Carter County, Missouri

County storm and disaster record · FIPS 29035 · population 5,184 · 507 sq mi

NOAA's Storm Events Database holds 744 records for Carter County, Missouri from 1950 through June 30, 2026, on 643 days; the most frequent are winter storm records (107 records). 472 of them are forecast-zone records, which the National Weather Service files once per zone: a county covered by several zones receives each one, so a single storm can add several records on the same day. The deadliest single record is the May 21, 1957 tornado: 7 deaths and 75 injuries. FEMA has issued 22 declarations naming the county since 1976, 20 of them for natural hazards; the latest for a natural hazard was “Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Wildfires” on May 21, 2025.

The record, 1950 to 2026

Storm records filed for the county each year (2026 to June 30, 2026). Before 1996 NOAA recorded only tornadoes (from 1950), thunderstorm wind and hail (from 1955).

  • recorded, no damage figure
  • under $100,000
  • $100,000 or more
  • $1 million or more
  • $10 million or more, or a death
  • $100 million or more, or 10 deaths
  • a year's colour: its recorded damage or deaths
  • a year with a death
  • 1955: wind and hail recorded from 1955
  • 1996: all 48 event types from 1996
Storm records
744on 643 days, 1950 to June 30, 2026
Deaths recorded
1092 injuries
Damage, 2025 dollars
$86Mas filed (scale steps before 1993)
Tornadoes
22strongest F4
FEMA declarations
22latest 2025

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records through June 30, 2026 (file revision 20260918); damage converted to 2025 dollars with the BLS CPI-U. Search the record at NCEI. BLS consumer price index.

What hazards hit Carter County most?

The most frequent records are winter storm records: 107 since 1996. 70% of its winter storm records since 1996 fell in January and February. The rank column places the county among Missouri's counties by days with a record per 1,000 square miles of land over each hazard's complete period.

Carter County: records by hazard, 1950 to June 30, 2026
HazardRecordsDaysFirst, lastKilledInjuredDamageRank in state
Winter storms 107 106 1996-2026 0 1 $2.0M 6 of 114
Hail 95 72 1976-2026 0 0 $159K 70 of 114
Heat 91 91 1997-2025 0 0 – 6 of 114
Fog, smoke and funnel clouds 85 83 1997-2026 0 0 – 5 of 114
Severe thunderstorm wind 79 68 1976-2026 1 2 $810K 86 of 114
Extreme cold 75 75 1996-2026 0 0 $40K 3 of 114
High wind and dust storms 67 67 1997-2025 0 0 $2.9M 6 of 114
Floods 62 57 1997-2025 1 0 $15M 48 of 114
Drought 46 46 1996-2026 0 0 – 3 of 114
Tornadoes 22 18 1957-2025 8 85 $55M 48 of 114
Heavy rain 7 7 2009-2015 0 0 – 32 of 114
Wildfires 5 5 2010-2025 0 0 $10M 3 of 114
Lightning 3 3 1998-2023 0 4 $19K 28 of 114

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database (county and forecast-zone records attributed to the county; a zone record shows its own totals on each county it covers). Days: dates with at least one record of the hazard in the county. Ranks: days with a record per 1,000 square miles of land (Census Bureau 2024 Gazetteer), since 1950 for tornadoes, 1955 for hail and thunderstorm wind, 1996 for the rest.

How many tornadoes has Carter County had?

NOAA records 22 tornadoes in Carter County from 1957 to 2025, the strongest rated F4, with 8 deaths and 85 injuries recorded in the county. That is 48th of 114 Missouri counties by days with tornadoes per 1,000 square miles since 1950. A tornado that crossed a county line is counted in each county it touched, with the length of its path inside the county.

Counted as whole tornadoes rather than county records, the Storm Prediction Center's database holds 22 tornadoes whose track touched Carter County since 1950 (NOAA's county records number 22, the same count); along their whole tracks they killed 10 people, 8 of them in Carter County.

The deadliest and strongest tornadoes that touched Carter County, whole tracks
DateTornadoRatingPathKilled
1957-05-21 15:53, as SPC files itVan BurenF49.1 mi7
2025-03-14 21:28, as SPC files itMill SpringEF330.6 mi2
1982-12-24 18:05, as SPC files itVan BurenF233 mi1
2002-04-24 15:13, as SPC files itVan BurenF440.5 mi0
1982-12-24 17:00, as SPC files itVan BurenCrossed AR, MOF463 mi0
2025-03-14 20:11, as SPC files itBrandsvilleEF357.24 mi0
2011-05-25 14:49, as SPC files itEllsinoreEF347.41 mi0
1964-03-25 13:00, as SPC files itPiedmontF346 mi0

Map of the strongest tornado tracks in Missouri.

