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North Dakota · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

McKenzie County, ND

24 FEMA disaster declarations (1969-2025), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

24
FEMA declarations
18
Major disasters
25
NRI risk · Very Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

McKenzie County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 24 declarations, more than 66% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 7% below the North Dakota county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county safer than 25%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Safer than 25%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
24
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
2
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 38053 · McKenzie County 24 declarations · rank 1035/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-HEAVY 24
  • MAJOR-MID 75%
  • RANK-LOWER #1,035
  • PHOTO-FINISH Eddy
  • NRI-LOW Very Low
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-BELOW -7%

Nearest declaration peer: Eddy, ND (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · North Dakota state profile

McKenzie County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among McKenzie County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows McKenzie County carries 24 FEMA declaration records, ranked 1035 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How McKenzie County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

McKenzie County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · McKenzie County

24 Top 34% higher than 66% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

McKenzie County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100North Dakota avg22/10025/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the North Dakota county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for McKenzie County is led by Cold Wave (about $4.9M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively High), while Winter Weather carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does McKenzie County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

This county's FEMA National Risk Index composite lands at 25.0/100 (Very Low), a modest reading against the rest of the country. Expected Annual Loss is rated Very Low (roughly $11.7M in annualized losses), tempered or compounded by a Very Low social-vulnerability score and Relatively Moderate community-resilience score. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Winter Weather stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 16 times per year here, based on 312 historical events on record.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 2 claims and $0 paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

Start with the state benchmark: a North Dakota county averages 25.9 federal declaration records, while McKenzie County has 24. The gap is 7% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

68 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

McKenzie County, ND · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
17/30

24 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.2x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
12/25

24 declarations (0.9x state county average of 26)

Major Disaster Share Very High
19/25

18 of 24 declarations are major disasters (75%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

8 different disaster types declared in McKenzie County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - McKenzie County

McKenzie County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 8, Hurricane 0, Tornado 25, Wildfire 25, Drought 25, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 70. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 21 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 21 8-hazard mean
McKenzie County NRI risk profile FIPS 38053 · displayed-hazard mean 21/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

24

Above median

Major Disaster share

75%

Mostly major

NRI risk score

25

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike McKenzie County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Winter Weather Relatively High an average of 16 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate an average of 15 times per year
Hail Relatively Moderate an average of 2 times per year
Wildfire Relatively Low roughly once every 569 years
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate roughly once every 2 years
Strong Wind Relatively Low an average of 1.3 times per year
Landslide Very Low an average of 1.8 times per year
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Drought Relatively Low 32 modeled event-days per year
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 29 times per year
Heat Wave Very Low 1 modeled event-day per year
Riverine Flooding Very Low roughly once every 4 years
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 10,204 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 9
Flood 5
Fire 3
Biological 2
Snowstorm 2
Coastal Storm 1
Tornado 1
Drought 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on McKenzie County's record, 38% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 18 75.0%

of all 24 declarations

Emergency - 4 16.7%

of all 24 declarations

Fire Management - 2 8.3%

of all 24 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2025 3
2022 1
2021 2
2020 2
2019 1
2013 1
2011 2
2010 1
2009 1
2006 1
2005 1
2004 1
2001 1
1997 2
1994 1
Show 3 earlier declaration years
1979 1
1976 1
1969 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 24 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 24 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4852 WILDFIRES AND STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS DR Fire 2024-12-24
5540 BEAR DEN FIRE FM Fire 2024-10-06
5541 ELK HORN FIRE FM Fire 2024-10-06
4660 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2022-07-13
4613 SEVERE STORM, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2021-09-01
4565 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2020-10-02
4509 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-01
3477 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4444 FLOODING DR Flood 2019-06-12
4128 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2013-07-12
1986 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 2011-05-20
1981 FLOODING DR Flood 2011-05-10
1879 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 2010-02-26
1829 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2009-03-24
1616 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND RECORD AND/OR NEAR RECORD SNOW DR Snowstorm 2005-11-21
3247 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Coastal Storm 2005-09-13
3196 SNOW EM Snowstorm 2004-04-02
1353 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND TORNADOES DR Tornado 2000-12-29
1174 SEVERE FLOODING,SEVERE WINTER STORMS, SNOWMELT, SPRING RAINS DR Flood 1997-04-07
1157 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND BLIZZARD CONDITIONS DR Severe Storm 1997-01-12
Show 4 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
1032 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1994-07-01
581 SEVERE STORMS, SNOWMELT & FLOODING DR Flood 1979-04-26
3016 DROUGHT EM Drought 1976-07-21
256 FLOODING DR Flood 1969-04-18

Storm Events in North Dakota

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to McKenzie County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Hail 2,705 0 2 $116.1M
Thunderstorm Wind 2,459 2 10 $67.0M
High Wind 1,184 1 1 $2.9M
Heavy Snow 925 0 3 $650.0K
Blizzard 905 2 2 $60.0M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

2

Total Paid

$0

Avg Per Claim

$0

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 25.0/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$11.7M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very Low

Community Resilience

Relatively Moderate

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Winter Weather Relatively High
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate
Hail Relatively Moderate
Wildfire Relatively Low
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Landslide Very Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Drought Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low
Earthquake Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Winter Weather

Winter Weather in the model means the accumulation of snow and cold that disrupts rather than destroys: road closures, roof loads, burst pipes and lost heating. Its costs land heavily on transport and on households least able to absorb an interruption.

Worth noting for McKenzie County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Winter Weather carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively High), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

McKenzie County's closest FEMA peer: Windham County, VT

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for McKenzie County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for McKenzie County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for McKenzie County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 24 FEMA declarations, McKenzie County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in McKenzie County?
The most common disaster type in McKenzie County is Severe Storm, with 9 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (5), Fire (3), Biological (2).
How does McKenzie County's FEMA declaration record compare with the North Dakota average?
The typical North Dakota county has 25.9 FEMA declaration records; McKenzie County has 24, or 7% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 16% higher. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has McKenzie County received?
McKenzie County has received 18 major disaster declarations, representing 75% of all 24 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has McKenzie County filed?
McKenzie County has 2 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $0 in payments, with an average of $0 per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in McKenzie County?
No. In McKenzie County, Winter Weather has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High), while Cold Wave leads Expected Annual Loss at about $4.9M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in McKenzie County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in McKenzie County was 2025, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1969 to 2025.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for McKenzie County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, McKenzie County, North Dakota has an overall risk score of 25.0 out of 100 (Very Low). The county's social vulnerability rating is Very Low and community resilience is Relatively Moderate. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $11.7M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to McKenzie County?
FEMA's NRI data points to McKenzie County as of the latest release is Winter Weather (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Cold Wave (Relatively Moderate) and Hail (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts winter weather here at an average of 16 times per year, drawn from 312 historical events on record. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for McKenzie County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · North Dakota profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events