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Alabama · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Fayette County, AL

21 FEMA disaster declarations (1974-2024), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

21
FEMA declarations
11
Major disasters
38
NRI risk · Very Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Fayette County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 21 declarations, more than 52% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 19% below the Alabama county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county safer than 38%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Safer than 38%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
21
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
8
severe storm declarations, the most common hazard here

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 01057 · Fayette County 21 declarations · rank 1462/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-HEAVY 21
  • MAJOR-MID 52%
  • RANK-LOWER #1,462
  • PHOTO-FINISH Montgomery
  • NRI-LOW Very Low
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-BELOW -19%

Nearest declaration peer: Montgomery, IN (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Alabama state profile

Fayette County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among Fayette County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Fayette County carries 21 FEMA declaration records, ranked 1462 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How Fayette County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

Fayette County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Fayette County

21 Top 48% higher than 52% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Fayette County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Alabama avg62/10038.2/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Alabama county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Fayette County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $3.6M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively High), while Landslide carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Low). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Fayette County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

FEMA's data shows an elevated National Risk Index composite of 38.2/100 for this county (Very Low rating). Expected Annual Loss comes in at Very Low (roughly $8.6M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability (Relatively High) and community resilience (Relatively Low) both factor into how that raw exposure plays out on the ground. Even the county's top-rated hazard, Landslide, only reaches Relatively Low on FEMA's scale, none of the 18 modeled hazards stand out here. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 1.3 times per year here.

Reading the federal records together

No paid-claim row for this county appears in the NFIP county table used by PlainHazard. That absence is not evidence that flooding never occurred: the register observes claims under federal flood-insurance policies, not uninsured losses, emergency reports, or every flood outside the program. The FEMA declaration history below is therefore the available federal-action record on this page.

Start with the state benchmark: a Alabama county averages 25.8 federal declaration records, while Fayette County has 21. The gap is 19% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

58 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Fayette County, AL · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
15/30

21 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.0x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
10/25

21 declarations (0.8x state county average of 26)

Major Disaster Share High
13/25

11 of 21 declarations are major disasters (52%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

8 different disaster types declared in Fayette County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Fayette County

Fayette County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 25, Hurricane 25, Tornado 48, Wildfire 8, Drought 25, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 25. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 26 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 26 8-hazard mean
Fayette County NRI risk profile FIPS 01057 · displayed-hazard mean 26/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

21

Above median

Major Disaster share

52%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

38

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Fayette County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Landslide Relatively Low an average of 1.3 times per year
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate an average of 2.8 times per year
Heat Wave Relatively Low 9.2 modeled event-days per year
Lightning Relatively Moderate an average of 68 times per year
Tornado Relatively Moderate roughly once every 1 years
Hurricane Relatively Low roughly once every 20 years
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 350 years
Cold Wave Relatively Low roughly once every 1 years
Drought Relatively Low 26 modeled event-days per year
Ice Storm Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Hail Very Low an average of 4 times per year
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 1,811 years
Winter Weather Very Low an average of 3.1 times per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 8
Hurricane 6
Biological 2
Fire 1
Snowstorm 1
Flood 1
Drought 1
Tornado 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Fayette County's record, 38% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 11 52.4%

of all 21 declarations

Emergency - 9 42.9%

of all 21 declarations

Fire Management - 1 4.8%

of all 21 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2024 1
2020 4
2017 1
2016 1
2011 2
2008 1
2005 1
2004 1
2003 1
2002 1
2001 1
1999 2
1993 1
1979 1
1977 1
Show 1 earlier declaration years
1974 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 21 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 21 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
3618 HURRICANE HELENE EM Hurricane 2024-09-26
3545 HURRICANE SALLY EM Hurricane 2020-09-14
4546 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2020-05-21
4503 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-29
3472 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
3389 HURRICANE IRMA EM Hurricane 2017-09-11
4251 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2016-01-21
1971 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2011-04-28
3319 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS EM Severe Storm 2011-04-27
3292 HURRICANE GUSTAV EM Hurricane 2008-08-30
3237 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-10
1549 HURRICANE IVAN DR Hurricane 2004-09-15
1442 SEVERE STORMS AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2002-11-14
1399 SEVERE STORMS AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2001-12-07
1362 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2001-03-05
2279 AL - FAYETTE FIRE - 09/18/99 FM Fire 1999-09-18
1261 RIV-SEVERE WINTER WX 12/23/98 DR Severe Storm 1999-01-15
3096 SEVERE SNOWFALL, WINTER STORM EM Snowstorm 1993-03-15
578 STORMS, WIND, FLOODING DR Flood 1979-04-18
3045 DROUGHT EM Drought 1977-07-20
Show 1 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
422 TORNADOES DR Tornado 1974-04-04

Storm Events in Alabama

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Fayette County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 7,827 16 115 $51.7M
Hail 1,349 0 0 $5.0K
Flash Flood 1,047 17 7 $12.8M
Tornado 896 57 343 $49.7M
Drought 857 0 0 $0

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 38.2/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$8.6M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively High

Community Resilience

Relatively Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Landslide Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Moderate
Tornado Relatively Moderate
Hurricane Relatively Low
Earthquake Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Drought Relatively Low
Ice Storm Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Hail Very Low
Wildfire Very Low
Winter Weather Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Landslide

Landslide risk is a function of slope, soil and water, so it is usually a SECOND-ORDER hazard: it is triggered by the rainfall, snowmelt, wildfire burn scars or seismic shaking that came first. That is why a county can carry high landslide exposure whose realized damage is recorded under a flood or storm declaration instead.

Worth noting for Fayette County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Landslide carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Low), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Fayette County's closest FEMA peer: Buncombe County, NC

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Fayette County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Fayette County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Fayette County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 21 FEMA declarations, Fayette County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Fayette County?
The most common disaster type in Fayette County is Severe Storm, with 8 declarations. Other disaster types include Hurricane (6), Biological (2), Fire (1).
How does Fayette County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Alabama average?
The typical Alabama county has 25.8 FEMA declaration records; Fayette County has 21, or 19% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 1% higher. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Fayette County received?
Fayette County has received 11 major disaster declarations, representing 52% of all 21 disaster declarations.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Fayette County?
No. In Fayette County, Landslide has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Low), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $3.6M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Fayette County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Fayette County was 2020, with 4 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1974 to 2024.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Fayette County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Fayette County, Alabama has an overall risk score of 38.2 out of 100 (Very Low). The county's social vulnerability rating is Relatively High and community resilience is Relatively Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $8.6M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Fayette County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Fayette County as of the latest release is Landslide (risk rating: Relatively Low). Other significant hazards include Strong Wind (Relatively Moderate) and Heat Wave (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts landslide here at an average of 1.3 times per year. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Fayette County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Alabama profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events