Every tornado record filed for Carter County (22)
Every tornado recorded in Carter County, newest first
DatePlaceCharacterKilledInjuredDamage
2025-03-14 Eastwood, Carter County EF1 17.34 mi x 325 yd 0 0 $500K
2025-03-14 Fremont, Carter County EF3 17.89 mi x 500 yd 0 0 $2.0M
2024-05-26 Fremont, Carter County EF0 0.2 mi x 50 yd 0 0 $941
2023-04-05 Ellsinore, Carter County EF0 0.23 mi x 50 yd 0 0 $10K
2020-05-04 Grandin, Carter County EF0 4.04 mi x 50 yd 0 0 $86K
2020-03-12 Ellsinore, Carter County EF0 0.42 mi x 75 yd 0 0 $6K
2015-12-23 Chilton, Carter County EF1 6 mi x 100 yd 0 0 $112K
2011-05-25 Grandin, Carter County EF3 11.4 mi x 550 yd 0 0 $394K
2011-05-25 Hunter, Carter County EF0 0.49 mi x 50 yd 0 0 $3K
2010-12-31 Chilton, Carter County EF2 2.63 mi x 200 yd 0 0 $271K
2008-06-13 Grandin, Carter County EF1 0.62 mi x 125 yd 0 0 $69K
2004-04-24 Ellsinore, Carter County F2 7.6 mi x 200 yd 0 5 $937K
2002-04-24 Van Buren, Carter County F4 20.5 mi x 300 yd 0 2 $25M
1995-06-07 Ellsinore, Carter County F0 1.5 mi x 300 yd 0 0 $77K
1984-04-29 Carter County F1 15 mi x 7 yd 0 0 $2.5M step
1982-12-24 Carter County F2 10 mi x 300 yd 1 1 $2.5M step
1982-12-24 Carter County F4 18 mi x 300 yd 0 0 $2.5M step
1982-12-02 Carter County F2 9.5 mi x 200 yd 0 0 $250K step
1982-12-02 Carter County F1 0.5 mi x 50 yd 0 2 $25K step
1973-06-04 Carter County F0 0 0 –
1964-03-25 Carter County F3 13.3 mi x 300 yd 0 0 $25K step
1957-05-21 Carter County F4 9.1 mi x 500 yd 7 75 $250K step

A damage figure marked "step" is a record from before 1993: NOAA then filed damage by category, and the figure is the category as entered, in the dollars of that year, not an estimate of the loss.

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, tornado records by county (path length in the county, maximum width); ratings as published: F scale before February 1, 2007, EF scale after. Whole-track figures: NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database (1950-2025). SPC severe weather database.

When was the last damaging storm in Carter County?

The most recent record with damage, injuries or deaths is the April 28, 2026 thunderstorm wind ($10,000 in damage in 2025 dollars).

Dozens of trees were downed and a power line was snapped along/near MO-21 south of US-60 as a thunderstorm line moved eastward through Carter County. Report submitted via social media.
National Weather Service event narrative, NOAA Storm Events Database (search the full record, event 1350051)
The 12 most recent records kept for Carter County
DateRecordCharacterKilledInjuredDamage
2026-04-28 Thunderstorm WindHunter, Carter County 74 kt wind 0 0 $10K
2026-04-28 Thunderstorm WindEllsinore, Carter County 56 kt wind 0 0 $1K
2026-04-28 HailGrandin, Carter County 2.50 in hail 0 0 –
2026-04-01 DroughtCarter County · forecast zone Carter 0 0 –
2026-02-27 Dense FogCarter County · forecast zone Carter 0 0 –
2026-02-10 Dense FogCarter County · forecast zone Carter 0 0 –
2026-02-01 DroughtCarter County · forecast zone Carter 0 0 –
2026-01-26 Cold/Wind ChillCarter County · forecast zone Carter 0 0 –
2026-01-24 Winter StormCarter County · forecast zone Carter 0 0 –
2026-01-23 Cold/Wind ChillCarter County · forecast zone Carter 0 0 –
2026-01-01 DroughtCarter County · forecast zone Carter 0 0 –
2025-11-23 Dense FogCarter County · forecast zone Carter 0 0 –

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database; every record of 2025-2026 is listed, earlier ones when they caused deaths, injuries or $250,000 of damage (2025 dollars), and every tornado.

