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Virginia · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Essex County, VA

27 FEMA disaster declarations (1969-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Hurricane.

27
FEMA declarations
19
Major disasters
19
NRI risk · Very Low
Hurricane
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Essex County. Its 27 FEMA declarations are 32% above the Virginia county mean and exceed the count for 78% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it safer than 19%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Safer than 19%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
27
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
241
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 51057 · Essex County 27 declarations · rank 668/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-MID · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-ABOVE

  • DECL-HEAVY 27
  • MAJOR-MID 70%
  • RANK-MID #668
  • PHOTO-FINISH Greene
  • NRI-LOW Very Low
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Hurricane
  • VS-ST-ABOVE +32%

Nearest declaration peer: Greene, MO (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Virginia state profile

Essex County among high-volume declaration counties

FEMA declaration records among Essex County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Essex County carries 27 FEMA declaration records, ranked 668 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Where Essex County ranks in the national declaration registry

Essex County vs. high-volume counties in this registry

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Essex County

27 Top 22% higher than 78% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Essex County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Virginia avg33/10018.6/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Virginia county average

What does Essex County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 241 paid claims, totaling $5.9M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $24.5K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Essex County's 27 federal records stand 32% above the Virginia county mean of 20.4. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county's FEMA National Risk Index composite lands at 18.6/100 (Very Low), a modest reading against the rest of the country. Expected Annual Loss is rated Very Low (roughly $5.4M in annualized losses), tempered or compounded by a Relatively High social-vulnerability score and Relatively Moderate community-resilience score. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Drought stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at 3.7 modeled event-days per year here, based on 105 historical events on record.

75 /100

Historical Activity Index

Very High historical activity

Essex County, VA · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
20/30

27 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.3x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
17/25

27 declarations (1.3x state county average of 20)

Major Disaster Share High
18/25

19 of 27 declarations are major disasters (70%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

9 different disaster types declared in Essex County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Essex County

Essex County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 25, Hurricane 25, Tornado 8, Wildfire 8, Drought 70, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 25. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 22 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 22 8-hazard mean
Essex County NRI risk profile FIPS 51057 · displayed-hazard mean 22/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

27

High volume

Major Disaster share

70%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

19

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Essex County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Drought Relatively High 3.7 modeled event-days per year
Hurricane Relatively Low roughly once every 8 years
Coastal Flooding Relatively Low an average of 3.7 times per year
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 607 years
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 5 years
Ice Storm Relatively Low roughly once every 1 years
Heat Wave Very Low 4.8 modeled event-days per year
Tornado Very Low roughly once every 5 years
Strong Wind Relatively Low an average of 3.4 times per year
Hail Very Low an average of 2.8 times per year
Lightning Very Low an average of 41 times per year
Winter Weather Very Low an average of 5.6 times per year
Riverine Flooding Very Low roughly once every 3 years
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 8,977 years
Cold Wave Very Low roughly once every 1 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Hurricane 11
Severe Storm 4
Snowstorm 4
Biological 2
Flood 2
Winter Storm 1
Severe Ice Storm 1
Drought 1
Freezing 1

What Hurricane declarations mean here

Hurricane is the most frequent declaration type on Essex County's federal record, 41% of its declarations. Atlantic tropical systems run on a defined season, 1 June to 30 November, with most activity concentrated between August and October; Pacific and territorial basins run on their own calendars. A single named storm routinely produces one declaration number covering a long corridor of counties at once, well inland as well as on the coast, which is why an affected county's count can jump by several in one year without several separate events having occurred.

