Carter County, Missouri
County storm and disaster record · FIPS 29035 · population 5,184 · 507 sq mi
NOAA's Storm Events Database holds 744 records for Carter County, Missouri from 1950 through June 30, 2026, on 643 days; the most frequent are winter storm records (107 records). 472 of them are forecast-zone records, which the National Weather Service files once per zone: a county covered by several zones receives each one, so a single storm can add several records on the same day. The deadliest single record is the May 21, 1957 tornado: 7 deaths and 75 injuries. FEMA has issued 22 declarations naming the county since 1976, 20 of them for natural hazards; the latest for a natural hazard was “Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Wildfires” on May 21, 2025.
The record, 1950 to 2026
Storm records filed for the county each year (2026 to June 30, 2026). Before 1996 NOAA recorded only tornadoes (from 1950), thunderstorm wind and hail (from 1955).
- recorded, no damage figure
- under $100,000
- $100,000 or more
- $1 million or more
- $10 million or more, or a death
- $100 million or more, or 10 deaths
- a year's colour: its recorded damage or deaths
- a year with a death
- 1955: wind and hail recorded from 1955
- 1996: all 48 event types from 1996
- Storm records
- 744on 643 days, 1950 to June 30, 2026
- Deaths recorded
- 1092 injuries
- Damage, 2025 dollars
- $86Mas filed (scale steps before 1993)
- Tornadoes
- 22strongest F4
- FEMA declarations
- 22latest 2025
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records through June 30, 2026 (file revision 20260918); damage converted to 2025 dollars with the BLS CPI-U. Search the record at NCEI. BLS consumer price index.
What hazards hit Carter County most?
The most frequent records are winter storm records: 107 since 1996. 70% of its winter storm records since 1996 fell in January and February. The rank column places the county among Missouri's counties by days with a record per 1,000 square miles of land over each hazard's complete period.
| Hazard | Records | Days | First, last | Killed | Injured | Damage | Rank in state |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winter storms | 107 | 106 | 1996-2026 | 0 | 1 | $2.0M | 6 of 114 |
| Hail | 95 | 72 | 1976-2026 | 0 | 0 | $159K | 70 of 114 |
| Heat | 91 | 91 | 1997-2025 | 0 | 0 | – | 6 of 114 |
| Fog, smoke and funnel clouds | 85 | 83 | 1997-2026 | 0 | 0 | – | 5 of 114 |
| Severe thunderstorm wind | 79 | 68 | 1976-2026 | 1 | 2 | $810K | 86 of 114 |
| Extreme cold | 75 | 75 | 1996-2026 | 0 | 0 | $40K | 3 of 114 |
| High wind and dust storms | 67 | 67 | 1997-2025 | 0 | 0 | $2.9M | 6 of 114 |
| Floods | 62 | 57 | 1997-2025 | 1 | 0 | $15M | 48 of 114 |
| Drought | 46 | 46 | 1996-2026 | 0 | 0 | – | 3 of 114 |
| Tornadoes | 22 | 18 | 1957-2025 | 8 | 85 | $55M | 48 of 114 |
| Heavy rain | 7 | 7 | 2009-2015 | 0 | 0 | – | 32 of 114 |
| Wildfires | 5 | 5 | 2010-2025 | 0 | 0 | $10M | 3 of 114 |
| Lightning | 3 | 3 | 1998-2023 | 0 | 4 | $19K | 28 of 114 |
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database (county and forecast-zone records attributed to the county; a zone record shows its own totals on each county it covers). Days: dates with at least one record of the hazard in the county. Ranks: days with a record per 1,000 square miles of land (Census Bureau 2024 Gazetteer), since 1950 for tornadoes, 1955 for hail and thunderstorm wind, 1996 for the rest.
How many tornadoes has Carter County had?
NOAA records 22 tornadoes in Carter County from 1957 to 2025, the strongest rated F4, with 8 deaths and 85 injuries recorded in the county. That is 48th of 114 Missouri counties by days with tornadoes per 1,000 square miles since 1950. A tornado that crossed a county line is counted in each county it touched, with the length of its path inside the county.