The deadliest and costliest records

Records with deaths or injuries in Carter County, most deaths first
DateRecordCharacterKilledInjuredDamage
1957-05-21 TornadoCarter County F4 9.1 mi x 500 yd 7 75 $250K step
2019-06-21 Thunderstorm WindVan Buren, Carter County Within the Ozark National Scenic Riverways, a tree fell on a boat on the Current River. The boat was traveling downstream in the vicinity of the Waymeyer Shute river access point. The 22-year-old male driver of the boat was killed, and two passengers in their 20's were moderately injured. The injured parties were from ... 61 kt wind 1 2 $23K
1982-12-24 TornadoCarter County F2 10 mi x 300 yd 1 1 $2.5M step
2006-03-09 Flash FloodEllsinore, Carter County Flash flooding of Ten Mile Creek caused the death of a 57-year-old man. The man drowned when the flat bed truck he was driving was swept off the road as he was attempting to cross the creek. The incident occurred on a private gravel road off Highway B. The truck was swept downstream about 50 yards and overturned in ... 1 0 $37K
2004-04-24 TornadoEllsinore, Carter County The tornado touched down about one mile south of the intersection of U.S. Highway 60 and County Highway 233 in eastern Carter County. The tornado tracked north-northeast, passing only about a mile west of the town of Ellsinore. The tornado damage path ended on County Road 365 less than one half mile before reaching ... F2 7.6 mi x 200 yd 0 5 $937K
2021-07-31 LightningVan Buren, Carter County Two persons were struck by lightning while recreating on the Current River. 0 2 –
2002-04-24 TornadoVan Buren, Carter County The tornado damage path began on the west side of Van Buren, right along the Current River, and crossed U.S. Route 60 very close to the Current River bridge. Two businesses in Van Buren, a lodge and a restaurant, were heavily damaged by F-2 intensity winds. The tornado travelled southeast across hilly and forested ... F4 20.5 mi x 300 yd 0 2 $25M
1998-07-22 LightningVan Buren, Carter County Two river enthusiasts were injured by lightning on the Current River. 0 2 –

A damage figure marked "step" is a record from before 1993: NOAA then filed damage by category, and the figure is the category as entered, in the dollars of that year, not an estimate of the loss.

The costliest records in Carter County since 1993, damage in 2025 dollars
DateRecordCharacterKilledInjuredDamage
2002-04-24 TornadoVan Buren, Carter County F4 20.5 mi x 300 yd 0 2 $25M
2017-05-01 FloodVan Buren, Carter County 0 0 $12M
2025-03-14 WildfireCarter County · forecast zone Carter 0 0 $10M
2008-09-14 High WindCarter County · forecast zone Carter 50 kt wind 0 0 $2.7M
2025-03-14 TornadoFremont, Carter County EF3 17.89 mi x 500 yd 0 0 $2.0M
2008-03-18 FloodVan Buren, Carter County 0 0 $959K
2004-04-24 TornadoEllsinore, Carter County F2 7.6 mi x 200 yd 0 5 $937K
2009-01-26 Winter StormCarter County · forecast zone Carter 0 0 $413K

Before 1993 NOAA filed damage by category, not amount, so the list above starts in 1993. The highest category filed here before then (entered as $2.5M, in the dollars of the day) holds: December 24, 1982 (tornado, Carter County, 1 killed); December 24, 1982 (tornado, Carter County); April 29, 1984 (tornado, Carter County).

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database: deaths and injuries direct and indirect; damage is property plus crops as estimated by the National Weather Service, converted to 2025 dollars.

Is it getting more frequent?

Records per decade for Carter County's most frequent hazards. Counts rose everywhere after 1996, when NOAA began recording every event type, so compare decades within a hazard's complete period only (the shaded cells come before it).

Carter County: records per decade (the 2020s to June 30, 2026)
Hazard1950s1960s1970s1980s1990s2000s2010s2020-26
Winter storms––––7344422
Hail001219292222
Heat––––51241 z33
Fog, smoke and funnel clouds––––4164124
Severe thunderstorm wind001215132721
Extreme cold––––3252324

Heat in the 2010s: 41 records against 12 in the decade before, 41 of them forecast-zone records. Cells marked z rose mostly through zone records. The local National Weather Service office files these once per forecast zone, so a change in how it draws its zones or splits a storm into records moves this count as much as the weather does; read it beside the Carter County days with a record above.

