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Virginia · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Fluvanna County, VA

23 FEMA disaster declarations (1969-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Hurricane.

23
FEMA declarations
16
Major disasters
13
NRI risk · Very Low
Hurricane
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Fluvanna County. Its 23 FEMA declarations are 13% above the Virginia county mean and exceed the count for 62% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it safer than 13%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Safer than 13%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
23
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
23
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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How does Fluvanna County compare?

Fluvanna County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

23 Top 38% higher than 62% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

Fluvanna County's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Virginia county average

0/100100/100Virginia avg33/10013.5/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Virginia county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Fluvanna County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $3.3M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively High), while Hurricane carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Low). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Fluvanna County's hazard record show?

Declaration frequency

The FEMA register is busy by both local and national comparisons. It contains 23 entries for Fluvanna County, including 16 Major Disaster records, 13% above the Virginia county mean. Across the 57-year span, that works out to 0.4 declarations a year. Hurricane leads the file with 7 entries. Declaration type records the federal action taken, not every assistance program approved.

FEMA National Risk Index

FEMA's National Risk Index places this county in the low end of the national distribution, composite score 13.5/100 (Very Low). Expected Annual Loss is rated Very Low (roughly $6.2M in annualized losses). Two modifiers shape how that exposure becomes real-world harm here: social vulnerability (Relatively Low) and community resilience (Relatively Moderate). Even the county's top-rated hazard, Hurricane, only reaches Relatively Low on FEMA's scale, none of the 18 modeled hazards stand out here. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 12 years here, based on 20 historical events on record.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 23 claims and $276.6K paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Fluvanna County's 23 federal records stand 13% above the Virginia county mean of 20.4. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

68 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Fluvanna County, VA · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
17/30

23 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.1x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
14/25

23 declarations (1.1x state county average of 20)

Major Disaster Share High
17/25

16 of 23 declarations are major disasters (70%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

8 different disaster types declared in Fluvanna County

Historical Declaration Activity

Activity Band

High

vs. Virginia Avg

+13%

State avg: 20.4

vs. National Avg

+11%

National avg: 20.7

Avg Per Year

0.4

Over 57 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Fluvanna County

Fluvanna County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 8, Hurricane 25, Tornado 8, Wildfire 8, Drought 25, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 8. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 14 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 14 8-hazard mean
Fluvanna County NRI risk profile FIPS 51065 · displayed-hazard mean 14/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

23

Above median

Major Disaster share

70%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

13

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Fluvanna County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Hurricane Relatively Low roughly once every 12 years
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 339 years
Drought Relatively Low 6.2 modeled event-days per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 2 years
Strong Wind Relatively Low an average of 3 times per year
Heat Wave Very Low 3.5 modeled event-days per year
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 40 times per year
Riverine Flooding Very Low roughly once every 4 years
Tornado Very Low roughly once every 8 years
Ice Storm Very Low roughly once every 1 years
Hail Very Low an average of 2.7 times per year
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 3,090 years
Winter Weather Very Low an average of 6.3 times per year
Cold Wave Very Low roughly once every 1 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Hurricane 7
Severe Storm 4
Snowstorm 4
Flood 3
Biological 2
Winter Storm 1
Earthquake 1
Drought 1

What Hurricane declarations mean here

Hurricane is the most frequent declaration type on Fluvanna County's federal record, 30% of its declarations. Atlantic tropical systems run on a defined season, 1 June to 30 November, with most activity concentrated between August and October; Pacific and territorial basins run on their own calendars. A single named storm routinely produces one declaration number covering a long corridor of counties at once, well inland as well as on the coast, which is why an affected county's count can jump by several in one year without several separate events having occurred.

One practical distinction matters when reading these records: a tropical declaration usually bundles wind, storm surge and inland rainfall flooding under a single incident, but the insurance behind them is split. Wind damage falls to property insurers, while flood and surge damage is covered only under a separate National Flood Insurance Program policy. That is why a county can show heavy declaration activity and a comparatively small NFIP claims record, or the reverse.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 16 69.6%