One practical distinction matters when reading these records: a tropical declaration usually bundles wind, storm surge and inland rainfall flooding under a single incident, but the insurance behind them is split. Wind damage falls to property insurers, while flood and surge damage is covered only under a separate National Flood Insurance Program policy. That is why a county can show heavy declaration activity and a comparatively small NFIP claims record, or the reverse.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 19 70.4%

of all 27 declarations

Emergency - 8 29.6%

of all 27 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2022 1
2021 1
2020 2
2019 1
2018 1
2013 2
2012 1
2011 2
2010 1
2006 1
2005 1
2003 1
2000 1
1999 1
Show 7 earlier declaration years
1996 2
1994 1
1993 1
1986 1
1977 2
1972 1
1969 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 27 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 27 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
3631 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-23
4644 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND SNOWSTORM DR Severe Storm 2022-03-11
4602 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Ice Storm 2021-05-10
4512 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-02
3448 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4411 TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL DR Hurricane 2018-12-18
3403 HURRICANE FLORENCE EM Hurricane 2018-09-11
4092 HURRICANE SANDY DR Hurricane 2012-11-26
3359 HURRICANE SANDY EM Hurricane 2012-10-29
4045 THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM LEE DR Severe Storm 2011-11-17
4024 HURRICANE IRENE DR Hurricane 2011-09-03
3329 HURRICANE IRENE EM Hurricane 2011-08-26
1905 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND SNOWSTORMS DR Snowstorm 2010-04-27
1661 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERNESTO, SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2006-09-22
3240 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-12
1491 HURRICANE ISABEL DR Hurricane 2003-09-18
1318 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Storm 2000-02-28
1293 HURRICANE FLOYD MAJOR DISASTER DECLARATIONS DR Hurricane 1999-09-18
1135 HURRICANE FRAN AND ASSOCIATED SEVERE STORM COND DR Hurricane 1996-09-06
1086 BLIZZARD OF 96 (SEVERE SNOW STORM) DR Snowstorm 1996-01-13
Show 7 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
1014 SEVERE ICE STORMS, FLOODING DR Snowstorm 1994-03-10
3112 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Snowstorm 1993-03-25
755 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1985-11-09
3046 DROUGHT EM Drought 1977-07-23
525 ICE CONDITIONS DR Freezing 1977-01-26
339 TROPICAL STORM AGNES DR Flood 1972-06-23
274 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Hurricane 1969-08-23

Storm Events in Virginia

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Essex County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 8,940 13 31 $123.1M
Flood 2,300 4 0 $85.1M
Winter Weather 2,049 6 32 $902.0K
Flash Flood 1,942 13 4 $244.2M
Heavy Rain 1,566 0 0 $2.5M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

241

Total Paid

$5.9M

Avg Per Claim

$24.5K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 18.6/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$5.4M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively High

Community Resilience

Relatively Moderate

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Drought Relatively High
Hurricane Relatively Low
Coastal Flooding Relatively Low
Earthquake Very Low
Landslide Very Low
Ice Storm Relatively Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Tornado Very Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Hail Very Low
Lightning Very Low
Winter Weather Very Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low
Wildfire Very Low
Cold Wave Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Drought

Drought is the slowest of the modeled hazards and the least visible: it does its damage to agriculture, water supply and soil over seasons rather than hours, so it rarely produces the kind of single-day damage that drives a disaster declaration. FEMA scores it in event-days per year rather than discrete events for exactly that reason.

Worth noting for Essex County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Drought carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively High), while the county's declaration history is led by Hurricane. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Essex County's closest FEMA peer: Grenada County, MS

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Essex County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Essex County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Essex County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Essex County's NFIP claims file (241 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Essex County?
The most common disaster type in Essex County is Hurricane, with 11 declarations. Other disaster types include Severe Storm (4), Snowstorm (4), Biological (2).
How does Essex County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Virginia average?
FEMA lists 27 declaration records for Essex County. That is 32% above the Virginia county mean of 20.4. Its count is also 30% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Essex County received?
Essex County has received 19 major disaster declarations, representing 70% of all 27 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Essex County filed?
Essex County has 241 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $5.9M in payments, with an average of $24.5K per claim.
What was the worst year for disasters in Essex County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Essex County was 1977, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1969 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Essex County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Essex County, Virginia has an overall risk score of 18.6 out of 100 (Very Low). Social vulnerability here rates Relatively High, while community resilience comes in at Relatively Moderate. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $5.4M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Essex County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Essex County is Drought (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Hurricane (Relatively Low) and Coastal Flooding (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts drought here at 3.7 modeled event-days per year, drawn from 105 historical events on record. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Essex County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Virginia profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events