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North Dakota · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

McKenzie County, ND

6 FEMA disaster declarations (2021–2025), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Fire.

6
FEMA declarations
4
Major disasters
25
NRI risk · Very Low
Fire
Top hazard

FEMA's National Risk Index places McKenzie County in the top 75% of U.S. counties for overall natural-hazard risk, and its FEMA disaster-declaration count is higher than 81% of all 2,729 counties tracked.

How does McKenzie County compare?

FEMA disaster declarations, this county versus the North Dakota county average and the national county average.

McKenzie County
6
North Dakota county avg
2.8
National county avg
3.7

How disaster-prone is McKenzie County?

McKenzie County, North Dakota has recorded 6 FEMA disaster declarations between 2021 and 2025, of which 4 were classified as Major Disaster declarations (DR) requiring federal individual and public assistance. That puts the county's average at 1.5 declarations per year across a 4-year record, or roughly 116% above the North Dakota county average of 2.8 and 60% above the national county average of 3.7. Declaration counts reflect federal recognition of event severity, not pure hazard frequency, smaller incidents handled locally never appear in FEMA's ledger.

The dominant disaster type on record is Fire, with 3 of 6 declarations falling under this category. FEMA's National Risk Index assigns this county an overall risk rating of Very Low (composite score 25.0/100), driven by an Expected Annual Loss rating of Very Low equivalent to roughly $11.7M in annualized losses. Social vulnerability scores Very Low and community resilience scores Relatively Moderate - two factors that modify raw hazard exposure into actual harm. The single highest-risk natural hazard identified for this county is Winter Weather (Relatively High).

NFIP flood insurance claims data for this county is not present in the FEMA claims extract, which typically indicates either low historical flood activity or low policy penetration. Taken together, these indicators place McKenzie County at a moderate relative risk level for federally recognized disasters. Households should pair this historical lens with forward-looking hazard maps, flood zones, wildfire risk overlays, and seismic zones published by FEMA and state emergency management, before making preparedness, insurance, or relocation decisions.

Risk Assessment

How McKenzie County's disaster history compares to state and national averages.

Risk Level

Moderate

vs. North Dakota Avg

+116%

State avg: 2.8

vs. National Avg

+60%

National avg: 3.7

Avg Per Year

1.5

Over 4 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - McKenzie County

McKenzie County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard composite scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 0, Hurricane 0, Tornado 25, Wildfire 25, Drought 25, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 70. Overall composite 20 of 100, classified Low. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 20 composite
McKenzie County NRI risk profile FIPS 38053 · composite 20/100 (Low)

The radar plots McKenzie County's relative exposure to the eight headline natural hazards used by the FEMA National Risk Index. Each axis is the qualitative NRI risk rating (Very Low through Very High) re-expressed on a 0-100 scale so that the polygon shape lets you compare a county against another at a glance.

FEMA Records

6

Total declarations

NRI Source

FEMA 2023

Latest NRI release

County FIPS

38053

ND state code

Source: FEMA National Risk Index FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, 2023 release

Disaster Types

Breakdown of 6 FEMA disaster declarations in McKenzie County by incident type.

Fire 3
Severe Storm 3

Declaration Types

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 4 66.7%

of all 6 declarations

Fire Management - 2 33.3%

of all 6 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Disaster declarations per year for McKenzie County.

Year Declarations
2025 3
2022 1
2021 2

Disaster Declarations

All 6 FEMA disaster declarations for McKenzie County, North Dakota.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4852 WILDFIRES AND STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS DR Fire 2024-12-24
5540 BEAR DEN FIRE FM Fire 2024-10-06
5541 ELK HORN FIRE FM Fire 2024-10-06
4660 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2022-07-13
4613 SEVERE STORM, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2021-09-01
4565 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2020-10-02

Storm Events in North Dakota

NOAA severe weather data for North Dakota (2015–2025). Storm event data is tracked at the state level.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Hail 2,903 0 2 $129.1M
Thunderstorm Wind 2,804 3 11 $80.0M
High Wind 1,295 1 1 $3.0M
Heavy Snow 971 0 3 $650.0K
Blizzard 949 2 4 $60.0M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015–2025

FEMA National Risk Index

FEMA's composite risk score combining 18 natural hazard types, social vulnerability, and community resilience for McKenzie County.

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 25.0/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$11.7M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very Low

Community Resilience

Relatively Moderate

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Risk rating for each of the 18 FEMA NRI natural hazard types in McKenzie County.

Winter Weather Relatively High
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate
Hail Relatively Moderate
Wildfire Relatively Low
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Landslide Very Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Drought Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Earthquake Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

Counties with Similar Risk in North Dakota

Other North Dakota counties with similar disaster declaration counts.

Disaster Preparedness Guides

Frequently Asked Questions

How many natural disasters has McKenzie County, North Dakota had?
McKenzie County, North Dakota has received 6 FEMA disaster declarations from 2021 to 2025. Of these, 4 were major disaster declarations.
What is the most common disaster type in McKenzie County?
The most common disaster type in McKenzie County is Fire, with 3 declarations. Other disaster types include Severe Storm (3).
How does McKenzie County's disaster risk compare to the North Dakota average?
McKenzie County has 6 disaster declarations, which is 116% higher than the North Dakota county average of 2.8 declarations. Compared to the national county average of 3.7, it is 60% higher.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has McKenzie County received?
McKenzie County has received 4 major disaster declarations, representing 67% of all 6 disaster declarations. Major disaster declarations typically involve significant damage requiring federal assistance.
What types of storms are most common in North Dakota?
The most common storm types in North Dakota include Hail (2,903 events), Thunderstorm Wind (2,804 events), High Wind (1,295 events). NOAA storm event data covers severe weather from 2015 to 2025.
What was the worst year for disasters in McKenzie County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in McKenzie County was 2025, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 2021 to 2025.
What is the overall disaster risk level for McKenzie County?
Based on FEMA declaration history, McKenzie County has a moderate disaster risk level with 6 total declarations. This county has a moderate number of disaster declarations.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for McKenzie County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, McKenzie County, North Dakota has an overall risk score of 25.0 out of 100 (Very Low). The county's social vulnerability rating is Very Low and community resilience is Relatively Moderate. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $11.7M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to McKenzie County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in McKenzie County is Winter Weather (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Cold Wave (Relatively Moderate) and Hail (Relatively Moderate). These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.

Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015–2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for McKenzie County

McKenzie County, ND has 6 FEMA disaster declarations on record, a moderate historical disaster load, 116% above the North Dakota county average.

  • Its most common federal declaration type is major disaster (4 of 6) - know the hazards most likely here before they happen. North Dakota overview
  • See how this county ranks against the rest of the country for disaster frequency. Most-disaster rankings
  • Read how to read FEMA declarations, NRI risk scores, and what they do and don't tell you. Disaster-data guide

Historical declaration counts describe past federal response, not a forecast. For current threats, follow the National Weather Service and local officials; in an emergency call 911.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. This page draws directly on FEMA federal disaster data, no figure is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or report a data error.