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Florida · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Gulf County, FL

47 FEMA disaster declarations (1975-2024), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Hurricane.

47
FEMA declarations
31
Major disasters
60
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Hurricane
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Gulf County. Its 47 FEMA declarations are 16% above the Florida county mean and exceed the count for 99% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 40%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 40%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
47
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
1,717
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 12045 · Gulf County 47 declarations · rank 41/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-UPPER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-ABOVE

  • DECL-HEAVY 47
  • MAJOR-MID 66%
  • RANK-UPPER #41
  • PHOTO-FINISH East Baton R…
  • NRI-LOW 60
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Hurricane
  • VS-ST-ABOVE +16%

Nearest declaration peer: East Baton Rouge, LA (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Florida state profile

Gulf County among high-volume declaration counties

FEMA declaration records among Gulf County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Gulf County carries 47 FEMA declaration records, ranked 41 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Where Gulf County ranks in the national declaration registry

Gulf County vs. high-volume counties in this registry

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Gulf County

47 Top 1% higher than 99% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Gulf County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Florida avg76/10059.5/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Florida county average

What does Gulf County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

FEMA's NFIP table contains a substantial paid-claim history for this county: 1,717 claims and $94.7M in payments. PlainHazard labels 500 or more claims a heavy registry record; that is a reporting bucket, not an official FEMA risk grade. The average paid claim was $55.2K. NFIP totals exclude uninsured flood losses and do not measure how many properties currently carry a policy.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Gulf County's 47 federal records stand 16% above the Florida county mean of 40.4. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county carries a high composite score on FEMA's National Risk Index, 59.5/100, rated Relatively Low. Its Expected Annual Loss rating is Relatively Low (roughly $17.3M in annualized losses), and a Relatively High social-vulnerability profile combined with Relatively Moderate community resilience shapes how much of that raw exposure becomes realized harm. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Hurricane stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 4 years here, based on 92 historical events on record.

79 /100

Historical Activity Index

Very High historical activity

Gulf County, FL · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Very High
30/30

47 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (2.3x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
15/25

47 declarations (1.2x state county average of 40)

Major Disaster Share High
16/25

31 of 47 declarations are major disasters (66%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
18/20

7 different disaster types declared in Gulf County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Gulf County

Gulf County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 48, Hurricane 70, Tornado 25, Wildfire 25, Drought 8, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 25. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 29 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 29 8-hazard mean
Gulf County NRI risk profile FIPS 12045 · displayed-hazard mean 29/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

47

Very high volume

Major Disaster share

66%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

60

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Gulf County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Hurricane Relatively High roughly once every 4 years
Lightning Relatively Moderate an average of 87 times per year
Wildfire Relatively Low roughly once every 296 years
Coastal Flooding Relatively Moderate an average of 3.8 times per year
Heat Wave Relatively Low 7 modeled event-days per year
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 3 years
Cold Wave Relatively Low an average of 1.4 times per year
Riverine Flooding Very Low roughly once every 2 years
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 1,307 years
Drought Very Low 11 modeled event-days per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 16 years
Strong Wind Very Low roughly once every 1 years
Winter Weather Very Low roughly once every 5 years
Hail Very Low roughly once every 2 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Hurricane 26
Severe Storm 7
Tropical Storm 4
Flood 4
Fire 3
Biological 2
Tornado 1

What Hurricane declarations mean here

Hurricane is the most frequent declaration type on Gulf County's federal record, 55% of its declarations. Atlantic tropical systems run on a defined season, 1 June to 30 November, with most activity concentrated between August and October; Pacific and territorial basins run on their own calendars. A single named storm routinely produces one declaration number covering a long corridor of counties at once, well inland as well as on the coast, which is why an affected county's count can jump by several in one year without several separate events having occurred.

One practical distinction matters when reading these records: a tropical declaration usually bundles wind, storm surge and inland rainfall flooding under a single incident, but the insurance behind them is split. Wind damage falls to property insurers, while flood and surge damage is covered only under a separate National Flood Insurance Program policy. That is why a county can show heavy declaration activity and a comparatively small NFIP claims record, or the reverse.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 31 66.0%

of all 47 declarations

Emergency - 15 31.9%

of all 47 declarations

Fire Management - 1 2.1%

of all 47 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2024 4
2023 3
2022 2
2021 1
2020 4
2019 3
2017 2
2013 1
2012 1
2009 2
2008 2
2005 3
2004 3
2001 1
1999 2
Show 7 earlier declaration years
1998 5
1996 1
1994 2
1993 1
1990 1
1986 1
1975 2

