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The data below is historical (NOAA Storm Events / FEMA), not a live alert. For current warnings and evacuation orders, check the National Weather Service, Ready.gov, or FEMA.gov.

Missouri · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Oregon County, MO

25 FEMA disaster declarations (1973-2025), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

25
FEMA declarations
17
Major disasters
49
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Oregon County. Its 25 FEMA declarations are 1% above the Missouri county mean and exceed the count for 71% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it safer than 49%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Safer than 49%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
25
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
39
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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How does Oregon County compare?

Oregon County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

25 Top 29% higher than 71% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

Oregon County's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Missouri county average

0/100100/100Missouri avg51/10048.7/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Missouri county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Oregon County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $4.2M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Very High), while Earthquake carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Low). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Oregon County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

FEMA's data shows an elevated National Risk Index composite of 48.7/100 for this county (Relatively Low rating). Expected Annual Loss comes in at Very Low (roughly $10.9M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability (Relatively High) and community resilience (Very Low) both factor into how that raw exposure plays out on the ground. Even the county's top-rated hazard, Earthquake, only reaches Relatively Low on FEMA's scale, none of the 18 modeled hazards stand out here. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 151 years here.

Declaration frequency

The FEMA register is busy by both local and national comparisons. It contains 25 entries for Oregon County, including 17 Major Disaster records, 1% above the Missouri county mean. Across the 52-year span, that works out to 0.5 declarations a year. Severe Storm leads the file with 17 entries. Declaration type records the federal action taken, not every assistance program approved.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 39 claims and $489.6K paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Oregon County's 25 federal records stand 1% above the Missouri county mean of 24.6. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

63 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Oregon County, MO · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
18/30

25 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.2x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
13/25

25 declarations (1.0x state county average of 25)

Major Disaster Share High
17/25

17 of 25 declarations are major disasters (68%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
15/20

6 different disaster types declared in Oregon County

Historical Declaration Activity

Activity Band

High

vs. Missouri Avg

+1%

State avg: 24.6

vs. National Avg

+21%

National avg: 20.7

Avg Per Year

0.5

Over 52 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Oregon County

Oregon County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 25, Hurricane 8, Tornado 25, Wildfire 8, Drought 0, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 21 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 21 8-hazard mean
Oregon County NRI risk profile FIPS 29149 · displayed-hazard mean 21/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

25

High volume

Major Disaster share

68%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

49

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Oregon County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 151 years
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate an average of 1.9 times per year
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate an average of 1.2 times per year
Heat Wave Relatively Low 12 modeled event-days per year
Landslide Relatively Low an average of 1.8 times per year
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 487 years
Winter Weather Relatively Low an average of 9.6 times per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low an average of 1.8 times per year
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 46 years
Strong Wind Relatively Low an average of 2.4 times per year
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 57 times per year
Hail Very Low an average of 3.8 times per year
Drought No Rating 7.2 modeled event-days per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 17
Biological 2
Flood 2
Severe Ice Storm 2
Hurricane 1
Drought 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Oregon County's record, 68% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 17 68.0%

of all 25 declarations

Emergency - 8 32.0%

of all 25 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2025 3
2024 1
2020 3
2017 1
2016 1
2015 1
2011 2
2009 4
2008 2
2006 1
2005 1
2003 1
2002 1
1994 1
1976 1
Show 1 earlier declaration years
1973 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 25 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 25 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4872 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2025-05-21
4867 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND WILDFIRES DR Severe Storm 2025-05-21
4855 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2025-01-01
4803 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2024-07-23
4552 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2020-07-09
4490 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-26
3482 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4317 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS AND FLOODING DR Flood 2017-06-02
3374 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING EM Flood 2016-01-02
4238 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2015-08-07
1980 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2011-05-09
3317 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Storm 2011-02-03
1847 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2009-06-19
1822 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 2009-02-17
3303 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2009-01-30
1809 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND A TORNADO DR Severe Storm 2008-11-13
1749 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2008-03-19
3281 SEVERE WINTER STORMS EM Severe Ice Storm 2007-12-12
3267 SEVERE STORMS EM Severe Storm 2006-07-21
3232 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-10
Show 5 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
1463 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2003-05-06
1412 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2002-05-06
1006 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1993-12-01
3017 DROUGHT EM Drought 1976-09-24
372 HEAVY RAINS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1973-04-19

Storm Events in Missouri

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Oregon County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 6,391 30 52 $63.4M
Hail 4,411 0 1 $86.1M
Flash Flood 2,399 47 14 $406.6M
Flood 1,810 25 7 $304.6M
Drought 1,033 0 350 $53.6M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

39

Total Paid

$489.6K

Avg Per Claim

$12.6K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 48.7/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$10.9M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively High

Community Resilience

Very Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Earthquake Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Landslide Relatively Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Wildfire Very Low
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Hurricane Very Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Hail Very Low
Drought No Rating

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Earthquake

Earthquake is the model's clearest example of a hazard with no season and no warning. Its expected loss is driven less by how often shaking occurs than by how much of the building stock predates modern seismic codes, so exposure can be high in places where nothing has happened for a long time.

Worth noting for Oregon County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Earthquake carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Low), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Oregon County's closest FEMA peer: Tehama County, CA

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Oregon County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Oregon County - capture-dated entries only.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 25 FEMA declarations, Oregon County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Oregon County?
The most common disaster type in Oregon County is Severe Storm, with 17 declarations. Other disaster types include Biological (2), Flood (2), Severe Ice Storm (2).
How does Oregon County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Missouri average?
FEMA lists 25 declaration records for Oregon County. That is 1% above the Missouri county mean of 24.6. Its count is also 21% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Oregon County received?
Oregon County has received 17 major disaster declarations, representing 68% of all 25 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Oregon County filed?
Oregon County has 39 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $489.6K in payments, with an average of $12.6K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Oregon County?
No. In Oregon County, Earthquake has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Low), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $4.2M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Oregon County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Oregon County was 2009, with 4 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1973 to 2025.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Oregon County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Oregon County, Missouri has an overall risk score of 48.7 out of 100 (Relatively Low). On social vulnerability the county rates Relatively High; on community resilience, Very Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $10.9M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Oregon County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in Oregon County as of the latest release is Earthquake (risk rating: Relatively Low). Other significant hazards include Cold Wave (Relatively Moderate) and Ice Storm (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts earthquake here at roughly once every 151 years. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Oregon County

Oregon County, MO has 25 federal declaration records, 1% more than the Missouri county mean of 25; its history sits in PlainHazard's high activity band.

  • Within this above-state-average declaration file, major disaster leads with 17 of 25 records; the category describes past federal action, not the next likely hazard. Missouri overview
  • The state benchmark and national rank point the same way: this count tops the Missouri mean and the totals for 71% of 3,266 U.S. counties. Most-disaster rankings
  • A short NFIP claims file cannot establish low flood exposure; the data guide explains the limits of each federal measure. Disaster-data guide

An above-average declaration count records past federal responses; it does not predict the next event. Current warnings come from the National Weather Service and local emergency officials.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.