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North Dakota · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Williams County, ND

19 FEMA disaster declarations (1969-2025), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Flood.

19
FEMA declarations
16
Major disasters
54
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Flood
Top hazard

The verdict

Williams County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 19 declarations, more than 41% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 27% below the North Dakota county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county in the riskiest 46%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Riskiest 46%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
19
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
19
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 38105 · Williams County 19 declarations · rank 1833/3,266

DECL-MID · MAJOR-HEAVY · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-MID 19
  • MAJOR-HEAVY 84%
  • RANK-LOWER #1,833
  • PHOTO-FINISH Bartow
  • NRI-LOW 54
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Flood
  • VS-ST-BELOW -27%

Nearest declaration peer: Bartow, GA (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · North Dakota state profile

Williams County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among Williams County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Williams County carries 19 FEMA declaration records, ranked 1833 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How Williams County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

Williams County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Williams County

19 41st percentile higher than 41% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Williams County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100North Dakota avg22/10053.7/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the North Dakota county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Williams County is led by Cold Wave (about $10.7M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively High), while Winter Weather carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Very High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Williams County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

This county carries a high composite score on FEMA's National Risk Index, 53.7/100, rated Relatively Low. Its Expected Annual Loss rating is Relatively Low (roughly $24.9M in annualized losses), and a Very Low social-vulnerability profile combined with Relatively Moderate community resilience shapes how much of that raw exposure becomes realized harm. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Winter Weather stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Very High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 16 times per year here, based on 311 historical events on record.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 19 claims and $248.0K paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

Start with the state benchmark: a North Dakota county averages 25.9 federal declaration records, while Williams County has 19. The gap is 27% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

62 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Williams County, ND · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
14/30

19 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.9x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
9/25

19 declarations (0.7x state county average of 26)

Major Disaster Share Very High
21/25

16 of 19 declarations are major disasters (84%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
18/20

7 different disaster types declared in Williams County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Williams County

Williams County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 25, Hurricane 0, Tornado 25, Wildfire 25, Drought 25, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 92. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 26 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 26 8-hazard mean
Williams County NRI risk profile FIPS 38105 · displayed-hazard mean 26/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

19

Below median

Major Disaster share

84%

Mostly major

NRI risk score

54

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Williams County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Winter Weather Very High an average of 16 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively High an average of 19 times per year
Ice Storm Relatively High roughly once every 2 years
Wildfire Relatively Low roughly once every 1,761 years
Hail Relatively Low an average of 1.6 times per year
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 3 years
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low roughly once every 3 years
Strong Wind Relatively Low an average of 1.1 times per year
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 26 times per year
Drought Relatively Low 29 modeled event-days per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 3 years
Heat Wave Very Low 0.8 modeled event-days per year
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 10,204 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Flood 7
Severe Storm 6
Biological 2
Fire 1
Coastal Storm 1
Snowstorm 1
Tornado 1

What Flood declarations mean here

Flood is the most frequent declaration type on Williams County's record, 37% of its declarations. Federal flood declarations cover two mechanisms that behave very differently: riverine flooding, which builds over days as a watershed drains and is usually forecast well in advance, and flash flooding, which can arrive in under an hour from rainfall that fell somewhere upstream.

Flood is also the one hazard class where a second federal dataset exists for the same events. The National Flood Insurance Program records what was actually paid on insured losses, so it measures a narrower thing than the declaration count: uninsured damage, and flooding outside mapped special flood hazard areas, never enters it. Reading the two together is more informative than either alone.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 16 84.2%

of all 19 declarations

Emergency - 3 15.8%

of all 19 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2025 1
2022 1
2021 1
2020 2
2011 2
2009 1
2005 1
2004 1
2001 1
1999 1
1997 2
1994 1
1993 1
1979 1
1976 1
Show 1 earlier declaration years
1969 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 19 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 19 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4852 WILDFIRES AND STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS DR Fire 2024-12-24
4660 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2022-07-13
4613 SEVERE STORM, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2021-09-01
4509 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-01
3477 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
1986 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 2011-05-20
1981 FLOODING DR Flood 2011-05-10
1829 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2009-03-24
3247 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Coastal Storm 2005-09-13
3196 SNOW EM Snowstorm 2004-04-02
1353 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND TORNADOES DR Tornado 2000-12-29
1279 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, SNOW, ICE, GROUND SATURATION, LANSLIDES, MUDSLIDES, AND TOR DR Flood 1999-06-08
1174 SEVERE FLOODING,SEVERE WINTER STORMS, SNOWMELT, SPRING RAINS DR Flood 1997-04-07
1157 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND BLIZZARD CONDITIONS DR Severe Storm 1997-01-12
1032 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1994-07-01
1001 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1993-07-26
581 SEVERE STORMS, SNOWMELT & FLOODING DR Flood 1979-04-26
501 FLOODING DR Flood 1976-04-16
256 FLOODING DR Flood 1969-04-18

Storm Events in North Dakota

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Williams County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Hail 2,705 0 2 $116.1M
Thunderstorm Wind 2,459 2 10 $67.0M
High Wind 1,184 1 1 $2.9M
Heavy Snow 925 0 3 $650.0K
Blizzard 905 2 2 $60.0M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

19

Total Paid

$248.0K

Avg Per Claim

$13.1K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 53.7/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$24.9M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very Low

Community Resilience

Relatively Moderate

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Winter Weather Very High
Cold Wave Relatively High
Ice Storm Relatively High
Wildfire Relatively Low
Hail Relatively Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Drought Relatively Low
Landslide Very Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Earthquake Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Winter Weather

Winter Weather in the model means the accumulation of snow and cold that disrupts rather than destroys: road closures, roof loads, burst pipes and lost heating. Its costs land heavily on transport and on households least able to absorb an interruption.

Worth noting for Williams County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Winter Weather carries the highest modeled rating (Very High), while the county's declaration history is led by Flood. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Williams County's closest FEMA peer: Greene County, IA

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Williams County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Williams County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Williams County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 19 FEMA declarations, Williams County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Williams County?
The most common disaster type in Williams County is Flood, with 7 declarations. Other disaster types include Severe Storm (6), Biological (2), Fire (1).
How does Williams County's FEMA declaration record compare with the North Dakota average?
The typical North Dakota county has 25.9 FEMA declaration records; Williams County has 19, or 27% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 8% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Williams County received?
Williams County has received 16 major disaster declarations, representing 84% of all 19 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Williams County filed?
Williams County has 19 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $248.0K in payments, with an average of $13.1K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Williams County?
No. In Williams County, Winter Weather has the highest National Risk Index rating (Very High), while Cold Wave leads Expected Annual Loss at about $10.7M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Williams County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Williams County was 1997, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1969 to 2025.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Williams County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Williams County, North Dakota has an overall risk score of 53.7 out of 100 (Relatively Low). On social vulnerability the county rates Very Low; on community resilience, Relatively Moderate. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $24.9M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Williams County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Williams County as of the latest release is Winter Weather (risk rating: Very High). Other significant hazards include Cold Wave (Relatively High) and Ice Storm (Relatively High). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts winter weather here at an average of 16 times per year, drawn from 311 historical events on record. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Williams County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · North Dakota profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events