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North Dakota · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Golden Valley County, ND

13 FEMA disaster declarations (1978-2023), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Flood.

13
FEMA declarations
10
Major disasters
13
NRI risk · Very Low
Flood
Top hazard

The verdict

Golden Valley County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 13 declarations, more than 17% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 50% below the North Dakota county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county safer than 13%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Safer than 13%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
13
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
2
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 38033 · Golden Valley County 13 declarations · rank 2656/3,266

DECL-MID · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-MID 13
  • MAJOR-MID 77%
  • RANK-LOWER #2,656
  • PHOTO-FINISH Clarke
  • NRI-LOW Very Low
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Flood
  • VS-ST-BELOW -50%

Nearest declaration peer: Clarke, GA (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · North Dakota state profile

Golden Valley County among counties with fewer federal records

FEMA declaration records among Golden Valley County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Golden Valley County carries 13 FEMA declaration records, ranked 2656 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Golden Valley County versus quieter counties in this dataset

Golden Valley County among lower-declaration counties nationally

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Golden Valley County

13 17th percentile higher than 17% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Golden Valley County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100North Dakota avg22/10013.1/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the North Dakota county average

What does Golden Valley County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

FEMA's National Risk Index places this county in the low end of the national distribution, composite score 13.1/100 (Very Low). Expected Annual Loss is rated Very Low (roughly $4.8M in annualized losses). Two modifiers shape how that exposure becomes real-world harm here: social vulnerability (Relatively Moderate) and community resilience (Relatively Low). Among the 18 modeled hazards, Cold Wave carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 12 times per year here, based on 230 historical events on record.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 2 claims and $0 paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

Start with the state benchmark: a North Dakota county averages 25.9 federal declaration records, while Golden Valley County has 13. The gap is 50% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

49 /100

Historical Activity Index

Moderate historical activity

Golden Valley County, ND · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
9/30

13 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.6x national county average)

County Disaster Density Low
6/25

13 declarations (0.5x state county average of 26)

Major Disaster Share Very High
19/25

10 of 13 declarations are major disasters (77%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
15/20

6 different disaster types declared in Golden Valley County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Golden Valley County

Golden Valley County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 8, Hurricane 0, Tornado 8, Wildfire 8, Drought 8, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 12 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 12 8-hazard mean
Golden Valley County NRI risk profile FIPS 38033 · displayed-hazard mean 12/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

13

Low volume

Major Disaster share

77%

Mostly major

NRI risk score

13

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Golden Valley County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate an average of 12 times per year
Winter Weather Relatively Low an average of 16 times per year
Hail Relatively Low an average of 2.3 times per year
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 640 years
Ice Storm Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Drought Very Low 33 modeled event-days per year
Strong Wind Relatively Low an average of 1.4 times per year
Tornado Very Low roughly once every 8 years
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 2 years
Heat Wave Very Low 1 modeled event-day per year
Lightning Very Low an average of 31 times per year
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 10,309 years
Riverine Flooding Very Low roughly once every 7 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Flood 4
Severe Storm 3
Biological 2
Snowstorm 2
Coastal Storm 1
Tornado 1

What Flood declarations mean here

Flood is the most frequent declaration type on Golden Valley County's record, 31% of its declarations. Federal flood declarations cover two mechanisms that behave very differently: riverine flooding, which builds over days as a watershed drains and is usually forecast well in advance, and flash flooding, which can arrive in under an hour from rainfall that fell somewhere upstream.

Flood is also the one hazard class where a second federal dataset exists for the same events. The National Flood Insurance Program records what was actually paid on insured losses, so it measures a narrower thing than the declaration count: uninsured damage, and flooding outside mapped special flood hazard areas, never enters it. Reading the two together is more informative than either alone.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 10 76.9%

of all 13 declarations

Emergency - 3 23.1%

of all 13 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2023 1
2022 1
2020 2
2010 1
2006 1
2005 1
2001 2
1997 2
1978 2

Disaster Declarations

How the 13 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 13 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4717 FLOODING DR Flood 2023-07-05
4660 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2022-07-13
4509 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-01
3477 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
1879 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 2010-02-26
1616 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND RECORD AND/OR NEAR RECORD SNOW DR Snowstorm 2005-11-21
3247 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Coastal Storm 2005-09-13
1376 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, & GROUND SATURATION DR Flood 2001-05-28
1353 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND TORNADOES DR Tornado 2000-12-29
1174 SEVERE FLOODING,SEVERE WINTER STORMS, SNOWMELT, SPRING RAINS DR Flood 1997-04-07
1157 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND BLIZZARD CONDITIONS DR Severe Storm 1997-01-12
554 STORMS, ICE JAMS, SNOWMELT & FLOODING DR Flood 1978-04-17
3061 BLIZZARD & SNOWSTORMS EM Snowstorm 1978-02-16

Storm Events in North Dakota

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Golden Valley County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Hail 2,705 0 2 $116.1M
Thunderstorm Wind 2,459 2 10 $67.0M
High Wind 1,184 1 1 $2.9M
Heavy Snow 925 0 3 $650.0K
Blizzard 905 2 2 $60.0M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

2

Total Paid

$0

Avg Per Claim

$0

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 13.1/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$4.8M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Moderate

Community Resilience

Relatively Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Cold Wave Relatively Moderate
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Hail Relatively Low
Wildfire Very Low
Ice Storm Relatively Low
Drought Very Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Tornado Very Low
Landslide Very Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Lightning Very Low
Earthquake Very Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Cold Wave

Cold Wave measures exposure to extreme cold rather than to snow. Its harm is concentrated in health effects, burst infrastructure and energy demand spikes, and it falls hardest where the building stock and the grid were not built with sustained cold in mind.

Worth noting for Golden Valley County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Cold Wave carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Flood. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Golden Valley County's closest FEMA peer: Keya Paha County, NE

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Golden Valley County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Golden Valley County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Golden Valley County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 13 FEMA declarations, Golden Valley County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Golden Valley County?
The most common disaster type in Golden Valley County is Flood, with 4 declarations. Other disaster types include Severe Storm (3), Biological (2), Snowstorm (2).
How does Golden Valley County's FEMA declaration record compare with the North Dakota average?
The typical North Dakota county has 25.9 FEMA declaration records; Golden Valley County has 13, or 50% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 37% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Golden Valley County received?
Golden Valley County has received 10 major disaster declarations, representing 77% of all 13 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Golden Valley County filed?
Golden Valley County has 2 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $0 in payments, with an average of $0 per claim.
What was the worst year for disasters in Golden Valley County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Golden Valley County was 1978, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1978 to 2023.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Golden Valley County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Golden Valley County, North Dakota has an overall risk score of 13.1 out of 100 (Very Low). The county's social vulnerability rating is Relatively Moderate and community resilience is Relatively Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $4.8M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Golden Valley County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in Golden Valley County as of the latest release is Cold Wave (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Winter Weather (Relatively Low) and Hail (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts cold wave here at an average of 12 times per year, drawn from 230 historical events on record. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Golden Valley County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · North Dakota profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events