Counted as whole tornadoes rather than county records, the Storm Prediction Center's database holds 22 tornadoes whose track touched Carter County since 1950 (NOAA's county records number 22, the same count); along their whole tracks they killed 10 people, 8 of them in Carter County.
| Date | Tornado | Rating | Path | Killed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1957-05-21 15:53, as SPC files it | Van Buren | F4 | 9.1 mi | 7 |
| 2025-03-14 21:28, as SPC files it | Mill Spring | EF3 | 30.6 mi | 2 |
| 1982-12-24 18:05, as SPC files it | Van Buren | F2 | 33 mi | 1 |
| 2002-04-24 15:13, as SPC files it | Van Buren | F4 | 40.5 mi | 0 |
| 1982-12-24 17:00, as SPC files it | Van BurenCrossed AR, MO | F4 | 63 mi | 0 |
| 2025-03-14 20:11, as SPC files it | Brandsville | EF3 | 57.24 mi | 0 |
| 2011-05-25 14:49, as SPC files it | Ellsinore | EF3 | 47.41 mi | 0 |
| 1964-03-25 13:00, as SPC files it | Piedmont | F3 | 46 mi | 0 |
Map of the strongest tornado tracks in Missouri.
Every tornado record filed for Carter County (22)
| Date | Place | Character | Killed | Injured | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-14 | Eastwood, Carter County | EF1 17.34 mi x 325 yd | 0 | 0 | $500K |
| 2025-03-14 | Fremont, Carter County | EF3 17.89 mi x 500 yd | 0 | 0 | $2.0M |
| 2024-05-26 | Fremont, Carter County | EF0 0.2 mi x 50 yd | 0 | 0 | $941 |
| 2023-04-05 | Ellsinore, Carter County | EF0 0.23 mi x 50 yd | 0 | 0 | $10K |
| 2020-05-04 | Grandin, Carter County | EF0 4.04 mi x 50 yd | 0 | 0 | $86K |
| 2020-03-12 | Ellsinore, Carter County | EF0 0.42 mi x 75 yd | 0 | 0 | $6K |
| 2015-12-23 | Chilton, Carter County | EF1 6 mi x 100 yd | 0 | 0 | $112K |
| 2011-05-25 | Grandin, Carter County | EF3 11.4 mi x 550 yd | 0 | 0 | $394K |
| 2011-05-25 | Hunter, Carter County | EF0 0.49 mi x 50 yd | 0 | 0 | $3K |
| 2010-12-31 | Chilton, Carter County | EF2 2.63 mi x 200 yd | 0 | 0 | $271K |
| 2008-06-13 | Grandin, Carter County | EF1 0.62 mi x 125 yd | 0 | 0 | $69K |
| 2004-04-24 | Ellsinore, Carter County | F2 7.6 mi x 200 yd | 0 | 5 | $937K |
| 2002-04-24 | Van Buren, Carter County | F4 20.5 mi x 300 yd | 0 | 2 | $25M |
| 1995-06-07 | Ellsinore, Carter County | F0 1.5 mi x 300 yd | 0 | 0 | $77K |
| 1984-04-29 | Carter County | F1 15 mi x 7 yd | 0 | 0 | $2.5M step |
| 1982-12-24 | Carter County | F2 10 mi x 300 yd | 1 | 1 | $2.5M step |
| 1982-12-24 | Carter County | F4 18 mi x 300 yd | 0 | 0 | $2.5M step |
| 1982-12-02 | Carter County | F2 9.5 mi x 200 yd | 0 | 0 | $250K step |
| 1982-12-02 | Carter County | F1 0.5 mi x 50 yd | 0 | 2 | $25K step |
| 1973-06-04 | Carter County | F0 | 0 | 0 | – |
| 1964-03-25 | Carter County | F3 13.3 mi x 300 yd | 0 | 0 | $25K step |
| 1957-05-21 | Carter County | F4 9.1 mi x 500 yd | 7 | 75 | $250K step |
A damage figure marked "step" is a record from before 1993: NOAA then filed damage by category, and the figure is the category as entered, in the dollars of that year, not an estimate of the loss.
