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Virginia · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Goochland County, VA

21 FEMA disaster declarations (1969-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Hurricane.

21
FEMA declarations
13
Major disasters
16
NRI risk · Very Low
Hurricane
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Goochland County. Its 21 FEMA declarations are 3% above the Virginia county mean and exceed the count for 52% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it safer than 16%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Safer than 16%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
21
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
18
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 51075 · Goochland County 21 declarations · rank 1419/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-ABOVE

  • DECL-HEAVY 21
  • MAJOR-MID 62%
  • RANK-LOWER #1,419
  • PHOTO-FINISH Montgomery
  • NRI-LOW Very Low
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Hurricane
  • VS-ST-ABOVE +3%

Nearest declaration peer: Montgomery, IN (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Virginia state profile

Goochland County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among Goochland County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Goochland County carries 21 FEMA declaration records, ranked 1419 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How Goochland County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

Goochland County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Goochland County

21 Top 48% higher than 52% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Goochland County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Virginia avg33/10015.5/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Virginia county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Goochland County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $4.4M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Moderate), while Earthquake carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Low). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Goochland County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

This county's FEMA National Risk Index composite lands at 15.5/100 (Very Low), a modest reading against the rest of the country. Expected Annual Loss is rated Very Low (roughly $8.0M in annualized losses), tempered or compounded by a Very Low social-vulnerability score and Very High community-resilience score. Even the county's top-rated hazard, Earthquake, only reaches Relatively Low on FEMA's scale, none of the 18 modeled hazards stand out here. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 341 years here.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 18 claims and $156.7K paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Goochland County's 21 federal records stand 3% above the Virginia county mean of 20.4. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

63 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Goochland County, VA · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
15/30

21 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.0x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
13/25

21 declarations (1.0x state county average of 20)

Major Disaster Share High
15/25

13 of 21 declarations are major disasters (62%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

9 different disaster types declared in Goochland County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Goochland County

Goochland County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 8, Hurricane 25, Tornado 8, Wildfire 8, Drought 48, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 25. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 19 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 19 8-hazard mean
Goochland County NRI risk profile FIPS 51075 · displayed-hazard mean 19/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

21

Above median

Major Disaster share

62%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

16

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Goochland County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 341 years
Drought Relatively Moderate 6.3 modeled event-days per year
Hurricane Relatively Low roughly once every 12 years
Strong Wind Relatively Low an average of 2.8 times per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 2 years
Ice Storm Relatively Low roughly once every 1 years
Riverine Flooding Very Low roughly once every 4 years
Heat Wave Very Low 3.9 modeled event-days per year
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 41 times per year
Tornado Very Low roughly once every 7 years
Hail Very Low an average of 2.6 times per year
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 7,160 years
Winter Weather Very Low an average of 5.9 times per year
Cold Wave Very Low roughly once every 1 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Hurricane 6
Severe Storm 3
Snowstorm 3
Biological 2
Flood 2
Drought 2
Winter Storm 1
Severe Ice Storm 1
Earthquake 1

What Hurricane declarations mean here

Hurricane is the most frequent declaration type on Goochland County's federal record, 29% of its declarations. Atlantic tropical systems run on a defined season, 1 June to 30 November, with most activity concentrated between August and October; Pacific and territorial basins run on their own calendars. A single named storm routinely produces one declaration number covering a long corridor of counties at once, well inland as well as on the coast, which is why an affected county's count can jump by several in one year without several separate events having occurred.

One practical distinction matters when reading these records: a tropical declaration usually bundles wind, storm surge and inland rainfall flooding under a single incident, but the insurance behind them is split. Wind damage falls to property insurers, while flood and surge damage is covered only under a separate National Flood Insurance Program policy. That is why a county can show heavy declaration activity and a comparatively small NFIP claims record, or the reverse.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 13 61.9%

of all 21 declarations

Emergency - 8 38.1%

of all 21 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2022 1
2021 1
2020 2
2018 1
2013 1
2012 1
2005 1
2003 1
2000 1
1996 2
1994 2
1993 1
1986 1
1977 2
Show 2 earlier declaration years
1972 1
1969 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 21 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 21 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
3631 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-23
4644 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND SNOWSTORM DR Severe Storm 2022-03-11
4602 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Ice Storm 2021-05-10
4512 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-02
3448 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
3403 HURRICANE FLORENCE EM Hurricane 2018-09-11
3359 HURRICANE SANDY EM Hurricane 2012-10-29
4042 EARTHQUAKE DR Earthquake 2011-11-04
3240 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-12
1491 HURRICANE ISABEL DR Hurricane 2003-09-18
1318 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Storm 2000-02-28
1135 HURRICANE FRAN AND ASSOCIATED SEVERE STORM COND DR Hurricane 1996-09-06
1086 BLIZZARD OF 96 (SEVERE SNOW STORM) DR Snowstorm 1996-01-13
1021 SEVERE WINTER ICE STORM DR Severe Storm 1994-04-11
1014 SEVERE ICE STORMS, FLOODING DR Snowstorm 1994-03-10
3112 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Snowstorm 1993-03-25
755 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1985-11-09
3046 DROUGHT EM Drought 1977-07-23
3018 DROUGHT EM Drought 1976-10-15
339 TROPICAL STORM AGNES DR Flood 1972-06-23
Show 1 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
274 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Hurricane 1969-08-23

Storm Events in Virginia

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Goochland County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 8,940 13 31 $123.1M
Flood 2,300 4 0 $85.1M
Winter Weather 2,049 6 32 $902.0K
Flash Flood 1,942 13 4 $244.2M
Heavy Rain 1,566 0 0 $2.5M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

18

Total Paid

$156.7K

Avg Per Claim

$8.7K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 15.5/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$8.0M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very Low

Community Resilience

Very High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Earthquake Relatively Low
Drought Relatively Moderate
Hurricane Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Landslide Very Low
Ice Storm Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Tornado Very Low
Hail Very Low
Wildfire Very Low
Winter Weather Very Low
Cold Wave Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Earthquake

Earthquake is the model's clearest example of a hazard with no season and no warning. Its expected loss is driven less by how often shaking occurs than by how much of the building stock predates modern seismic codes, so exposure can be high in places where nothing has happened for a long time.

Worth noting for Goochland County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Earthquake carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Low), while the county's declaration history is led by Hurricane. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Goochland County's closest FEMA peer: Pennington County, SD

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Goochland County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Goochland County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Goochland County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 21 FEMA declarations, Goochland County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Goochland County?
The most common disaster type in Goochland County is Hurricane, with 6 declarations. Other disaster types include Severe Storm (3), Snowstorm (3), Biological (2).
How does Goochland County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Virginia average?
FEMA lists 21 declaration records for Goochland County. That is 3% above the Virginia county mean of 20.4. Its count is also 1% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Goochland County received?
Goochland County has received 13 major disaster declarations, representing 62% of all 21 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Goochland County filed?
Goochland County has 18 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $156.7K in payments, with an average of $8.7K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Goochland County?
No. In Goochland County, Earthquake has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Low), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $4.4M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Goochland County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Goochland County was 1977, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1969 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Goochland County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Goochland County, Virginia has an overall risk score of 15.5 out of 100 (Very Low). The county's social vulnerability rating is Very Low and community resilience is Very High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $8.0M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Goochland County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in Goochland County is Earthquake (risk rating: Relatively Low). Other significant hazards include Drought (Relatively Moderate) and Hurricane (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts earthquake here at roughly once every 341 years. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Goochland County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Virginia profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events