PlainHazard

If you are in immediate danger, call 911.

The data below is historical (NOAA Storm Events / FEMA), not a live alert. For current warnings and evacuation orders, check the National Weather Service, Ready.gov, or FEMA.gov.

Texas · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Hardeman County, TX

16 FEMA disaster declarations (1993-2021), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Fire.

16
FEMA declarations
7
Major disasters
9
NRI risk · Very Low
Fire
Top hazard

The verdict

Hardeman County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 16 declarations, more than 27% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 23% below the Texas county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county safer than 9%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Safer than 9%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
16
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
6
fire declarations, the most common hazard here

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

View my watchlist

FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 48197 · Hardeman County 16 declarations · rank 2258/3,266

DECL-MID · MAJOR-LIGHT · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-MID 16
  • MAJOR-LIGHT 44%
  • RANK-LOWER #2,258
  • PHOTO-FINISH Greene
  • NRI-LOW Very Low
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Fire
  • VS-ST-BELOW -23%

Nearest declaration peer: Greene, GA (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Texas state profile

Hardeman County among counties with fewer federal records

FEMA declaration records among Hardeman County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Hardeman County carries 16 FEMA declaration records, ranked 2258 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Hardeman County versus quieter counties in this dataset

Hardeman County among lower-declaration counties nationally

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Hardeman County

16 27th percentile higher than 27% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Hardeman County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Texas avg49/1008.7/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Texas county average

What does Hardeman County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

FEMA's National Risk Index places this county in the low end of the national distribution, composite score 8.7/100 (Very Low). Expected Annual Loss is rated Very Low (roughly $2.5M in annualized losses). Two modifiers shape how that exposure becomes real-world harm here: social vulnerability (Very High) and community resilience (Very Low). Among the 18 modeled hazards, Drought carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at 150 modeled event-days per year here, based on 3,780 historical events on record.

Reading the federal records together

No paid-claim row for this county appears in the NFIP county table used by PlainHazard. That absence is not evidence that flooding never occurred: the register observes claims under federal flood-insurance policies, not uninsured losses, emergency reports, or every flood outside the program. The FEMA declaration history below is therefore the available federal-action record on this page.

Start with the state benchmark: a Texas county averages 20.9 federal declaration records, while Hardeman County has 16. The gap is 23% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

48 /100

Historical Activity Index

Moderate historical activity

Hardeman County, TX · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
12/30

16 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.8x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
10/25

16 declarations (0.8x state county average of 21)

Major Disaster Share Moderate
11/25

7 of 16 declarations are major disasters (44%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
15/20

6 different disaster types declared in Hardeman County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Hardeman County

Hardeman County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 8, Hurricane 8, Tornado 25, Wildfire 8, Drought 48, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 20 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 20 8-hazard mean
Hardeman County NRI risk profile FIPS 48197 · displayed-hazard mean 20/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

16

Below median

Major Disaster share

44%

Mixed major share

NRI risk score

9

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Hardeman County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Drought Relatively Moderate 150 modeled event-days per year
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate an average of 3.2 times per year
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate roughly once every 2 years
Hail Relatively Low an average of 7.6 times per year
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 436 years
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Heat Wave Very Low 11 modeled event-days per year
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 1,222 years
Winter Weather Very Low an average of 6.8 times per year
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 106 years
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 9 years
Cold Wave Very Low an average of 1.2 times per year
Riverine Flooding Very Low roughly once every 5 years
Lightning Very Low an average of 49 times per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Fire 6
Hurricane 3
Severe Ice Storm 2
Biological 2
Severe Storm 2
Drought 1

What Fire declarations mean here

Fire is the most frequent declaration type on Hardeman County's record, 38% of its declarations. Wildfire is the one hazard here with its own dedicated federal instrument: the Fire Management Assistance Grant, which appears in this data as an FM record. An FMAG can be authorised while a fire is still burning, on a timescale of hours, because its purpose is to reimburse the cost of fighting a fire that threatens to become a major disaster.

That distinction matters when comparing counties. An FM declaration is not a presidential major disaster declaration and does not carry the same assistance programmes, so a fire-heavy county's total is not directly comparable with a hurricane-heavy county's total unless the declaration types are separated, which is why they are listed separately on this page.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Emergency - 8 50.0%

of all 16 declarations

Major Disaster - 7 43.8%

of all 16 declarations

Fire Management - 1 6.3%

of all 16 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2021 2
2020 2
2019 1
2016 1
2011 1
2008 1
2006 1
2005 3
1999 1
1998 1
1996 1
1993 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 16 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 16 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4586 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-19
3554 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-14
4485 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-25
3458 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
5288 COPPER BREAKS FIRE FM Fire 2019-08-18
4255 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2016-02-09
1999 WILDFIRES DR Fire 2011-07-01
3284 WILDFIRES EM Fire 2008-03-14
1624 EXTREME WILDFIRE THREAT DR Fire 2006-01-11
1606 HURRICANE RITA DR Hurricane 2005-09-24
3261 HURRICANE RITA EM Hurricane 2005-09-21
3216 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-02
3142 EXTREME FIRE HAZARDS EM Fire 1999-09-01
1239 TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY DR Severe Storm 1998-08-26
3117 EXTREME FIRE HAZARD EM Fire 1996-02-23
3113 EXTREME FIRE HAZARD EM Drought 1993-09-10

Storm Events in Texas

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Hardeman County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Hail 14,072 0 15 $7.4B
Thunderstorm Wind 10,293 41 141 $369.9M
Drought 7,032 0 0 $86.0K
Flash Flood 4,728 338 24 $47.6B
Heat 4,079 119 405 $0

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 8.7/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$2.5M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very High

Community Resilience

Very Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Drought Relatively Moderate
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate
Hail Relatively Low
Wildfire Very Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Earthquake Very Low
Winter Weather Very Low
Hurricane Very Low
Landslide Very Low
Cold Wave Very Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low
Lightning Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Drought

Drought is the slowest of the modeled hazards and the least visible: it does its damage to agriculture, water supply and soil over seasons rather than hours, so it rarely produces the kind of single-day damage that drives a disaster declaration. FEMA scores it in event-days per year rather than discrete events for exactly that reason.

Worth noting for Hardeman County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Drought carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Fire. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Hardeman County's closest FEMA peer: Bibb County, GA

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Hardeman County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Hardeman County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Hardeman County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 16 FEMA declarations, Hardeman County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Hardeman County?
The most common disaster type in Hardeman County is Fire, with 6 declarations. Other disaster types include Hurricane (3), Severe Ice Storm (2), Biological (2).
How does Hardeman County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Texas average?
The typical Texas county has 20.9 FEMA declaration records; Hardeman County has 16, or 23% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 23% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Hardeman County received?
Hardeman County has received 7 major disaster declarations, representing 44% of all 16 disaster declarations.
What was the worst year for disasters in Hardeman County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Hardeman County was 2005, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1993 to 2021.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Hardeman County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Hardeman County, Texas has an overall risk score of 8.7 out of 100 (Very Low). Social vulnerability here rates Very High, while community resilience comes in at Very Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $2.5M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Hardeman County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Hardeman County as of the latest release is Drought (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Strong Wind (Relatively Moderate) and Ice Storm (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts drought here at 150 modeled event-days per year, drawn from 3,780 historical events on record. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Hardeman County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Texas profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events