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, tornado records by county (path length in the county, maximum width); ratings as published: F scale before February 1, 2007, EF scale after. Whole-track figures: NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database (1950-2025). SPC severe weather database.
When was the last damaging storm in Carter County?
The most recent record with damage, injuries or deaths is the April 28, 2026 thunderstorm wind ($10,000 in damage in 2025 dollars).
Dozens of trees were downed and a power line was snapped along/near MO-21 south of US-60 as a thunderstorm line moved eastward through Carter County. Report submitted via social media.
National Weather Service event narrative, NOAA Storm Events Database (search the full record, event 1350051)
| Date | Record | Character | Killed | Injured | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-28 | Thunderstorm WindHunter, Carter County | 74 kt wind | 0 | 0 | $10K |
| 2026-04-28 | Thunderstorm WindEllsinore, Carter County | 56 kt wind | 0 | 0 | $1K |
| 2026-04-28 | HailGrandin, Carter County | 2.50 in hail | 0 | 0 | – |
| 2026-04-01 | DroughtCarter County · forecast zone Carter | 0 | 0 | – | |
| 2026-02-27 | Dense FogCarter County · forecast zone Carter | 0 | 0 | – | |
| 2026-02-10 | Dense FogCarter County · forecast zone Carter | 0 | 0 | – | |
| 2026-02-01 | DroughtCarter County · forecast zone Carter | 0 | 0 | – | |
| 2026-01-26 | Cold/Wind ChillCarter County · forecast zone Carter | 0 | 0 | – | |
| 2026-01-24 | Winter StormCarter County · forecast zone Carter | 0 | 0 | – | |
| 2026-01-23 | Cold/Wind ChillCarter County · forecast zone Carter | 0 | 0 | – | |
| 2026-01-01 | DroughtCarter County · forecast zone Carter | 0 | 0 | – | |
| 2025-11-23 | Dense FogCarter County · forecast zone Carter | 0 | 0 | – |
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database; every record of 2025-2026 is listed, earlier ones when they caused deaths, injuries or $250,000 of damage (2025 dollars), and every tornado.
The deadliest and costliest records
| Date | Record | Character | Killed | Injured | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1957-05-21 | TornadoCarter County | F4 9.1 mi x 500 yd | 7 | 75 | $250K step |
| 2019-06-21 | Thunderstorm WindVan Buren, Carter County Within the Ozark National Scenic Riverways, a tree fell on a boat on the Current River. The boat was traveling downstream in the vicinity of the Waymeyer Shute river access point. The 22-year-old male driver of the boat was killed, and two passengers in their 20's were moderately injured. The injured parties were from ... | 61 kt wind | 1 | 2 | $23K |
| 1982-12-24 | TornadoCarter County | F2 10 mi x 300 yd | 1 | 1 | $2.5M step |
| 2006-03-09 | Flash FloodEllsinore, Carter County Flash flooding of Ten Mile Creek caused the death of a 57-year-old man. The man drowned when the flat bed truck he was driving was swept off the road as he was attempting to cross the creek. The incident occurred on a private gravel road off Highway B. The truck was swept downstream about 50 yards and overturned in ... | 1 | 0 | $37K | |
| 2004-04-24 | TornadoEllsinore, Carter County The tornado touched down about one mile south of the intersection of U.S. Highway 60 and County Highway 233 in eastern Carter County. The tornado tracked north-northeast, passing only about a mile west of the town of Ellsinore. The tornado damage path ended on County Road 365 less than one half mile before reaching ... | F2 7.6 mi x 200 yd | 0 | 5 | $937K |
| 2021-07-31 | LightningVan Buren, Carter County Two persons were struck by lightning while recreating on the Current River. | 0 | 2 | – | |
| 2002-04-24 | TornadoVan Buren, Carter County The tornado damage path began on the west side of Van Buren, right along the Current River, and crossed U.S. Route 60 very close to the Current River bridge. Two businesses in Van Buren, a lodge and a restaurant, were heavily damaged by F-2 intensity winds. The tornado travelled southeast across hilly and forested ... | F4 20.5 mi x 300 yd | 0 | 2 | $25M |
| 1998-07-22 | LightningVan Buren, Carter County Two river enthusiasts were injured by lightning on the Current River. | 0 | 2 | – |
A damage figure marked "step" is a record from before 1993: NOAA then filed damage by category, and the figure is the category as entered, in the dollars of that year, not an estimate of the loss.