Disaster Declarations

How the 47 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 47 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4828 HURRICANE HELENE DR Hurricane 2024-09-28
3615 TROPICAL STORM HELENE EM Tropical Storm 2024-09-24
4806 HURRICANE DEBBY DR Tropical Storm 2024-08-10
3605 TROPICAL STORM DEBBY EM Tropical Storm 2024-08-03
4734 HURRICANE IDALIA DR Hurricane 2023-08-31
3596 TROPICAL STORM IDALIA EM Tropical Storm 2023-08-28
4680 HURRICANE NICOLE DR Hurricane 2022-12-13
4673 HURRICANE IAN DR Hurricane 2022-09-29
3584 TROPICAL STORM IAN EM Hurricane 2022-09-24
3562 TROPICAL STORM FRED EM Hurricane 2021-08-16
4564 HURRICANE SALLY DR Hurricane 2020-09-23
3546 HURRICANE SALLY EM Hurricane 2020-09-15
4486 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-25
3432 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
3419 HURRICANE DORIAN EM Hurricane 2019-08-30
4399 HURRICANE MICHAEL DR Hurricane 2018-10-11
3405 HURRICANE MICHAEL EM Hurricane 2018-10-09
4337 HURRICANE IRMA DR Hurricane 2017-09-10
3385 HURRICANE IRMA EM Hurricane 2017-09-05
4084 HURRICANE ISAAC DR Hurricane 2012-10-18
Show 27 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
4068 TROPICAL STORM DEBBY DR Severe Storm 2012-07-03
1831 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, TORNADOES, AND STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS DR Severe Storm 2009-04-21
1806 HURRICANE GUSTAV DR Hurricane 2008-10-27
1785 TROPICAL STORM FAY DR Severe Storm 2008-08-24
3288 TROPICAL STORM FAY EM Severe Storm 2008-08-21
3220 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-05
1602 HURRICANE KATRINA DR Hurricane 2005-08-28
1595 HURRICANE DENNIS DR Hurricane 2005-07-10
1551 HURRICANE IVAN DR Hurricane 2004-09-16
1545 HURRICANE FRANCES DR Hurricane 2004-09-04
1539 TROPICAL STORM BONNIE AND HURRICANE CHARLEY DR Hurricane 2004-08-13
1344 TROPICAL STORM HELENE DR Severe Storm 2000-10-03
3139 FL-FIRES 04/15/99 EM Fire 1999-04-27
2255 FL-FIRES 04/13/99 FM Fire 1999-04-17
1249 HURRICANE GEORGES DR Hurricane 1998-09-28
3131 HURRICANE GRORGES EM Hurricane 1998-09-25
1241 HURRICANE EARL DR Hurricane 1998-09-04
1223 EXTREME FIRE HAZARD DR Fire 1998-06-18
1195 SEVERE STORMS, HIGH WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1998-01-06
1069 HURRICANE OPAL DR Hurricane 1995-10-04
1035 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING (TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO) DR Severe Storm 1994-07-10
3114 TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO EM Flood 1994-07-08
982 TORNADOES, FLOODING, HIGH WINDS & TIDES, FREEZING DR Tornado 1993-03-13
862 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1990-04-03
756 HURRICANE KATE DR Hurricane 1985-12-03
484 HIGH WINDS, HEAVY RAINS & FLOODING DR Flood 1975-09-26
479 FLOODING DR Flood 1975-08-22

Storm Events in Florida

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Gulf County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 5,243 17 45 $24.8M
Hail 1,012 0 0 $564.6K
Heavy Rain 865 2 3 $200.0K
Flood 826 9 0 $2.0B
Tropical Storm 767 92 6 $4.9B

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

1,717

Total Paid

$94.7M

Avg Per Claim

$55.2K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 59.5/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$17.3M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively High

Community Resilience

Relatively Moderate

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Hurricane Relatively High
Lightning Relatively Moderate
Wildfire Relatively Low
Coastal Flooding Relatively Moderate
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low
Earthquake Very Low
Drought Very Low
Landslide Very Low
Strong Wind Very Low
Winter Weather Very Low
Hail Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Hurricane

Hurricane exposure in the model bundles the three ways a tropical system does harm, which arrive on different timescales and are insured differently: wind, storm surge on the coast, and rainfall flooding that can reach far inland well after landfall.

For Gulf County the two measures on this page point the same way: Hurricane is the county's highest-rated modeled hazard (Relatively High), and Hurricane declarations also lead its federal record. Where the model and the declaration history agree, the reading is comparatively straightforward, the hazard is both expected and repeatedly realised.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Gulf County's closest FEMA peer: Logan County, OK

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Gulf County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Gulf County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Gulf County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Gulf County's NFIP claims file (1,717 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Gulf County?
The most common disaster type in Gulf County is Hurricane, with 26 declarations. Other disaster types include Severe Storm (7), Tropical Storm (4), Flood (4).
How does Gulf County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Florida average?
FEMA lists 47 declaration records for Gulf County. That is 16% above the Florida county mean of 40.4. Its count is also 127% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Gulf County received?
Gulf County has received 31 major disaster declarations, representing 66% of all 47 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Gulf County filed?
Gulf County has 1,717 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $94.7M in payments, with an average of $55.2K per claim.
What was the worst year for disasters in Gulf County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Gulf County was 1998, with 5 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1975 to 2024.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Gulf County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Gulf County, Florida has an overall risk score of 59.5 out of 100 (Relatively Low). The county's social vulnerability rating is Relatively High and community resilience is Relatively Moderate. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $17.3M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Gulf County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Gulf County is Hurricane (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Lightning (Relatively Moderate) and Wildfire (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts hurricane here at roughly once every 4 years, drawn from 92 historical events on record. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Gulf County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Florida profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events