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records per calendar decade; zone records from the CZ_TYPE field (Z).

What time of year?

70% of its winter storm records since 1996 fell in January and February. The two busiest months are in violet.

The values, month by month

Jan 80 · Feb 73 · Mar 71 · Apr 98 · May 70 · Jun 44 · Jul 81 · Aug 61 · Sep 25 · Oct 37 · Nov 45 · Dec 59 (records).

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records by the month they began.

Federal disaster declarations for Carter County

FEMA's register lists 22 declarations that include Carter County: 15 major disasters, 7 emergencies and 0 fire management assistance declarations. Most were for severe storm (12) and flood (3).

Declarations including Carter County, newest first
DeclaredNumberTypeTitle
2025-05-21DR-4867Severe StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Wildfires
2025-05-21DR-4872Severe StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding
2025-01-01DR-4855Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding
2024-07-23DR-4803Severe StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding
2020-07-09DR-4552Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding
2020-03-26DR-4490BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
2020-03-13EM-3482BiologicalCovid-19
2017-06-02DR-4317FloodSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds and Flooding
2016-01-02EM-3374FloodSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding
2011-05-09DR-1980Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding
2011-02-03EM-3317Severe StormSevere Winter Storm
2009-02-17DR-1822Severe StormSevere Winter Storm
2009-01-30EM-3303Severe Ice StormSevere Winter Storm
2008-11-13DR-1809Severe StormSevere Storms, Flooding, and A Tornado
2008-03-19DR-1749Severe StormSevere Storms and Flooding
2008-03-12DR-1748Severe Ice StormSevere Winter Storms and Flooding
2007-12-12EM-3281Severe Ice StormSevere Winter Storms
2005-09-10EM-3232HurricaneHurricane Katrina Evacuation
2002-05-06DR-1412Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes and Flooding
1993-12-01DR-1006Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding
1982-12-10DR-672FloodSevere Storms and Flooding
1976-09-24EM-3017DroughtDrought

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2), declarations through October 2, 2026; one declaration is counted once however many areas it names. OpenFEMA dataset page.

How many floods has Carter County had?

NOAA's Storm Events Database holds 62 flood or flash flood records for Carter County from 1997 to 2025, on 57 days, with 1 death. By flood insurance claims since 1978 (OpenFEMA, as of September 8, 2026), Carter County ranks 1195th of 2,942 U.S. counties.

The National Flood Insurance Program has paid $5.4 million on 123 claims filed in Carter County; the most in one year was 32 in 2017. Claims count insured losses only: uninsured flood damage is not in this file.

The values, year by year

1982: 1 · 1983: 2 · 1985: 12 · 1992: 1 · 1993: 14 · 2002: 13 · 2003: 2 · 2007: 1 · 2008: 21 · 2009: 1 · 2011: 9 · 2013: 1 · 2014: 6 · 2015: 6 · 2017: 32 · 2023: 1; the other years: 0.

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims, as of September 8, 2026; claims by year of loss, payments in the dollars of the year paid. OpenFEMA dataset page.

FEMA's modeled risk for Carter County

FEMA's National Risk Index rates Carter County Relatively Low overall, with an expected annual loss of $10.7 million. These are FEMA's model estimates of future loss from 18 hazards, not a count of what happened; they can differ from the record above.

National Risk Index ratings for Carter County (December 2025 release), by FEMA's rating, then score
HazardRisk ratingExpected annual lossModeled frequency
Cold WaveRelatively Moderate$2.0M1.1 a year (modeled)
Ice StormRelatively Moderate$149K1.2 a year (modeled)
Strong WindRelatively Moderate$471K2.4 a year (modeled)
LightningRelatively Moderate$198K58 a year (modeled)
EarthquakeRelatively Low$1.3Monce in about 128 years (modeled)
LandslideRelatively Low$8K2 a year (modeled)
Heat WaveRelatively Low$439K11 modeled event-days a year
Riverine FloodingRelatively Low$5.5M1.9 a year (modeled)

Source: FEMA National Risk Index, county table, December 2025 release. FEMA's National Risk Index map.

Counties that share a border with Carter County

  1. Butler County 1,035
  2. Wayne County 850
  3. Ripley County 793
  4. Carter County 744
  5. Shannon County 587
  6. Oregon County 436
  7. Reynolds County 297

Source: U.S. Census Bureau county adjacency file; NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records since 1950. The Census Bureau's adjacency file.

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