| Date | Record | Character | Killed | Injured | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002-04-24 | TornadoVan Buren, Carter County | F4 20.5 mi x 300 yd | 0 | 2 | $25M |
| 2017-05-01 | FloodVan Buren, Carter County | 0 | 0 | $12M | |
| 2025-03-14 | WildfireCarter County · forecast zone Carter | 0 | 0 | $10M | |
| 2008-09-14 | High WindCarter County · forecast zone Carter | 50 kt wind | 0 | 0 | $2.7M |
| 2025-03-14 | TornadoFremont, Carter County | EF3 17.89 mi x 500 yd | 0 | 0 | $2.0M |
| 2008-03-18 | FloodVan Buren, Carter County | 0 | 0 | $959K | |
| 2004-04-24 | TornadoEllsinore, Carter County | F2 7.6 mi x 200 yd | 0 | 5 | $937K |
| 2009-01-26 | Winter StormCarter County · forecast zone Carter | 0 | 0 | $413K |
Before 1993 NOAA filed damage by category, not amount, so the list above starts in 1993. The highest category filed here before then (entered as $2.5M, in the dollars of the day) holds: December 24, 1982 (tornado, Carter County, 1 killed); December 24, 1982 (tornado, Carter County); April 29, 1984 (tornado, Carter County).
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database: deaths and injuries direct and indirect; damage is property plus crops as estimated by the National Weather Service, converted to 2025 dollars.
Is it getting more frequent?
Records per decade for Carter County's most frequent hazards. Counts rose everywhere after 1996, when NOAA began recording every event type, so compare decades within a hazard's complete period only (the shaded cells come before it).
| Hazard | 1950s | 1960s | 1970s | 1980s | 1990s | 2000s | 2010s | 2020-26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winter storms | – | – | – | – | 7 | 34 | 44 | 22 |
| Hail | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 29 | 22 | 22 |
| Heat | – | – | – | – | 5 | 12 | 41 z | 33 |
| Fog, smoke and funnel clouds | – | – | – | – | 4 | 16 | 41 | 24 |
| Severe thunderstorm wind | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 27 | 21 |
| Extreme cold | – | – | – | – | 3 | 25 | 23 | 24 |
Heat in the 2010s: 41 records against 12 in the decade before, 41 of them forecast-zone records. Cells marked z rose mostly through zone records. The local National Weather Service office files these once per forecast zone, so a change in how it draws its zones or splits a storm into records moves this count as much as the weather does; read it beside the Carter County days with a record above.
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records per calendar decade; zone records from the CZ_TYPE field (Z).
What time of year?
70% of its winter storm records since 1996 fell in January and February. The two busiest months are in violet.
The values, month by month
Jan 80 · Feb 73 · Mar 71 · Apr 98 · May 70 · Jun 44 · Jul 81 · Aug 61 · Sep 25 · Oct 37 · Nov 45 · Dec 59 (records).
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records by the month they began.