of all 23 declarations

Emergency - 7 30.4%

of all 23 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2022 1
2020 2
2019 1
2018 1
2013 1
2012 2
2010 1
2005 1
2003 1
2000 1
1996 2
1994 2
1993 1
1986 1
Show 4 earlier declaration years
1977 1
1973 1
1972 1
1969 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 23 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 23 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
3631 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-23
4644 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND SNOWSTORM DR Severe Storm 2022-03-11
4512 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-02
3448 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4411 TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL DR Hurricane 2018-12-18
3403 HURRICANE FLORENCE EM Hurricane 2018-09-11
3359 HURRICANE SANDY EM Hurricane 2012-10-29
4072 SEVERE STORMS AND STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS DR Severe Storm 2012-07-27
4042 EARTHQUAKE DR Earthquake 2011-11-04
1905 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND SNOWSTORMS DR Snowstorm 2010-04-27
3240 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-12
1491 HURRICANE ISABEL DR Hurricane 2003-09-18
1318 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Storm 2000-02-28
1135 HURRICANE FRAN AND ASSOCIATED SEVERE STORM COND DR Hurricane 1996-09-06
1086 BLIZZARD OF 96 (SEVERE SNOW STORM) DR Snowstorm 1996-01-13
1021 SEVERE WINTER ICE STORM DR Severe Storm 1994-04-11
1014 SEVERE ICE STORMS, FLOODING DR Snowstorm 1994-03-10
3112 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Snowstorm 1993-03-25
755 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1985-11-09
3046 DROUGHT EM Drought 1977-07-23
Show 3 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
359 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1972-10-10
339 TROPICAL STORM AGNES DR Flood 1972-06-23
274 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Hurricane 1969-08-23

Storm Events in Virginia

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Fluvanna County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 8,940 13 31 $123.1M
Flood 2,300 4 0 $85.1M
Winter Weather 2,049 6 32 $902.0K
Flash Flood 1,942 13 4 $244.2M
Heavy Rain 1,566 0 0 $2.5M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

23

Total Paid

$276.6K

Avg Per Claim

$12.0K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 13.5/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$6.2M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Low

Community Resilience

Relatively Moderate

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Hurricane Relatively Low
Earthquake Relatively Low
Drought Relatively Low
Landslide Very Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low
Tornado Very Low
Ice Storm Very Low
Hail Very Low
Wildfire Very Low
Winter Weather Very Low
Cold Wave Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Hurricane

Hurricane exposure in the model bundles the three ways a tropical system does harm, which arrive on different timescales and are insured differently: wind, storm surge on the coast, and rainfall flooding that can reach far inland well after landfall.

For Fluvanna County the two measures on this page point the same way: Hurricane is the county's highest-rated modeled hazard (Relatively Low), and Hurricane declarations also lead its federal record. Where the model and the declaration history agree, the reading is comparatively straightforward, the hazard is both expected and repeatedly realised.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Fluvanna County's closest FEMA peer: Pocahontas County, WV

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Fluvanna County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Fluvanna County - capture-dated entries only.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 23 FEMA declarations, Fluvanna County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Fluvanna County?
The most common disaster type in Fluvanna County is Hurricane, with 7 declarations. Other disaster types include Severe Storm (4), Snowstorm (4), Flood (3).
How does Fluvanna County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Virginia average?
FEMA lists 23 declaration records for Fluvanna County. That is 13% above the Virginia county mean of 20.4. Its count is also 11% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Fluvanna County received?
Fluvanna County has received 16 major disaster declarations, representing 70% of all 23 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Fluvanna County filed?
Fluvanna County has 23 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $276.6K in payments, with an average of $12.0K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Fluvanna County?
No. In Fluvanna County, Hurricane has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Low), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $3.3M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Fluvanna County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Fluvanna County was 1994, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1969 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Fluvanna County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Fluvanna County, Virginia has an overall risk score of 13.5 out of 100 (Very Low). The county's social vulnerability rating is Relatively Low and community resilience is Relatively Moderate. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $6.2M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Fluvanna County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Fluvanna County as of the latest release is Hurricane (risk rating: Relatively Low). Other significant hazards include Earthquake (Relatively Low) and Drought (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts hurricane here at roughly once every 12 years, drawn from 20 historical events on record. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Fluvanna County

Fluvanna County, VA has 23 federal declaration records, 13% more than the Virginia county mean of 20; its history sits in PlainHazard's high activity band.

  • Within this above-state-average declaration file, major disaster leads with 16 of 23 records; the category describes past federal action, not the next likely hazard. Virginia overview
  • The state benchmark and national rank point the same way: this count tops the Virginia mean and the totals for 62% of 3,266 U.S. counties. Most-disaster rankings
  • A short NFIP claims file cannot establish low flood exposure; the data guide explains the limits of each federal measure. Disaster-data guide

An above-average declaration count records past federal responses; it does not predict the next event. Current warnings come from the National Weather Service and local emergency officials.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.