PlainHazard

If you are in immediate danger, call 911.

The data below is historical (NOAA Storm Events / FEMA), not a live alert. For current warnings and evacuation orders, check the National Weather Service, Ready.gov, or FEMA.gov.

Arkansas · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Fulton County, AR

28 FEMA disaster declarations (1969-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

28
FEMA declarations
20
Major disasters
51
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Fulton County. Its 28 FEMA declarations are 16% above the Arkansas county mean and exceed the count for 81% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 49%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 49%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
28
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
61
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

View my watchlist

How does Fulton County compare?

Fulton County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

28 Top 19% higher than 81% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

Fulton County's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Arkansas county average

0/100100/100Arkansas avg56/10050.7/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Arkansas county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Fulton County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $3.3M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Very High), while Ice Storm carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Very High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Fulton County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 61 paid claims, totaling $1.7M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $27.2K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Fulton County's 28 federal records stand 16% above the Arkansas county mean of 24.2. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county carries a high composite score on FEMA's National Risk Index, 50.7/100, rated Relatively Low. Its Expected Annual Loss rating is Very Low (roughly $9.4M in annualized losses), and a Very High social-vulnerability profile combined with Very Low community resilience shapes how much of that raw exposure becomes realized harm. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Ice Storm stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Very High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 1.3 times per year here, based on 86 historical events on record.

Declaration frequency

The FEMA register is busy by both local and national comparisons. It contains 28 entries for Fulton County, including 20 Major Disaster records, 16% above the Arkansas county mean. Across the 57-year span, that works out to 0.5 declarations a year. Severe Storm leads the file with 12 entries. Declaration type records the federal action taken, not every assistance program approved.

72 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Fulton County, AR · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
20/30

28 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.4x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
14/25

28 declarations (1.2x state county average of 24)

Major Disaster Share High
18/25

20 of 28 declarations are major disasters (71%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

8 different disaster types declared in Fulton County

Historical Declaration Activity

Activity Band

High

vs. Arkansas Avg

+16%

State avg: 24.2

vs. National Avg

+35%

National avg: 20.7

Avg Per Year

0.5

Over 57 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Fulton County

Fulton County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 25, Hurricane 8, Tornado 25, Wildfire 8, Drought 0, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 92. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 26 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 26 8-hazard mean
Fulton County NRI risk profile FIPS 05049 · displayed-hazard mean 26/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

28

High volume

Major Disaster share

71%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

51

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Fulton County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Ice Storm Very High an average of 1.3 times per year
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 202 years
Landslide Relatively Low an average of 1.4 times per year
Heat Wave Relatively Low 10 modeled event-days per year
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 3 years
Cold Wave Relatively Low an average of 2.3 times per year
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 485 years
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate an average of 2.7 times per year
Winter Weather Relatively Low an average of 8.5 times per year
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 57 times per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low an average of 1.1 times per year
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 76 years
Hail Very Low an average of 4.2 times per year
Drought No Rating 11 modeled event-days per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 12
Flood 5
Severe Ice Storm 4
Hurricane 2
Biological 2
Winter Storm 1
Tornado 1
Drought 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Fulton County's record, 43% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 20 71.4%

of all 28 declarations

Emergency - 8 28.6%

of all 28 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2025 2
2024 1
2020 3
2017 1
2014 2
2011 1
2010 1
2009 3
2008 1
2006 1
2005 1
2003 2
2001 1
1991 1
Show 6 earlier declaration years
1983 1
1982 1
1977 1
1973 1
1972 1
1969 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 28 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 28 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
3636 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-24
4873 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2025-05-21
3627 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING EM Severe Storm 2025-04-05
4788 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2024-05-30
3541 HURRICANE LAURA EM Hurricane 2020-08-27
4518 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-03
3461 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4318 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2017-06-15
4174 SEVERE STORMS,TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2014-04-29
4160 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 2014-01-06
1975 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND ASSOCIATED FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2011-05-02
1861 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2009-12-03
1845 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2009-06-16
1819 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 2009-02-06
3301 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2009-01-28
1751 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2008-03-26
1636 SEVERE STORMS AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2006-04-12
3215 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-02
1472 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2003-06-06
1450 SEVERE ICE STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 2003-01-06
Show 8 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
1354 SEVERE WINTER ICE STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 2000-12-29
907 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1991-05-30
673 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1982-12-13
3085 SEVERE STORMS & TORNADOES EM Tornado 1982-04-23
3019 DROUGHT EM Drought 1976-12-03
375 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1973-04-27
321 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1972-01-27
254 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1969-02-15

Storm Events in Arkansas

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Fulton County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 3,657 10 23 $60.9M
Hail 2,230 0 0 $7.7M
Flash Flood 1,517 12 3 $15.9M
Heat 1,222 2 325 $0
Flood 1,152 9 0 $40.2M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

61

Total Paid

$1.7M

Avg Per Claim

$27.2K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 50.7/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$9.4M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very High

Community Resilience

Very Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Ice Storm Very High
Earthquake Relatively Low
Landslide Relatively Low
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Wildfire Very Low
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Hurricane Very Low
Hail Very Low
Drought No Rating

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Ice Storm

Ice storms load power lines and tree limbs with accumulating freezing rain until they fail. The characteristic cost is infrastructure and multi-day power loss across a wide area rather than structural damage to buildings, which is why their consequences often outlast the weather that caused them.

Worth noting for Fulton County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Ice Storm carries the highest modeled rating (Very High), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Fulton County's closest FEMA peer: Copiah County, MS

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Fulton County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Fulton County - capture-dated entries only.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Fulton County's NFIP claims file (61 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Fulton County?
The most common disaster type in Fulton County is Severe Storm, with 12 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (5), Severe Ice Storm (4), Hurricane (2).
How does Fulton County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Arkansas average?
FEMA lists 28 declaration records for Fulton County. That is 16% above the Arkansas county mean of 24.2. Its count is also 35% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Fulton County received?
Fulton County has received 20 major disaster declarations, representing 71% of all 28 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Fulton County filed?
Fulton County has 61 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $1.7M in payments, with an average of $27.2K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Fulton County?
No. In Fulton County, Ice Storm has the highest National Risk Index rating (Very High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $3.3M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Fulton County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Fulton County was 2009, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1969 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Fulton County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Fulton County, Arkansas has an overall risk score of 50.7 out of 100 (Relatively Low). On social vulnerability the county rates Very High; on community resilience, Very Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $9.4M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Fulton County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Fulton County as of the latest release is Ice Storm (risk rating: Very High). Other significant hazards include Earthquake (Relatively Low) and Landslide (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts ice storm here at an average of 1.3 times per year, drawn from 86 historical events on record. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Fulton County

Fulton County, AR has 28 federal declaration records, 16% more than the Arkansas county mean of 24; its history sits in PlainHazard's high activity band.

  • Within this above-state-average declaration file, major disaster leads with 20 of 28 records; the category describes past federal action, not the next likely hazard. Arkansas overview
  • The state benchmark and national rank point the same way: this count tops the Arkansas mean and the totals for 81% of 3,266 U.S. counties. Most-disaster rankings
  • Use the data guide to separate this mid-volume insurance-claims file from declaration counts and modeled NRI risk. Disaster-data guide

An above-average declaration count records past federal responses; it does not predict the next event. Current warnings come from the National Weather Service and local emergency officials.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.