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Arkansas · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Grant County, AR

19 FEMA disaster declarations (1968-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

19
FEMA declarations
13
Major disasters
16
NRI risk · Very Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Grant County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 19 declarations, more than 41% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 22% below the Arkansas county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county safer than 16%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Safer than 16%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
19
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
16
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 05053 · Grant County 19 declarations · rank 1897/3,266

DECL-MID · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-MID 19
  • MAJOR-MID 68%
  • RANK-LOWER #1,897
  • PHOTO-FINISH Bartow
  • NRI-LOW Very Low
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-BELOW -22%

Nearest declaration peer: Bartow, GA (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Arkansas state profile

Grant County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among Grant County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Grant County carries 19 FEMA declaration records, ranked 1897 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How Grant County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

Grant County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Grant County

19 41st percentile higher than 41% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Grant County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Arkansas avg56/10015.7/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Arkansas county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Grant County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $2.0M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Moderate), while Ice Storm carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Grant County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

This county's FEMA National Risk Index composite lands at 15.7/100 (Very Low), a modest reading against the rest of the country. Expected Annual Loss is rated Very Low (roughly $6.1M in annualized losses), tempered or compounded by a Relatively Low social-vulnerability score and Relatively Low community-resilience score. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Ice Storm carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 1.3 times per year here, based on 85 historical events on record.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 16 claims and $145.5K paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

Start with the state benchmark: a Arkansas county averages 24.2 federal declaration records, while Grant County has 19. The gap is 22% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

59 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Grant County, AR · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
14/30

19 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.9x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
10/25

19 declarations (0.8x state county average of 24)

Major Disaster Share High
17/25

13 of 19 declarations are major disasters (68%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
18/20

7 different disaster types declared in Grant County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Grant County

Grant County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 8, Hurricane 8, Tornado 25, Wildfire 8, Drought 8, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 19 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 19 8-hazard mean
Grant County NRI risk profile FIPS 05053 · displayed-hazard mean 19/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

19

Below median

Major Disaster share

68%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

16

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Grant County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate an average of 1.3 times per year
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 285 years
Heat Wave Relatively Low 19 modeled event-days per year
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Strong Wind Relatively Low an average of 3.1 times per year
Hail Relatively Low an average of 4.9 times per year
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 34 years
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 63 times per year
Winter Weather Relatively Low an average of 4 times per year
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 2,606 years
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 5 years
Drought Very Low 8.2 modeled event-days per year
Riverine Flooding Very Low an average of 1.2 times per year
Cold Wave Very Low roughly once every 1 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 6
Hurricane 3
Severe Ice Storm 3
Winter Storm 2
Tornado 2
Biological 2
Flood 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Grant County's record, 32% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 13 68.4%

of all 19 declarations

Emergency - 6 31.6%

of all 19 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2025 1
2023 1
2020 4
2013 1
2010 2
2009 1
2008 2
2005 1
2001 2
1999 1
1997 1
1968 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 19 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 19 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
3636 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-24
3627 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING EM Severe Storm 2025-04-05
4700 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Winter Storm 2023-04-04
3541 HURRICANE LAURA EM Hurricane 2020-08-27
4556 SEVERE STORMS AND STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS DR Tornado 2020-07-10
4518 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-03
3461 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4100 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 2013-01-29
1872 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2010-02-04
1861 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2009-12-03
1845 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2009-06-16
1793 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE GUSTAV DR Hurricane 2008-09-18
1758 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2008-05-20
3215 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-02
1354 SEVERE WINTER ICE STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 2000-12-29
3159 SEVERE WINTER ICE STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2000-12-28
1266 AR SEVERE WEATHER 1-21-99 DR Severe Storm 1999-01-23
1176 FLOODING, SEVERE STORMS DR Flood 1997-04-14
239 TORNADOES, SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Tornado 1968-05-29

Storm Events in Arkansas

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Grant County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 3,657 10 23 $60.9M
Hail 2,230 0 0 $7.7M
Flash Flood 1,517 12 3 $15.9M
Heat 1,222 2 325 $0
Flood 1,152 9 0 $40.2M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

16

Total Paid

$145.5K

Avg Per Claim

$9.1K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 15.7/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$6.1M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Low

Community Resilience

Relatively Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Ice Storm Relatively Moderate
Earthquake Relatively Low
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Hail Relatively Low
Hurricane Very Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Wildfire Very Low
Landslide Very Low
Drought Very Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low
Cold Wave Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Ice Storm

Ice storms load power lines and tree limbs with accumulating freezing rain until they fail. The characteristic cost is infrastructure and multi-day power loss across a wide area rather than structural damage to buildings, which is why their consequences often outlast the weather that caused them.

Worth noting for Grant County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Ice Storm carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Grant County's closest FEMA peer: Fairfax County, VA

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Grant County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Grant County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Grant County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 19 FEMA declarations, Grant County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Grant County?
The most common disaster type in Grant County is Severe Storm, with 6 declarations. Other disaster types include Hurricane (3), Severe Ice Storm (3), Winter Storm (2).
How does Grant County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Arkansas average?
The typical Arkansas county has 24.2 FEMA declaration records; Grant County has 19, or 22% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 8% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Grant County received?
Grant County has received 13 major disaster declarations, representing 68% of all 19 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Grant County filed?
Grant County has 16 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $145.5K in payments, with an average of $9.1K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Grant County?
No. In Grant County, Ice Storm has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $2.0M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Grant County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Grant County was 2020, with 4 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1968 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Grant County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Grant County, Arkansas has an overall risk score of 15.7 out of 100 (Very Low). On social vulnerability the county rates Relatively Low; on community resilience, Relatively Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $6.1M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Grant County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in Grant County as of the latest release is Ice Storm (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Earthquake (Relatively Low) and Heat Wave (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts ice storm here at an average of 1.3 times per year, drawn from 85 historical events on record. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Grant County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Arkansas profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events