stand 32% above the Idaho county mean of 8.3. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

54 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Elmore County, ID · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
8/30

11 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.5x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
17/25

11 declarations (1.3x state county average of 8)

Major Disaster Share High
14/25

6 of 11 declarations are major disasters (55%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
15/20

6 different disaster types declared in Elmore County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Elmore County

Elmore County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 8, Hurricane 0, Tornado 8, Wildfire 70, Drought 8, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 22 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 22 8-hazard mean
Elmore County NRI risk profile FIPS 16039 · displayed-hazard mean 22/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

11

Low volume

Major Disaster share

55%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

52

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Elmore County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Wildfire Relatively High roughly once every 35 years
Avalanche Relatively High roughly once every 6 years
Landslide Relatively Low roughly once every 1 years
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate an average of 13 times per year
Heat Wave Relatively Low 2.6 modeled event-days per year
Strong Wind Relatively Low roughly once every 3 years
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 159 years
Volcanic Activity Very Low roughly once every 3,333 years
Ice Storm Relatively Low roughly once every 12 years
Riverine Flooding Very Low roughly once every 1 years
Lightning Very Low an average of 22 times per year
Drought Very Low 52 modeled event-days per year
Hail Very Low roughly once every 5 years
Cold Wave Very Low roughly once every 11 years
Tornado Very Low roughly once every 5 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Flood 3
Fire 3
Biological 2
Hurricane 1
Severe Storm 1
Drought 1

What Fire declarations mean here

Fire is the most frequent declaration type on Elmore County's record, 27% of its declarations. Wildfire is the one hazard here with its own dedicated federal instrument: the Fire Management Assistance Grant, which appears in this data as an FM record. An FMAG can be authorised while a fire is still burning, on a timescale of hours, because its purpose is to reimburse the cost of fighting a fire that threatens to become a major disaster.

That distinction matters when comparing counties. An FM declaration is not a presidential major disaster declaration and does not carry the same assistance programmes, so a fire-heavy county's total is not directly comparable with a hurricane-heavy county's total unless the declaration types are separated, which is why they are listed separately on this page.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 6 54.5%

of all 11 declarations

Emergency - 3 27.3%

of all 11 declarations

Fire Management - 2 18.2%

of all 11 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2020 2
2017 2
2013 1
2012 1
2005 1
2000 1
1997 1
1977 1
1965 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 11 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 11 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4534 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-09
3467 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4333 FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Flood 2017-08-27
4310 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 2017-04-21
5043 ELK FIRE FM Fire 2013-08-13
5006 TRINITY RIDGE FIRE FM Fire 2012-08-15
3244 HURRICANE KATRINA EM Hurricane 2005-09-13
1341 WILDFIRES DR Fire 2000-09-01
1154 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, MUD AND LANDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 1997-01-04
3040 DROUGHT EM Drought 1977-05-05
186 HEAVY RAINS & FLOODING DR Flood 1964-12-31

Storm Events in Idaho

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Elmore County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Heavy Snow 1,495 1 13 $100.9M
Thunderstorm Wind 1,087 9 26 $3.6M
Winter Storm 492 4 15 $1.0M
High Wind 396 4 6 $10.6M
Winter Weather 297 10 15 $1.7M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

11

Total Paid

$108.0K

Avg Per Claim

$9.8K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 52.0/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$21.7M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very Low

Community Resilience

Very Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Wildfire Relatively High
Avalanche Relatively High
Landslide Relatively Low
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Earthquake Very Low
Volcanic Activity Very Low
Ice Storm Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low
Lightning Very Low
Drought Very Low
Hail Very Low
Cold Wave Very Low
Tornado Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Wildfire

Wildfire risk in the model reflects fuel, terrain, weather and how much development sits in the wildland-urban interface. It is one of the few hazards where the exposure is materially changed by land management and building choices, not only by where the county happens to be.

For Elmore County the two measures on this page point the same way: Wildfire is the county's highest-rated modeled hazard (Relatively High), and Fire declarations also lead its federal record. Where the model and the declaration history agree, the reading is comparatively straightforward, the hazard is both expected and repeatedly realised.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Elmore County's closest FEMA peer: Lapeer County, MI

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Elmore County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Elmore County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Elmore County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 11 FEMA declarations, Elmore County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Elmore County?
The most common disaster type in Elmore County is Fire, with 3 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (3), Biological (2), Hurricane (1).
How does Elmore County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Idaho average?
FEMA lists 11 declaration records for Elmore County. That is 32% above the Idaho county mean of 8.3. Its count is also 47% below the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Elmore County received?
Elmore County has received 6 major disaster declarations, representing 55% of all 11 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Elmore County filed?
Elmore County has 11 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $108.0K in payments, with an average of $9.8K per claim.
What was the worst year for disasters in Elmore County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Elmore County was 2017, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1965 to 2020.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Elmore County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Elmore County, Idaho has an overall risk score of 52.0 out of 100 (Relatively Low). On social vulnerability the county rates Very Low; on community resilience, Very Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $21.7M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Elmore County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Elmore County is Wildfire (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Avalanche (Relatively High) and Landslide (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts wildfire here at roughly once every 35 years. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Elmore County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Idaho profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events