Federal disaster declarations for Carter County
FEMA's register lists 22 declarations that include Carter County: 15 major disasters, 7 emergencies and 0 fire management assistance declarations. Most were for severe storm (12) and flood (3).
| Declared | Number | Type | Title |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-21 | DR-4867 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Wildfires |
| 2025-05-21 | DR-4872 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding |
| 2025-01-01 | DR-4855 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding |
| 2024-07-23 | DR-4803 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding |
| 2020-07-09 | DR-4552 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding |
| 2020-03-26 | DR-4490 | Biological | Covid-19 Pandemic |
| 2020-03-13 | EM-3482 | Biological | Covid-19 |
| 2017-06-02 | DR-4317 | Flood | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds and Flooding |
| 2016-01-02 | EM-3374 | Flood | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding |
| 2011-05-09 | DR-1980 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding |
| 2011-02-03 | EM-3317 | Severe Storm | Severe Winter Storm |
| 2009-02-17 | DR-1822 | Severe Storm | Severe Winter Storm |
| 2009-01-30 | EM-3303 | Severe Ice Storm | Severe Winter Storm |
| 2008-11-13 | DR-1809 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Flooding, and A Tornado |
| 2008-03-19 | DR-1749 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms and Flooding |
| 2008-03-12 | DR-1748 | Severe Ice Storm | Severe Winter Storms and Flooding |
| 2007-12-12 | EM-3281 | Severe Ice Storm | Severe Winter Storms |
| 2005-09-10 | EM-3232 | Hurricane | Hurricane Katrina Evacuation |
| 2002-05-06 | DR-1412 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes and Flooding |
| 1993-12-01 | DR-1006 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding |
| 1982-12-10 | DR-672 | Flood | Severe Storms and Flooding |
| 1976-09-24 | EM-3017 | Drought | Drought |
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2), declarations through October 2, 2026; one declaration is counted once however many areas it names. OpenFEMA dataset page.
How many floods has Carter County had?
NOAA's Storm Events Database holds 62 flood or flash flood records for Carter County from 1997 to 2025, on 57 days, with 1 death. By flood insurance claims since 1978 (OpenFEMA, as of September 8, 2026), Carter County ranks 1195th of 2,942 U.S. counties.
The National Flood Insurance Program has paid $5.4 million on 123 claims filed in Carter County; the most in one year was 32 in 2017. Claims count insured losses only: uninsured flood damage is not in this file.
The values, year by year
1982: 1 · 1983: 2 · 1985: 12 · 1992: 1 · 1993: 14 · 2002: 13 · 2003: 2 · 2007: 1 · 2008: 21 · 2009: 1 · 2011: 9 · 2013: 1 · 2014: 6 · 2015: 6 · 2017: 32 · 2023: 1; the other years: 0.
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims, as of September 8, 2026; claims by year of loss, payments in the dollars of the year paid. OpenFEMA dataset page.
FEMA's modeled risk for Carter County
FEMA's National Risk Index rates Carter County Relatively Low overall, with an expected annual loss of $10.7 million. These are FEMA's model estimates of future loss from 18 hazards, not a count of what happened; they can differ from the record above.
| Hazard | Risk rating | Expected annual loss | Modeled frequency |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cold Wave | Relatively Moderate | $2.0M | 1.1 a year (modeled) |
| Ice Storm | Relatively Moderate | $149K | 1.2 a year (modeled) |
| Strong Wind | Relatively Moderate | $471K | 2.4 a year (modeled) |
| Lightning | Relatively Moderate | $198K | 58 a year (modeled) |
| Earthquake | Relatively Low | $1.3M | once in about 128 years (modeled) |
| Landslide | Relatively Low | $8K | 2 a year (modeled) |
| Heat Wave | Relatively Low | $439K | 11 modeled event-days a year |
| Riverine Flooding | Relatively Low | $5.5M | 1.9 a year (modeled) |
Source: FEMA National Risk Index, county table, December 2025 release. FEMA's National Risk Index map.
Counties that share a border with Carter County
Source: U.S. Census Bureau county adjacency file; NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records since 1950. The Census Bureau's adjacency file.
Next
- Tornadoes in MissouriEvery Missouri tornado since 1950 and the counties with the most per square mile
- Winter storms in MissouriThe state's winter storm records, by county, year and month
- The Missouri recordEvery hazard in the state, its deadliest events and its federal declarations
- FEMA's risk rating for each hazard in Carter CountyThe hazard risk calculator: 18 hazards beside the county's record
- Download Carter County's FEMA declarations (CSV)22 rows: every declaration that named the county, for your own analysis